England and Wales: interrupted time series analyses’, British
Medical Journal, 2013.
- Dickey J. and Rosenberg M., ‘We won’t know the cause of gun
violence until we look for it’, Washington Post, 27 July 2012.
- Background and quotes from author interview with Toby Davies,
August 2017.
- Davies T.P. et al., ‘A mathematical model of the London riots
and their policing’, Scientific Reports, 2013.
- Example: Myers P., ‘Staying streetwise’, Reuters, 8 September
2011.
- Quoted in: De Castella T. and McClatchey C., ‘UK riots: What
turns people into looters?’, BBC News Online. 9 August 2011.
- Granovetter M., ‘Threshold Models of Collective Behavior’,
American Journal of Sociology, 1978.
- Background from: Johnson N.F. et al., ‘New online ecology of
adversarial aggregates: ISIS and beyond’, Science, 2016;
Wolchover N., ‘A Physicist Who Models ISIS and the Alt-Right’,
Quanta Magazine, 23 August 2017.
- Bohorquez J.C. et al., ‘Common ecology quantifies human
insurgency’, Nature, 2009.
- Belluck P., ‘Fighting ISIS With an Algorithm, Physicists Try to
Predict Attacks’, New York Times, 16 June 2016.
- Timeline: ‘How The Anthrax Terror Unfolded’, National Public
Radio (NPR), 15 February 2011.
- Cooper B., ‘Poxy models and rash decisions’, PNAS, 2006;
Meltzer M.I. et al., ‘Modeling Potential Responses to Smallpox as
a Bioterrorist Weapon’, Emerging Infectious Diseases, 2001.
- I’ve seen the toy train example used in a few fields (e.g. by
Emanuel Derman in finance), but particular credit to my old
colleague Ken Eames here, who used it very effectively in
disease modelling lectures.