Financial Times Europe - 20.03.2020

(lily) #1

Friday 20 March 2020 ★ 11


© The Financial Times Limited 2020 Week 12

Boeing has asked the US government
for $60bn to save the aerospace
sector, an injection that would bolster
the group and its supply chain but
increase it debt. Its stock has fallen
70 per cent in the past month amid
uncertainty since the virus outbreak.
AnalysisiPAGE 12

Boeing begs for $60bn to
salvage aerospace sector

C L A I R E B U S H E Y— CHICAGO
P E T E R C A M P B E L L— LONDON
E R I C P L AT T— NEW YORK

Fordhas suspended its dividend and
drawn down $15.4bn from two credit
lines to boost its balance sheet, as the
coronavirus pandemic forces it to shut
plantsinNorthAmericaandEurope.

It is the largest drawdown any company
has made because of the pandemic,
according to a Financial Times analysis.
The $15.4bn is intended to offset the cost
of the shutdown, which begins today
and will last until at least March 30.
“Like we did in the great recession,
Ford is managing through the coronavi-
rus crisis in a way that safeguards our
business, our workforce, our customers

and our dealers,” said Jim Hackett, chief
executive, adding that while the com-
pany did not see the pandemic coming,
“we have maintained a strong balance
sheet and ample liquidity so that we
could weather economic uncertainty”.
The company’s shares dropped 5 per
cent on the news, before climbing back
to $4.41. Ford’s lucrative dividend is
regarded as a significant positive for a
stock weighed down by the company’s
attempts to restructure.
Ford also withdrew its 2020 guidance.
The company had $22bn in cash and
$35bn in liquidity at the end of 2019,
which it said was sufficient to manage
through a downturn. “We’re able to add
cash to the balance sheet now because
we anticipated sooner or later we might

need that flexibility. Today’s the day,”
the company said.
The shutdown in North America by
Ford, as well asGeneral Motors andFiat
Chrysler, is the result of negotiations
with the United Auto Workers union.
Ford also moved to boost demand,
saying it would eliminate three months
of payments on new cars and trucks and
allow the next three months to be
deferred. It is not clear how quickly
demand will rebound once people are
no longer in quarantine.
“It’s something that we’re concerned
about,” said Stephen Brown, an automo-
tive analyst at Fitch Ratings said. “If this
blew over in a couple of weeks, it might
not be that significant, but unfortu-
nately, I think it may be more than that.

Ford borrows $15.4bn and suspends


dividend to deal with shutdown costs


how the disease spreads and the scale of
infection, as well as providing crucial
guidance on when emergency measures
such as school closures could be relaxed.
The pharmaceutical federation has
promised to share capacity to allow pro-
duction to increase quickly, once a vac-
cine or treatment has been developed.
The industry will also need to liaise
with governments and regulators on
how to distribute it fairly, said David
Loew, Sanofi’s executive vice-president.
Mr Ricks said any decision “should
transcend national borders: this is a
human crisis, not a national one”. The
price of the drug would be “down to the
inventors and manufacturers”, he said.

Severin Schwan, chief executive of
Roche, said the company was increasing
production of testing kits but that
“demand is far outstripping supply”.
Although millions of tests are now avail-
able a month, he said, only those at high
risk or with symptoms should be tested.
“Broad base” testing is not yet feasible.
The main block to a rapid increase in
testing capacity is not the cost but the
infrastructure and people required to
process samples, he said.
In addition to existing swab tests,
companies are racing to develop an anti-
body test that can determine whether
someone has had coronavirus. That
would allow scientists to understand

The move came just hours after disap-
pointing results from the first clinical
trial of existing antiviral drugs against
the virus and a day after the World
Health Organization announced trials
of potential treatments.
The European Medicines Agency
warned this week the growing number
of small studies of possible treatments
were unlikely to generate enough data
to give definitive results and called for
“a more co-ordinated approach”.
David Ricks, chief executive ofEli
Lilly, said it was crucial that pharma-
ceutical supply chains remained unin-
terrupted and critical workers could get
to labs and production plants.

