The Economist 07Dec2019

(Greg DeLong) #1
The EconomistDecember 7th 2019 37

1

“W


alter who? Saskia what?” Bild, a
tabloid, posed the question many
Germans will have asked on November
30th when members of the Social Demo-
cratic Party (spd) elected Norbert Walter-
Borjans and Saskia Esken as co-leaders.
The obscure left-leaning duo triumphed by
53% to 45% over a rival pair led by Olaf
Scholz, Germany’s finance minister and
the spd’s best-known politician. Their win
instantly raised the prospect of an early
end to Germany’s coalition, which has al-
most two years to run.
The pair’s victory resulted from a deep
mood of gloom that has settled on the spd
base. The party has spent ten of the last 14
years as junior partner to Angela Merkel’s
Christian Democratic Union (cdu) and its
Bavarian sister party, the Christian Social
Union (csu), and has shed piles of votes
along the way. After a dismal result in the
2017 election, the spdreluctantly signed up
to another cdu/csu-led coalition, securing
a rich haul of cabinet jobs and several con-
cessions in the coalition agreement. Yet

the slump continued. Today the spdbattles
for third spot in polls with the hard-right
Alternative for Germany (afd), well behind
the Green Party.
In June the malaise claimed Andrea
Nahles, the spd’s previous leader, after a
string of poor election results. Mr Scholz
reluctantly threw his hat in the ring, but
many party members recoiled at the con-
tinuity option he represented. Neither Mr
Walter-Borjans, an undistinguished for-
mer finance minister in the state of North
Rhine-Westphalia, nor Ms Esken, a little-
known mpspecialising in digital policy,

looked like charismatic agents of change.
But their flirtation with the idea of bringing
down the government turned them into a
repository for discontent. Irritation with
the high-handed manner of the party lead-
ership also contributed to Mr Scholz’s de-
feat, says Wiebke Esdar, one of the few spd
mps who backed the winning duo.
Now frustration must be translated into
results. On the campaign trail Mr Walter-
Borjans and Ms Esken laid out a number of
demands, including reopening a recently
agreed climate-change package, raising the
minimum wage to €12 ($13.30) an hour and
approving a ten-year €500bn programme
of public investment funded by debt. They
railed against the government’s no-deficit
“black zero” policy, a cducontrivance writ-
ten into the coalition agreement and faith-
fully executed by Mr Scholz. They said the
spdhad to be ready to leave government if
the cdukept its “blockade mentality”.
Yet the new leaders have their work cut
out, for two reasons. The first is that the
cdu’s own difficulties make compromise
hard. Several of its politicians are jostling
for the right to succeed Mrs Merkel, who is
in her last term as chancellor, and kowtow-
ing to Social Democrats does not win votes
inside the cdu. Ruling out a rewrite of the
coalition agreement, Annegret Kramp-Kar-
renbauer, the party leader, said it was not
the cdu’s job to act as a therapist for the
spd. Salvation may come via a clause in the
coalition agreement that allows for policy

German politics

Under new management


BERLIN
The Social Democrats’ new leaders threaten the stability of Germany’s
government

Europe


38 NATO comes to London
39 France f aces huge strikes
39 Malta’s prime minister to quit
40 China and the Czechs
41 Charlemagne: Five fading Stars

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