The EconomistMarch 21st 2020 31
1
G
iulio gallera, a Milanese corporate
lawyer from Silvio Berlusconi’s Forza
Italia party, is health minister in the re-
gional government of Lombardy. “We are
working hour by hour,” he said on March
17th. “Yesterday, we were almost [down] to
zero beds in intensive care.” What were
lacking were ventilators to go with the oth-
er equipment. But then the Red Cross of-
fered 30. “When, at 10pm, the news came
through of those 30 ventilators, I almost
wept,” said Mr Gallera.
Nowhere is Italy’s race against time
more dramatically evident than in Lombar-
dy, the region around Milan and the one
worst hit by the spread of covid-19. In the
city of Bergamo, the virus has over-
whelmed the local health system. Doctors
have been taking life-and-death decisions
since last month, deciding which patients
should be put on the available ventilators.
It is hoped that a vast makeshift intensive-
care unit being assembled at the Milan ex-
hibition centre will supply the capacity
Lombardy needs to cope with relentlessly
growing demand. Mr Berlusconi has perso-
nally donated €10m ($11m) to the project.
By March 18th the number of people in
Lombardy who have tested positive had
grown to 17,713, almost half the national to-
tal. Of these, 1,959 had died and 924 were in
intensive care.
The next few days will be crucial in
showing whether draconian containment
measures ordered by the central govern-
ment (see Briefing) will begin to slow the
spread of the virus in northern Italy and
mitigate its effects on the rest of the coun-
try, where it could speedily overwhelm
health services far weaker than that of
prosperous Lombardy. It is grimly predict-
able that Italy’s death toll of 2,978 when The
Economistwent to press will soon pass Chi-
na’s to become the highest in the world.
In Lombardy, the number of new daily
cases is still growing, but as a share of the
total existing cases the number is starting
to fall. By March 18th it was down to 9.2%.
Three days earlier, the governor, Attilio
Fontana, noted the change. “Let’s hope it is
the start of a trend reversal,” he said. But he
added: “I am saying it in a whisper.”
Italy and covid-19
The race against time
ROME
Italy is set to become the worst-affected country, for now
1,000
4,000
100
Going south
Italy, covid-19 cases, 2020
Source: Departmentf Civil Protection
Rome
Milan Bergamo
February 25th March 6th March 18th
Europe
32 Spain unites against the virus
33 Frontier theatre
33 France suspends local elections
34 Deplinthing Alexander the Great
34 Putin’s power grab
35 Charlemagne: Europe, more or less
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