The Economist 07Dec2019

(Greg DeLong) #1

72 Finance & economics The EconomistDecember 7th 2019


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which could help. On November 21st s&p
Global, a credit-rating agency, bought the
esg arm of Robecosam, an asset manager.
Moody’s, a competitor, purchased Vigeo Ei-
ris, an esg data outfit, in April. In 2017 Mor-
ningstar, a research firm, acquired a 40%
stake in Sustainalytics, another esg rater.
msci, an index provider, has been building
up its esg-scoring expertise. Simon Mac-
Mahon of Sustainalytics expects scoring
systems to converge over time. The defini-
tion of esg is so broad, he says, that raters
may be trying to capture different things.
For now investors who use esg indices
often look past the headline scores—and
even, in some cases, create their own esg
ratings. Issues that they find particularly
relevant, such as the flood risks faced by an
insurer’s corporate clients, may be buried
because esg ratings average many dispa-
rate data points, says Jessica Alsford of
Morgan Stanley, a bank.
If esg data do eventually become more
accurate and consistent it will become
harder for bosses and fund managers to en-
gage in “greenwashing”—massaging indi-
cators without truly changing hue. And in-
vestors will be able to pursue more varied
and sophisticated esg targets, says Maria
Elena Drew of T. Rowe Price, an asset man-
ager. Big insurers, for example, which are
heavily exposed to extreme weather
events, will be able to invest their capital in
a way that hedges against climate risks. But
for now the esg rating industry is still in its
infancy and Ms Peirce’s criticisms, though
blunt, ring true. 7

Scrambled ESGs
S&P 1200 index of global companies
100=best ESG* scores, December 2019

Sources: Bloomberg;
IMF; The Economist

*Environmental, social
and governance

100
80
60
40
20
0
100806040200
Ratings by RobecoSAM

ESG scores by provider Ratings by
Sustainalytics

Less than $10bn

$10bn-50bn

$50bn-100bn

$100bn-200bn

$200bn and over

806040200

Average ESG scores by market value
RobecoSAM Sustainalytics

P


resident donald trump’sattempts to
orchestrate America’s trade relations
are causing a cacophony. On December 2nd
he trumpeted new tariffs on Brazilian and
Argentine steel and aluminium. Hours lat-
er the United States Trade Representative
(ustr) chimed in with two sets of tariffs on
European products. Over the following
days noise grew louder in Congress about a
bargain that would secure the Democrats’
approval for the usmca, a trade deal with
Mexico and Canada. And all this against the
drumbeat of trade war with China.
The theme, American unilateralism, is
consistent. But the various voices are not,
with Trumpian trumpetings vying for air-
time with the ustr’s measured pace. Start
with the week’s first announcement, when
Mr Trump tweeted that Argentine and Bra-
zilian steel would face American tariffs,
“effective immediately”. American farm-
ers, he said, were suffering from the two
countries’ “massive” devaluations. But his
response made no sense. Argentina and
Brazil have not been trying to take advan-
tage of American farmers by manipulating
the peso and real downwards. Rather, as
their economies have flailed, they have
struggled to prop their currencies up.
Moreover, though Mr Trump surely in-
tended to restrict imports, for some pro-
ducts tariffs could mean they rise. An an-
nual quota for Brazilian slab, billets and
blooms (semi-processed steel products) is
already full, for example, so switching

from quotas to tariffs now would grant
American importers greater flexibility. And
the new tariffs are unlikely to survive any
legal challenge, since relevant deadlines
passed months ago. The law Mr Trump has
invoked allows tariffs in the service of
America’s national security. Claiming that
it covers propping up farm incomes would
be a stretch.
The president’s tariffs-by-tweet stood
in contrast to the day’s other big announce-
ments, which followed much deliberation.
One related to a long-running dispute at
the World Trade Organisation (wto) over
European subsidies for Airbus, which
America won. In October the wto had said
that the Trump administration could pe-
nalise the eu by placing tariffs on $7.5bn of
its exports. The eu argued that the offend-
ing subsidies had been withdrawn. On De-
cember 2nd the wto dismissed that claim,
and the ustr started the process for raising
new tariffs on European exports.
The other was accompanied by a 93-
page report, stuffed with footnotes and le-
galese. The ustr had spent months investi-
gating a French tax on digital services,
which will fall heavily on American tech
giants (see box on next page). “If they’re go-
ing to be taxed, it’s going to be the United
States [that] will tax them. Okay?” said Mr
Trump on December 3rd. The ustrcon-
cluded that the tax was “unusually burden-
some” for affected American companies,
and is preparing to hit $2.4bn of French
products with tariffs in response, includ-
ing $800m of cosmetics, $800m of cham-
pagne and $400m of handbags.
Inconsistent trade policy is nothing
new from the Trump administration. The
tariffs on steel and aluminium imposed in
spring 2018 were justified on dubious na-
tional-security grounds; by contrast the
first round of tariffs on China, in mid-2018,
were imposed after a detailed report by the
ustr on America’s many, and in some
cases legitimate, grievances.
Overall, though, some aspects of Ameri-
ca’s trade policy are making others harder
to achieve. Its trade partners can point to
Mr Trump picking on Argentina and Brazil,
and paint their resistance to American at-
tempts to recast its trade relations with
them as standing up to a bully. Implausible
claims of harm to national security also go
down badly elsewhere.
All this may be part of the reason Mr
Trump has so far failed to secure the “sub-

WASHINGTON, DC
The Trump administration’s trade policies clash with each other  

Multiplying tariffs

Sound and fury


Once more, with feeling
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