2020-04-04 IFR Magazine

(Rick Simeone) #1
46 International Financing Review April 4 2020

Leads Commerzbank, JP Morgan, Natixis and
UBS offered the deal with guidance of mid-
swaps plus 40bp area. The spread was later
lXEDûATûBPûANDûTHEûSIZEûATûõBN ûWITHû
the book closing above €2.6bn.
Credit Mutuel was unable to match Credit
Agricole in terms of size or demand, with
bankers putting the difference down to the
latter’s larger investor following.
But more than 90 accounts participated in
4HURSDAYSûNEWûISSUE ûCONlRMINGûTHEû
positive trend.
Investors are returning to the covered
bond market in numbers, bankers said, as
CONlDENCEûHASûBEENûBOOSTEDûBYûTHEûMANYû
central bank measures announced in recent
weeks and because covered bonds’ relative
value looks improved versus tightening
sovereigns.
A syndicate banker away from the leads
added that the comparison with Credit
Agricole’s larger trade should take nothing
away from Credit Mutuel’s deal - which is its
SECONDûLARGEST ûBEHINDûONLYûAûõBNû
TRANSACTIONûISSUEDûINû
“It doesn’t change the fact this is an
amazing trade for CM,” he said. “It is the
lRSTûTIMEûTHEYVEûPRINTEDûAûSIZEûLIKEûTHISûINû
recent times, so it is impressive.”

ECB BID UNCHANGED
Among the central bank measures that
have boosted the market is the ECB’s
€750bn Pandemic Emergency Purchase
Programme.
Market participants have speculated that
the start of PEPP buying will cause the ECB
to scale up its orders for new covereds in the
primary market.
The Eurosystem reportedly increased its
participation in the corporate market
towards the end of last week.
However, it is understood the
Eurosystem’s order for last week’s deals
was around 40% of the expected deal size,
implying its behaviour in the covered
primary market is still unchanged since
the new purchases were announced.

#ENTRALûBANKSûANDûOFlCIALûINSTITUTIONSû
were allocated 40% of Credit Agricole’s deal
and 36% of Credit Mutuel’s.

EQUILIBRIUM
While primary patterns are unchanged, the
ECB has stepped up its presence in the
secondary covered bond market.
In the long term, increased ECB buying is
expected to cause covered bond spreads to
tighten, in conjunction with expected lower
supply as central bank loans reduce banks’
funding needs.
-ICHAELû3PIES ûSTRATEGISTûATû#ITIGROUP û
forecasts the ECB could now buy more than
õBNûOFûCOVEREDûBONDSûTHISûYEAR û
potentially exceeding new gross CBPP3-
eligible supply.
However, it has not yet arrested the
widening in covered bond spreads that
BEGANûMID
&EBRUARYû4HEûI"OXXû%52û#OVEREDû
INDEXûWIDENEDûBPûLASTûWEEKûANDûTRADEDûATû
29.5bp at Tuesday’s close, its widest level
SINCEû-ARCHû
For now, new issues in the primary
market are repricing the secondary.
“Hence, a higher spread equilibrium will
have to be found on a broad basis across all
segments before the ECB impact and some
SPREADûREVERSALûWILLûBEûSEEN vûSAIDû3PIES
“An ultimate relief rally should, however,
only be expected once coronavirus becomes
a manageable threat to the economy and
society.”

NON-CORE CURRENCIES


TD BANK AND CIBC TAKE COVER

TORONTO-DOMINION BANKûRAISEDû!BNûFROMû
AûTHREE
YEARûmOATING
RATEûCOVEREDû+ANGAROOû
offering last Friday via joint leads ANZ, CBA,
NAB, TD Securities and Westpac.
Local bank balance sheets dominated
orders for the notes, which were priced in
LINEûWITHûGUIDANCEûATûTHREE
MONTHû""37û
PLUSûBP
4HISûMATCHEDûTHEûBPûMARGINûPAIDûAû
day earlier by CANADIAN IMPERIAL BANK OF
COMMERCE û3YDNEYûBRANCH ûFORûAû!Mû
DOMESTICûTHREE
YEARûCOVEREDûmOATING
RATEû
note offering arranged by HSBC, NAB,
Westpac and CIBC.
#)"#û3YDNEYûPREVIOUSLYûISSUEDû!BNûOFû
THREE
YEARûCOVEREDû&2.SûLASTû*ULY ûWHICHûISû
backed by Canadian mortgages and priced
ATûTHREE
MONTHû""37ûPLUSûBP
CIBC has also issued covered Kangaroos
previously with Canadian banks particularly
active participants in the Australian covered
bond market in recent years.
Beyond the four Canadian lenders – CIBC,
"ANKûOFû.OVAû3COTIA û2OYALû"ANKûOFû#ANADAû
and Toronto-Dominion – the only other

