Financial Times Europe - 23.03.2020

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2 ★ FINANCIAL TIMES Monday23 March 2020


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CORONAVIRUS


JA M E S P O L I T I— WASHINGTON

Congressional Democrats cast doubt on
a quick agreement on fiscal stimulus
worth nearly $2tn to help the US econ-
omy weather the coronavirus outbreak,
after accusing Republicans of being too
generous to corporate America.
“From my standpoint, we’re apart,”
Nancy Pelosi, the Democratic House
Speaker, told reportersyesterday after a
new round of negotiations with Republi-
cans on Capitol Hill and Steven
Mnuchin, the US Treasury secretary.
In the absence of a bipartisan deal, Ms
Pelosi said House Democrats would
plough ahead with their own legislation.
This would later be reconciled with the

Republican proposals, potentially
delaying the arrival of the stimulus and
unnerving markets.
In an urgent bid to limit the fallout
from the coronavirus pandemic, which
has shuttered large parts of the global
economy, Congress and the Trump
administration have been working on a
deal to rapidly provide direct govern-
ment payments to US households and
aid to large and small companies.
Mr Mnuchin had saidyesterday
morning that there was a “fundamental
understanding” over the terms of the
package among the White House,
Republicans and Democrats on Capitol
Hill — and an agreement could be
reached by the end of the day.
“We look forward to wrapping it up
today,” he said in an interview onFox
News Sunday.
“The president is very determined to
protect American workers, we’ve

ordered a major part of the economy to
shut down, and the president wants to
protect them,” he added.
The main features of the stimulus
would be loans to small businesses so
they could retain their workers, which
would be forgiven if it was used to retain
their employees, and direct payments to
US households, worth $3,000 for a fam-
ily of four.
The most controversial element of the
package — which Democrats have
balked at — provides for up to $500bn
that could be used to rescue large com-
panies stricken by the coronavirus out-
break, in addition to $50bn set aside to
help the airline industry.
Democrats have been looking for
assurances that the companies receiv-
ing government help would not be able
to buy back stock, and would restrict
executive compensation. They also
objected to a provision proposed by

Republicans which would delay disclo-
sure of the companies receiving state
aid, saying it amounted to “secret bail-
out authority”.
Finally, Democrats were unhappy
that certain non-profits, like mental
health providers, rape crisis centres,
and family planning facilities, would not
be eligible for loans directed to small
businesses.
“We have to provide real relief to
workers and hold corporations account-
able. That means no corporate bailouts
without investing in the Dignity of
Work,” Sherrod Brown, the Ohio Demo-
cratic senator, saidyesterday.
Mr Mnuchin also noted that another
component would be a “significant
package” to ensure “broad-based” lend-
ing to the US economy through the Fed-
eral Reserve, which has revived oolst
used during the 2008 financial crisis to
boost credit.

Fiscal support


Deal on $2tn US stimulus package stalls


Lack of bipartisan
agreement set to delay aid

measures for companies


ST E FA N I A PA L M A— SINGAPORE

Singaporean lawyer Iman Ibrahim was
enjoying her snowboarding holiday in
Italy, Switzerland and Austria hen thew
coronavirus outbreak in Europe sud-
denly turned the trip into a race home.
With bordersclosing around her and
her flight back to Singapore cancelled,
she drove to Germany and caught what-
ever plane she could back to the south-
east Asian city state.
But what Ms Ibrahim did not know
was just how lucky she was to have
made it home to the city, an interna-
tional financial hub known for its quasi-
authoritarian but effective government.
Three days after her return, she tested
positive for the coronavirus.
Singapore reported its first two deaths
from the pathogen only this past week-
end, despite being one of the first coun-
tries to be hit by the outbreak outside
China two months ago. That has made it
one of the safest placesfor patients of
the disease, which has already killed
more than 13,000 people globally.
The city’s success in dealing with the
outbreak is attributed to the govern-
ment’s speed in imposing border
controls soon after the disease first
erupted in China, meticulous tracing of
known carriers, aggressive testing anda
clear public communication strategy.
“There is nothing they should be
doing differently,” said Ying-Ru
Jacqueline Lo, the World Health Organi-
zation representative to Malaysia,
Brunei Darussalam and Singapore.
But Singapore now faces asecond
wave of cases rom returning travellers,f
such as Ms Ibrahim. Authorities tight-
ened travel restrictions and social dis-
tancing measures aftercases doubled to
455 in the past week. Yet many analysts
believeit will also bring the second wave
under control.
Some of the city state’s advantages in
confronting the outbreak are difficult
for larger western countries to replicate,
such as its small population of 5.7m.

