IFR 03.21.2020

(Sean Pound) #1
18 International Financing Review March 21 2020

BARCLAYS CFO TUSHAR MORZARIA, P

“Well, the world has moved on since the full


year. It feels like a lifetime ago at the moment”


Fed reboots crisis-era tools to combat virus fallout


The US FEDERAL RESERVE rebooted three credit
crisis-era lending programmes for banks and
7ALLû3TREETSûTOPûBONDûlRMSûINûANûEFFORTûTOû
restore liquidity to a credit market undergoing
severe strains due to the coronavirus pandemic.
The Fed may bring back even more of these
crisis-era loan facilities to free bank and dealer
balance-sheets in its attempt to encourage
them to lend to consumers and businesses as
risk of a recession has increased.
“The monetary policy response that has
TAKENûPLACEûWILLûDElNITELYûHAVEûAûPOSITIVEûEFFECTû
ONûlNANCIALûMARKETSûGENERALLY vûSAIDû*ASONû
Merrill, investment specialist at Penn Mutual.
Other major central banks also embarked
on dramatic steps to support markets
rocked by the global health crisis.
The ECB last week pledged to boost asset
purchases to about €1.1trn (US$1.2trn) this
year, while the Bank of England increased
its bond purchase programme by £200bn to
£645bn.
#ASHûAVAILABILITYûINûTHEûlNANCIALûSYSTEMû
has dwindled in recent days.
Investors scrambled to stockpile cash and
dumped stocks, corporate bonds and other
risky assets, exacerbating the imbalance
across funding markets.
Companies such as Ford and AB InBev
drawing down their credit lines diminished
the capability of banks to extend lending in
capital markets.
Despite the massive policy response,
lNANCIALûMARKETSûREMAINEDûTURBULENTûASû
stock markets sagged into bear territory and

credit spreads ballooned to their widest
LEVELSûSINCEûTHEûlNANCIALûCRISIS

FED REOPENS CRISIS PLAYBOOK
The Fed’s three recently revived lending
programmes are part of its growing suite of
policy tools that it has deployed this month.
This was reminiscent of what the Fed did
in the aftermath of the collapse of Lehman
Brothers more than 11 years ago.
On March 15, US policymakers slashed short-
term rates by 100bp to near zero and said it
planned to buy at least US$500bn in Treasuries
and US$200bn in mortgage-backed securities.
Two days later, the Fed restarted the
Commercial Paper Funding Facility to
unfreeze the US$1.1trn short-term debt
sector on which some companies rely for
cash to fund payrolls and inventories.
It relaunched the Primary Dealer Credit
Facility which permits primary dealers, or
THEûûlRMSûTHATûDOûBUSINESSûDIRECTLYûWITHû
the central bank, to borrow from the Fed by
posting as collateral a wide range of
investment-grade debt securities and even
certain types of equity securities.
And the Fed once again became a
backstop for US$3.8trn money fund
industry, which is a major buyer of CP.
Through the Money Market Mutual Fund
Liquidity Facility, it directed the Boston
Federal Reserve to make loans secured by
short-dated, high-quality assets purchased
BYûELIGIBLEûlNANCIALûINSTITUTIONSûFROMûMONEYû
market mutual funds.

While these “alphabet soup” programmes,
often referred to by their acronyms, would
HELPûMOVEûCREDITûACROSSûTHEûlNANCIALûSYSTEM û
their intended effect may take some time to
WORKûASûMARKETûCONlDENCEûISûRATTLEDûBYûTHEû
potential impact of the coronavirus outbreak.
Doubts persist about their effectiveness
because the market chaos stems from a
HEALTHûCRISIS ûNOTûAûlNANCIALûONE
“My only thought here is that if this was a
2008-style credit crisis then it would
probably work, but it’s not,” said Kevin
'IDDIS ûCHIEFûlXED
INCOMEûSTRATEGISTûATû
Raymond James Investment Service.
Giddis and other market players believe a
comprehensive plan to contain the virus and

BoE steps in with crisis plan, including with CCFF


As corporate borrowers begin to feel the effects
of distortions in the CP market, the UK Treasury
and Bank of England have announced the
Covid Corporate Financing Facility (CCFF) to
SUPPORTûCOMPANIESûlNANCINGûNEEDS
It was part of a raft of drastic measures
last week as central banks around the world
SCRAMBLEDûTOûlGHTûOFFûTHEûTHREATûOFûAûGLOBALû
recession. The BoE promised £200bn of
bond purchases and cut its key interest rate
to 0.1% in a second emergency move in just
over a week – the benchmark bank rate had
been 0.75% as recently as March 11.
They also voted unanimously to restart
buying government bonds and corporate
DEBTûFORûTHEûlRSTûTIMEûSINCEû ûAûDAYûAFTERû
the European Central Bank ramped up its
debt-buying too. The £200bn increase, at 9%
of British GDP, was even bigger than the
ECB’s which was equivalent to 6% of the

eurozone’s economic output, and took the
BoE’s total asset purchase plan to £645bn.
Earlier, and with less fanfare, the BoE’s
move with CCFF is aimed at providing
funding to businesses through the purchase
of one-year and shorter commercial paper
issued by companies that make “a material
contribution to the UK economy”.
The scheme is designed to provide
working capital to companies facing
CASHmOWûCHALLENGESûBECAUSEûOFûTHEûIMPACTû
of the coronavirus.
Companies have been struggling to raise
new or even roll over CP, according to
bankers.
“You’ve seen news from some corporates
drawing on RCFs,” said one banker. “The CP
market is starting to be distorted with issuers
unsuccessful in raising new CP and some
investors even no longer rolling their CP.”

“IT WON’T COME CHEAP”
Borrowers have been renewing existing
revolvers in recent days. 3i Group, the
private equity and infrastructure-focused
investor for example, has just signed a
aMûlVE
YEARûFACILITY
/NLYûlRMSûTHATûWEREûINûGOODûlNANCIALû
health before the crisis will be able to access
THEû##&&ûlNANCING ûWHICHûWILLûBEûGIVENûONû
terms comparable to those available in the
market prior to the economic shock.
%LIGIBILITYûWILLûBEûBASEDûONûlRMSûCREDITû
ratings before the impact of the virus.
“By providing an alternative source of
lNANCEûFORûAûWIDEûRANGEûOFûCOMPANIES ûTHEû
scheme will help to preserve the capacity of
the banking system to lend to other
companies, including small and medium-
sized enterprises, which rely on banks,” said
the BoE.

Note: Does not include actions on lending facilities swap
lines, interest rate cuts
Source: Reuters

US$bn

0

200

400

600

800

1,

1,

1,

United
Kingdom

United Eurozone Japan
States
 Monetary  Fiscal

GLOBAL ECONOMIC RESPONSE TO A PANDEMIC

5 IFR PM 2325 p 13 - 22 .indd 18 20 / 03 / 2020 20 : 28 : 45

Free download pdf