C A M I L L A H O D G S O N— LONDON


The world’s biggest pharmaceutical
companies have said they will work
together to try to find treatments and a
vaccine to tackle the coronavirus
pandemic.
Executives from companies including
Roche,Sanofi Pasteur andJohnson &
Johnsonpledged yesterday to share
resources and clinical trial data with
governments and each other to help
increase testing capacity and develop
treatments. All members of the Interna-
tional Federation of Pharmaceutical
Manufacturers and Associations signed
up to the pledge.


Pharma groups unite to fight virus


3 Pledge of joint effort on treatment and vaccine 3 Resources and trial data to be shared


The English football season has been
extended indefinitely in a move to limit
the financial damage to the sport from
the coronavirus outbreak.
Last week, England’s top-tier Premier
League was among the many global
sporting competitions to suspend
fixtures, joining the likes of the National
Basketball Association and Formula One
motor racing. Yesterday, the groups that
run professional football in England
published a statement saying they were
“united in our commitment” to
complete all matches this season “as
soon as it is safe and possible to do so”.
The Football Association, English
football’s governing body, has changed
rules that dictated the season must be
completed by June 1, agreeing instead
that the deadline would be “extended
indefinitely for the 2019/20 season in
relation to professional football”.
The decision was made after the
Premier League, the world’s most
valuable domestic competition with
£9.2bn in broadcasting contracts, held a
crisis meeting. KPMG estimates that the
2 0 Premier League clubs stand to lose up
to €1.25bn from lost broadcasting,
ticketing and sponsorship income if the
season ends with no further matches
played.Murad Ahmed

Playing safe


English football


season extended


Efforts must
‘transcend

national
borders: this

is a human
crisis, not

a national
one’

Companies / Sectors / People


Companies
AMS.................................................................
AT&T..............................................................
Adobe.............................................................
Air Dolomiti.................................................
Alibaba...........................................................
Alphabet.......................................................
Amazon................................................7,12,
American Airlines....................................
Andurand Capital....................................
Antero Resources...................................
Apple................................................7,12,14,
Austrian Airlines .....................................
Bang & Olufsen..........................................
Bank of America......................................
Barclays.........................................................
Beyond Meat.............................................
Blackstone...................................................
Boeing.......................................................12,
Breas...............................................................
Brussels Airlines.......................................
California Resources..............................
Chantiers de l’Atlantique....................


Chesapeake Energy...............................
Chipotle.........................................................
Citigroup.......................................................
Copan................................................................
Crest Nicholson.......................................
Deliveroo.......................................................
Dell.....................................................................
Delta................................................................
Elementis.....................................................
Eli Lilly............................................................
Embraer.........................................................
Facebook......................................................
Fiat Chrysler................................................
Fincantieri....................................................
Ford...........................................................11,
General Motors....................................11,
Goldman Sachs.........................................
Gulfport Energy.......................................
Harley-Davidson.....................................
Hilton Worldwide....................................
Huawei.............................................................
Hugo Boss..................................................
HypoVereinsbank....................................

Impala Asset Management..............
Infineon.........................................................
IronClad.........................................................
JPMorgan.....................................................
Johnson & Johnson................................
Kesko.............................................................
Kirkland & Ellis.........................................
LG Electronics.............................................
Lansdowne Partners.............................
Lufthansa.....................................................
Lyft..................................................................
M&G................................................................
McDonald’s.................................................
McLaren........................................................
Meggitt..........................................................
Melexis..........................................................
Microsoft.................................................12,
Millennium Management....................
Morgan Stanley........................................
MorphoSys.................................................
Nissan............................................................
Occidental Petroleum................11,14,

Oracle..............................................................
Osram.............................................................
Panasonic.......................................................
Papa John’s.................................................
Penlon............................................................
Perella Weinberg.....................................
Pets at Home............................................
Philips...............................................................
Qiagen..............................................................
RCMA..............................................................
Roche........................................................11,
Roche ..............................................................
Rothschild & Co.......................................
SK Hynix.........................................................
STMicroelectronics................................
Samsung Electronics...............................
Sanofi Pasteur............................................
Sensirion......................................................
Shake Shack..............................................
Siare Engineering......................................
Skyryse..........................................................
Slack................................................................
Sony...................................................................

