The Rules of Contagion

(Greg DeLong) #1

  1. Rogers E.M., Diffusion of Innovations, 3rd Edition, (New York,
    1983).

  2. Background from: Bass F.M., ‘A new product growth for model
    consumer durables’, Management Science, 1969.

  3. Bass F.M. Comments on ‘A New Product Growth for Model
    Consumer Durables’, Management Science, 2004.

  4. Ross’ simple ‘susceptible-infected’ model can be written as:
    dS/dt = -bSI, dI/dt = bSI, where b is the infection rate. The peak
    rate of new infections occurs when dI/dt is increasing fastest,
    i.e. the second derivative of dI/dt is equal to zero. Using the
    product rule, we obtain: I = (3 – sqrt(3))/6 = 0.21.

  5. Jackson A.C., ‘Diabolical effects of rabies encephalitis’, Journal
    of NeuroVirology, 2016.

  6. Robinson A. et al., ‘Plasmodium-associated changes in human
    odor attract mosquitoes’, PNAS, 2018.

  7. Van Kerckhove K. et al., ‘The Impact of Illness on Social
    Networks: Implications for Transmission and Control of Influenza’,
    American Journal of Epidemiology, 2013.

  8. Hudson background from: O’Connor J.J. et al., ‘Hilda Phoebe
    Hudson’, JOC/EFR, 2002; Warwick A., Masters of Theory:
    Cambridge and the Rise of Mathematical Physics (University of
    Chicago Press, 2003).

  9. Hudson H., ‘Simple Proof of Euclid II. 9 and 10’, Nature, 1891.

  10. Chambers S., ‘At last, a degree of honour for 900 Cambridge
    women’, The Independent, 30 May 1998.

  11. Ross R. and Hudson H., ‘An Application of the Theory of
    Probabilities to the Study of a priori Pathometry. Part II and Part
    III’, Proceedings of the Royal Society A, 1917.

  12. Letter GB 0809 Ross/161/11/01. Courtesy, Library & Archives
    Service, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine. © Ross
    Family; Aubin D. et al., ‘The War of Guns and Mathematics:

Free download pdf