The Economist UK - 16.11.2019

(John Hannent) #1

28 Britain The EconomistNovember 16th 2019


S


am tarryis pounding the streets of Il-
ford South with an army of Labour activ-
ists. The party’s nomination for the safe
London seat became free earlier this year
after the sitting mp, Mike Gapes, defected
to another party in despair at Jeremy Cor-
byn’s leadership. Mr Tarry, a trade unionist,
got his first taste of politics campaigning
outside his predecessor’s office against the
Iraq war. Mr Gapes “is a warmonger—peo-
ple in Ilford still haven’t forgiven him for
that,” he claims. Labour’s new candidates
are quite different from those they are re-
placing, says Mr Tarry: “We aren’t afraid to
say we are socialists.”
Thirty-eight Labour mps and 52 Conser-
vatives have stood down or switched party
ahead of the election, three times as many
as in 2017 (though fewer than in some pre-
vious years). Most departing Labour mps
were at best lukewarm towards Mr Corbyn.
By contrast, the class of 2019 is closely
aligned with the party’s left-wing leader,
according to our analysis (see chart).
The Tories are undergoing a similar
makeover. Only four of the departing Tory
mps backed Leave in the referendum of


  1. The new generation seems to be
    much more Brexity—though we found that
    some Tories were oddly shy about how they
    voted three years ago. “I’m not telling you
    which side I backed in 2016,” says Colonel
    James Sunderland, who is standing in
    Bracknell. “The class of 2019 are new blood.
    We are going to draw a line under the last
    toxic parliament. We must not think in
    terms of being Remainers and Leavers.”
    Mr Tarry is representative of the kind of
    politician who will be arriving on the La-
    bour benches. Gone are the management


consultants and solicitors, with 45% of the
party’s new candidates in these vacated
seats coming from trade-union back-
grounds. In Birkenhead the regional secre-
tary of the Unite union, Mick Whitley, is re-
placing Frank Field, who is running as an

independent. “Frank walked away from the
party,” says Mr Whitley. “I’m totally op-
posed to his politics. We need radical sol-
utions for Birkenhead.”
Both parties have put forward more
women, who made up 25 of those stepping
down but who number 44 of the candidates
running in their place. British Future, a
think-tank, finds that if all parties win the
same seats as in 2017, there will be 67 eth-
nic-minority mps, up from 52 now.
Unlike Labour, and in spite of their pur-
suit of blue-collar voters, the Tories have
picked most of their candidates from pro-
fessional backgrounds. Westminster in-
siders—including five former mps—make
up nearly a third of candidates in vacated
seats. “People say, ‘Oh, what a posh twat’,”
admits Anthony Mangnall, a former spe-
cial adviser who is standing in Totnes. “But
I’m in debt...Right now, I’m sat in my car
overlooking Royal Naval College Dart-
mouth, and it’s pissing with rain, and I love
it—whether or not it’s glamorous.” 7

New candidates push Labour and the
Tories towards ideological poles

Incoming MPs

The class of 2019


Out with the old...
Britain, profile of outgoing MPs and their
replacement candidates, 2019 general election

Source:The Economist *In 2016 referendum

Labour(38 seats)

Women

Men

Outgoing Incoming

27

11

15

23

Corbyn-
sceptic

Pro-Corbyn

Outgoing Incoming

Neutral

Unknown

Unknown

9

21

8

24

7

5

2

Conservative(52 seats)

Women

Men

Outgoing Incoming

38

14

31

21
Backed
Leave*

Backed
Remain*

Outgoing Incoming

48

4

27

14

11

Farage against the machine
“It’s pointless. It doesn’t get us out of
anything. It doesn’t work at any level. It is
a gigantic con. We should not sell out to
this, it’s a Remainer’s Brexit. It’s virtually
worse than staying where we are.”
Nigel Farage, Brexit Party leader, slams
Boris Johnson’s Brexit deal on November
3rd. bbc

Farage in favour of the machine
“I thought to myself overnight, well, that
actually sounds a bit more like the Brexit
that we voted for. Trade, co-operation,
reciprocity with our European neigh-
bours is what we all want...If the prime
minister is saying he will make sure we

are not part of political alignment, that I
think is a significant step.”
A week later, Mr Farage explains why he
will not run Brexit Party candidates against
Tory incumbents after all

Democratic outrage
“I’m dumbfounded that this government
won’t release the report about Russian
influence, because every person who
votes in this country deserves to see that
report before your election happens.”
Hillary Clinton criticises the government’s
refusal to publish an intelligence report on
Russian meddling in elections. bbc

Boris backs free movement
“Northern Ireland has got a great deal.
You keep free movement. You keep ac-
cess to the single market.”
Mr Johnson defends his deal in Northern
Ireland, inadvertently talking up the bene-
fits of eumembership. Manufacturing ni

Pitch invasion
“The ukelection takes place in one
month. Can things still be turned
around?...The only words that come to
my mind today are simply, ‘Don’t give
up.’ In this match we had added time.
Now we are in extra time. Perhaps it will
even go to penalties.”
Donald Tusk, president of the European
Council and football fan, provides some
commentary on the contest

Speakers’ Corner


The campaign in quotes

Key lines from the third week of the election campaign
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