Swedbank.....................................................
SwissAir.........................................................
Tencent.........................................................
ThermoFisher...............................................
Twitch............................................................
Uber...........................................................14,
Walt Disney.................................................
Wells Fargo.................................................
Whiting Petroleum.................................
Zoom...............................................................
Sectors
Aerospace & Defence......................12,
Airlines................................................12,13,
Automobiles...........................................11,
Banks...................................................12,13,
Financials..............................12,13,14,19,
Food & Beverage...................................
Industrials.....................................................
Oil & Gas................................................14,
Retail...............................................................
Retail & Consumer.................................
Technology............................7,12,13,14,

Telecoms........................................................
People
Ackman, Bill................................................
Andurand, Pierre.....................................
Boehmig, Jason........................................
Butterfield, Stewart................................
Englander, Izzy.........................................
Evans, Michael.........................................
Groden, Mark.............................................
Hollub, Vicki...............................................
Jobs, Steve..................................................
Khosrowshahi, Dara..............................
King, Doug...................................................
Kun-Hee, Lee...............................................
Lekander, Per............................................
Levatich, Matt..........................................
Nadella, Satya...........................................
Parker, Doug..............................................
Spataro, Jared...........................................
Spohr, Carsten...........................................
Staley, Jes....................................................
Wolfson, Simon.........................................

Remote controlSlack and Microsoft


vie for home workers— ANALYSIS, PAGE 14


Pay backSilicon Valley is set to emerge


from crisis even stronger— INSIDE TECH, PAGE 12


Joe


Rennison


Tail


Risk


When energy companyOccidental Petroleumsold debt
last August, the possibility of a sharp, severe downturn in
both oil markets and credit markets seemed remote. As
such, the company raised $1.5bn through a 10-year bond
with a coupon of just 3.5 per cent.
But that 2029 bond now trades with a yield of over 9 per
cent, after its price has tumbled to just 65 cents on the dol-
lar: just one example of a ferocious turn in investor senti-
ment towards corporate credit.
Late on Wednesday Moody’s became the first agency to
withdraw Occidental’s top-quality credit rating, cutting
$35bn of its debt one notch to “speculative-grade”, or junk.
S&P has said that despite the company’s efforts to bolster
its balance sheet it may do l ikewise.
The sell-off in credit has been “so quick and dramatic”,
said Peter Tchir, chief macro strategist at Academy Securi-
ties in New York. “It is truly astonishing.”
The trend is certainly worth watching. A decade of low
interest rates has encouraged companies to gorge on cheap
debt, but not to the extent of
giving up their precious
“investment-grade” credit
ratings, which make them
eligible to be bought by insti-
tutional investors such as
pension funds and insurers.
Instead, companies like Occi-
dental have sat just above the
threshold marked junk, with
ratings equivalent to triple B.
Now, a deepening crisis stemming from the spread of
coronavirus, coupled with a global oil rout, means a vast
number of companies will join Occidental in slipping down
the ratings ladder. That could prompt fire sales by inves-
tors permitted to hold only higher-rated debt.
The average yield on the top tier of junk bonds, rated
double B, has risen to 7.75 per cent, from a low of 3.63 per
cent in January. But about $320bn of triple B bonds trade
with a higher yield than that, accounting for almost 10 per
cent of total triple Bs outstanding. Investors are in effect
pre-empting a slew of downgrades.
According to Mr Tchir, it is probably good news that the
market has moved ahead of the rating agencies. Down-
grades could be less explosive when they do happen. But if
that full amount does indeed topple into junk, it would
increase the speculative-grade market by 25 per cent. Such
an expansion would be tough to digest.
There is another caveat. Rising yields for triple Bs may
not be linked to higher chances of a downgrade, said Hans
Mikkelson, a strategist at Bank of America, but to some-
thing broader, and more ominous. Many investors are try-
ing to cut exposure to corporate bonds. That means that
even creditworthy companies with ratings a lot higher
than triple B are seeing falling prices and higher yields.
“The investment-grade bond market is broken,” he said.
“This is as ugly as I can remember it.”

joe [email protected]

The ferocious


turn in investor
sentiment

on corporate
credit ‘is truly

astonishing’


MARCH 20 2020 Section:2Front Time: 19/3/2020 - 19: 01 User: andy.puttnam Page Name: 2FRONT USA, Part,Page,Edition: EUR, 11 , 1

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