It also learnt from arsS in 2003, which
forced it to strengthen its healthcare.
ButSingapore’s example, in slowing
infection rates, could containlessons for
the US and Europe, which have been
caught wrongfooted by the virus.
As soon as information about the dis-
ease emerged from Wuhan, the city at
the centre of China’s outbreak,Singa-
pore began preparing by ramping up
laboratory capacity for mass testing and
developing its own test kits.
This was seen as instrumental to con-
taining infections andnot overwhelm-
ing hospitals, a problem faced by coun-
tries such as Italy. As ofFriday, Singa-
pore had conducted 38,000 tests, or
about 6,800 examinations per million
population, the health ministry said.
“We used the lead time that China
gave us by its massive shutdown to
really refine our readiness,” said Dale
Fisher, professor of infectious diseases
at the National University of Singapore.
“By the time we had one of our cases, we

were able to do tests and within a week,
tests were available in ajor hospitals.”m
But Leo Yee Sin, executive director at
the National Centre for Infectious Dis-
eases, which was set up after Sars and is
helping spearhead Singapore’s response
to the coronavirus, said: “I don’t con-
sider us lucky. We are just giving the best
of critical care to those affected.”
She said 15 per cent of confirmed
cases were on ventilators in intensive
care, with two undergoing ecmo treat-
ment, whereby bloodis drainedfrom a
person and oxygenated in a machine.
The country’sbusiness community
also moved quickly. Soon after Singa-
pore reported its first cases, banks
divided teamsbetweenoffices, home
working and emergency trading floors.
Butgovernment measures ave alsoh
raised questions about the invasiveness
of the state. Surveillance cameras,
police nd contact-tracing teams havea
helped the government find 7,957 close
contacts of confirmed cases, who have

all been quarantined. The government
on Friday also launched TraceTogether,
an app that uses bluetooth to record dis-
tance between users and the duration of
their encounters. People consent to give
the information, which is encrypted and
deleted after 21 days, to the health min-
istry. t cI ontacts users in case of “proba-
ble contact” with an infectedperson.
“There’s a higher degree of accept-
ance of being monitored by the state,”
said Chong Ja Ian, associate professor of
political science at the NUS.
But Singapore’sbattle is far from over.
To deal with a potential second wave of
infections, the government esterdayy
banned short-term visitors from enter-
ingthe country. Returning residents will
have to undergo quarantine for 14 days
at home or risk a fine of up to S$10,
($6,900) and/or six months in jail.
“This is going to be a long duration
battle,” Prof Leo said.
Additional reporting by Edward White in
Wellington

South-east Asia. eturning travellersR


Singapore well-placed to fight second wave


Mass tests and tracing carriers


saw city state contain disease


and it will again, say analysts


Strict controls:
the government
in Singapore
yesterday
banned short-
term visitors in
an effort to deal
with a potential
new outbreak
EeMing Toh/AP

H E N RY F OY— MOSCOW

Russia has sealed its borders, shut
down schools and delayed sports tour-
namentsin a bid to stop the spread of
the coronavirus. But one thing has
been deemed too important to post-
pone: a public vote to adopt a new con-
stitution that could give Vladimir
Putin12moreyears ntheKremlin.i

While other foreign leaders have steeled
their citizens for a long crisis and have
spoken of a “war” against the pandemic,
Mr Putin has played down the threat
and urged citizens to remain calm in an
effort to minimise panic — and ensure
the nationwide ballot on April 22 takes
place.
Drawn up in a matter of weeks by a
hastily assembled committee of officials
and minor celebrities, Russia’sproposed
new constitution was voted through
both houses of parliament and
endorsed by theconstitutional court
last week.
If it receives the backing of a majority
of voters next month, it will reset Mr
Putin’s term limits and allow the four-
time president to run in two more elec-
tions, potentially extending his regime

