The Rules of Contagion

(Greg DeLong) #1

  1. Odlyzko A., ‘Collective hallucinations and inefficient markets:
    The British Railway Mania of the 1840s’, 2010.

  2. Sandbu M., ‘Ten years on: Anatomy of the global financial
    meltdown’, Financial Times, 9 August 2017.

  3. Alessandri P. et al., ‘Banking on the State’, Bank of England
    Paper, November 2009.

  4. Elliott L. and Treanor J., ‘The minutes that reveal how the Bank
    of England handled the financial crisis’, The Guardian, 7 January
    2015.

  5. Author interview with Nim Arinaminpathy, August 2017.

  6. Brauer F., ‘Mathematical epidemiology: Past, present, and
    future’, Infectious Disease Modelling, 2017; Bartlett M.S.,
    ‘Measles Periodicity and Community Size’, Journal of the Royal
    Statistical Society. Series A, 1957.

  7. Heesterbeek J.A., ‘A Brief History of R0 and a Recipe for its
    Calculation’, Acta Biotheoretica, 2002.

  8. Smith D.L. et al., ‘Ross, Macdonald, and a Theory for the
    Dynamics and Control of Mosquito-Transmitted Pathogens’,
    PLOS Pathogens, 2012.

  9. Nájera J.A. et al., ‘Some Lessons for the Future from the Global
    Malaria Eradication Programme (1955–1969)’, PLOS Medicine,
    2011. A proposal to eradicate smallpox had also been made in
    1953, but was met with limited enthusiasm.

  10. Background on the reproduction number from: Heesterbeek
    J.A., ‘A Brief History of R0 and a Recipe for its Calculation’, Acta
    Biotheoretica, 2002.

  11. Reproduction number estimates: Fraser C. et al., ‘Pandemic
    potential of a strain of influenza A (H1N1): early findings’,
    Science, 2009; WHO Ebola Response Team, ‘Ebola Virus
    Disease in West Africa – The First 9 Months of the Epidemic and
    Forward Projections’, NEJM, 2014; Riley S. et al., ‘Transmission

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