COVEREDû+ANGAROOûISSUERSûSINCEûTHEûlNANCIALû
CRISISûHAVEûBEENû3WEDISHûMORTGAGEûLENDERû
3TADSHYPOTEK û"ANKûOFû.EWû:EALAND û
.ORWAYSû$."û"OLIGKREDITTûANDû3INGAPORESû
$"3û"ANK

HIGH-YIELD


UNITED STATES


THREE ISSUERS LOOK FOR LIQUIDITY
WITH FIVE-YEAR JUNK BONDS

Three familiar names from different sectors
tapped the high-yield market on Thursday,
OFFERINGûlVE
YEARûDEBTûTOûSHOREûUPûTHEIRû
balance sheets.
All were names that have previously
enjoyed some of the best execution in the
high-yield market – hospital operator TENET
HEALTHCARE, aerospace parts manufacturer
TRANSDIGM and fast-food operator RESTAURANT
BRANDS INTERNATIONAL.
All were looking to boost cash on the
balance sheet “just in case”, given the
uncertainty related to the coronavirus
pandemic, said one investor.
The three deals followed a trade from
YUM! Brands on Monday which reopened
the high-yield market after a four-week
hiatus (see “YUM! Brands breathes life into
53ûJUNKûBONDûMARKETvûINû4OPû.EWS 
The issuance came amid a period of
relative stability in the high-yield market –
average spreads started the week at 882bp
ANDûMOVEDûTOûBPûOVERû4REASURIESûONû
Thursday, having ballooned as wide as
 BPûTHEûPREVIOUSûWEEKûBEFOREûSTAGINGûAû
rally.
“The volatility and the headlines have
been exhausting in both directions,” said a
syndicate banker. “It is not conducive to
functioning capital markets when there is
that much volatility.”
“The last couple of days have been far
more stable and that is creating a more
positive narrative in high-yield.”
High-yield funds have also been
RECOVERINGûFROMûTHEûRECORDûOUTmOWSûSEENûINû
March.
,IPPERûDATAûSHOWEDûINmOWSûOFûMOREûTHANû
53BN ûWHICHû*0û-ORGANûANALYSTSûSAIDû
would be the largest on record for the
sector. It followed six consecutive weeks of
OUTmOWSûINûTHEûASSETûCLASS ûACCORDINGûTOû
Lipper.
To be sure, none of Thursday’s issuers
were able to borrow at the tight levels they
had been enjoying even fairly recently, with
all three highlighting coronavirus
DISRUPTIONSûTOûTHEIRûBUSINESSESûINûlLINGS

ALL COVERED BONDS (ALL CURRENCIES)
BOOKRUNNERS: 1/1/2020–31/3/2020
Managing No of Total Share
bank or group issues US$(m) (%)

Source: Refinitiv SDC code: J15a

1 Barclays 30 6,206.09 8.5
2 HSBC 24 5,411.01 7.4
3 Credit Suisse 13 3,544.52 4.8
4 BNP Paribas 15 3,382.58 4.6
5 Credit Agricole 16 3,353.94 4.6
6 Santander 14 3,226.00 4.4
7 UniCredit 18 3,134.50 4.3
8 ING 14 3,092.68 4.2
9 Natixis 15 2,981.98 4.1
10 Commerzbank 13 2,828.57 3.9
Total 84 73,229.00

6 IFR Bonds 2327 p 25 - 65 .indd 46 03 / 04 / 2020 20 : 29 : 00

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