to 2036. But a mass outbreak of corona-
virus could derail the president’s
schedule.
“The virus is a challenge and comes at
a very bad moment for him,” said
Tatiana Stanovaya, founder of R. Poli-
tik, a political analyst. “Putin doesn’t
want to postpone and is insisting that
the referendum takes place as soon as
possible... The longer they wait, the
more risks will appear.”
While striving to minimise public
anxiety that could threaten the ballot,
Mr Putin has sought to portray his
vision of a strong, unimpeded — and
long-lasting — presidencyas a strength
during a crisis. Last week he said that
during “upheavals and difficul-
ties... stability may be more impor-
tant and must be given priority”.
Russia has taken some steps to curb
the spread of the virus, though they are
far less drastic than the mass shutdowns
in other major European countries such
as Italy or France.
The government has encouraged
businesses to allow employees to work
from home and closed theatres, muse-
ums, universities and schools. Foreign
citizens were banned from entering the

country and the majority of interna-
tional flights have been cancelled.
At the same time, Mr Putin has sought
to project an image of control, continu-
ing with his diary of local visits and
meetings with senior officials, shaking
hands and never wearing a face mask.
His ministers have urged against panic
buying, stressing that there is enough
food and medicine in the country to
meet demand.
“Thank God, we generally have every-
thing under control so far. Hopefully, it
will continue in the future,” Mr Putin
said at a meeting of dozens of local offi-

cials on Wednesday that appeared to
breach his government’s own rules ban-
ning gatherings of more than 50 people.
“Putin wants turnout of more than 50
per cent, but how can you push people
to come out and vote in this situation?”
said Ms Stanovaya. “When the people
around him see that the president
insists that the situation is not serious,
they don’t want to suggest otherwise.”
Dmitry Peskov, Kremlin spokesman,
told reporters on Wednesday that the
vote could be postponed if “voting will
pose a threat to citizens’ health” but:
“The final decision, of course, will be
made by the president.”
But there are signs of public unease
despite the government’s sanguine mes-
saging. The number of cases rose to 367
yesterday, having trebled in five days.
Empty shelves have begun to appear in
Moscow’s supermarkets, pharmacies
have run out of face masks and hand
sanitiser, and food delivery services
have extended waiting times.
The decision to proceed with the vote
“demonstrates that in Russia, politics is
more important than safety”, wrote
Vladimir Ruvinsky, a columnist for
newspaper Vedomosti.

Russian vote


Putin plays down crisis in push to ensure ballot goes ahead


Russia’s steps to stop the virus are
less drastic than in other countries

Cases so far:


Macron threatened to shut border with
UK unless stricter measures brought in

French president Emmanuel Macron called Boris John-
son, UK prime minister, on Friday and threatened to
close the border with the UK that night unless the Brit-
ish took stronger measures to stop the virus, according
to French newspaper Libération. The Elysée Palace did
not comment but did not deny the call took place.
The UK on Friday ordered the closure of all pubs,
restaurants andgyms. DowningStreet said: “These new
measures were taken based on scientific advice.”

Gaza Strip reports first cases


Global banking body calls for truce
in oil price war and end to US tariffs

G20 leaders should “resolve the global price war on oil
markets” started by two of their members and the US
should drop trade tariffs as part of a co-ordinated effort
to cushion the economic blow from thevirus, the Insti-
tute of International Finance said.
To limit further fallout, the global banking lobby
group urged policymakers to avoid the “beggar thy
neighbour” policies of the Great Depression and instead
encourage free trade.

Boys play football yesterday in the blockaded Gaza Strip,
which has reported its first Covid-19 cases. Two residents
who had returned from Pakistan have tested positive.

328,
cases and 14,366 deaths by 6.25pm on Sunday
Source: Johns Hopkins University, CSSE
Read more at ft.com/coronavirus

CORONAVIRUS


ROUND-UP


German carmakers in talks to shift
production to medical equipment

German carmakers are indiscussions with the govern-
ment about converting some of their production facili-
ties to make medical equipment such as ventilators.
The request from Germany’s economy ministry, first
reported by Bloomberg, comes as political leaders
across Europe and the US press the private sector to
shift capacity to supply products needed to deal with
the pandemic. Volkswagen said in a statement that it
was preparing to help with the efforts.

New York emerges as virus hotspot
as US case numbers surge to 30,

The scale of the coronavirus crisis facing the US was laid
bare yesterday when confirmed cases across the coun-
try surged to almost 30,000 and New York emerged as a
hotspot.New York state governor Andrew Cuomo said
the number of confirmed US cases had increased by
about 8,000 from Saturday to more than 29,000. The
number in New York state rose from 10,000 to 15,000.
Johns Hopkins University data show the US has the
fourth-largest number of cases globally.

‘We have to


provide real
relief to

workers and
hold

[companies]
accountable’

MAKE A SMART INVESTMENT


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