- Widely attributed, but no clear primary source.
- By early December, the average reporting delay was 2–3 days.
Source: Finger F. et al., ‘Real-time analysis of the diphtheria
outbreak in forcibly displaced Myanmar nationals in Bangladesh’,
BMC Medicine, 2019. - Statistics from: Katz J. and Sanger-Katz M., ‘“The Numbers Are
So Staggering.” Overdose Deaths Set a Record Last Year’, New
York Times, 29 November 2018; Ahmad F.B. et al., ‘Provisional
drug overdose death counts’, National Center for Health
Statistics, 2018; Felter C., ‘The U.S. Opioid Epidemic’, Council on
Foreign Relations, 26 December 2017; ‘Opioid painkillers “must
carry prominent warnings”’. BBC News Online, 28 April 2019. - Goodnough A., Katz J. and Sanger-Katz M., ‘Drug Overdose
Deaths Drop in U.S. for First Time Since 1990’, New York Times,
17 July 2019. - Background and quotes about opioid crisis analysis from author
interview with Rosalie Liccardo Pacula, May 2018. Additional
details from: Pacula R.L., Testimony presented before the House
Appropriations Committee, Subcommittee on Labor, Health and
Human Services, Education, and Related Agencies on April 5,
2017. - Exponential increase in death rate from 11 per 100,000 in 1979
to 137 per 100,000 in 2015, implying doubling time =
36/log 2 (137/11) = 10 years. - Jalal H., ‘Changing dynamics of the drug overdose epidemic in
the United States from 1979 through 2016’, Science, 2018. - Mars S.G. ‘“Every ‘never’ I ever said came true”: transitions
from opioid pills to heroin injecting’, International Journal of Drug
Policy, 2014. - TCR Staff, ‘America “Can’t Arrest Its Way Out of the Opioid
Epidemic”’, The Crime Report, 16 February 2018.
greg delong
(Greg DeLong)
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