The Week UK 21.03.2020

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Shares CITY 55


21 March 2020 THE WEEK

Experian
InvestorsChronicle
Theglobalinformationservices
firmgathers,managesand
analysesdataforpersonal
credit-scoringandbusiness-to-
businessoperations.Margins
arerisingsteadilyasitexpands
intonewsectorsandterritories.
Buy.£24.70.


Hill&Smith
TheDailyTelegraph
Hill&Smithmakesgalvanised
roadbarriersandhasa“very
profitable”businessrenting
themout.Awell-run,stellar
performerwithastrong
balancesheetthat’s“broadly
immune”fromthe
coronavirus.Buy.£ 13 .10.


PolymetalInternational
TheSundayTelegraph
SharesintheFTSE 1 00’sonly
preciousmetalsminerare
risingwiththepriceofgold.
Costsandoutputshould
remainsteady,butexposure
toRussiameansgeopolitical
uncertainty.Risky,butyields
5%.Buy.£12.23.

StModwenProperties
TheDailyTelegraph
The“brownfield”regeneration
specialisthasrepositionedits
commercialportfoliotowards
industrialandlogisticalassets.
Littleexposuretoretailand
lowdebtshouldguardagainst
toughertimes.Nowata 1 2%
discount.Buy.445p.

TTElectronics
InvestorsChronicle
Theelectronicsengineer’s
rebalancetowardsaerospace,
defenceandmedicalrevenue
hashelpeditweather
macroeconomicchallenges.
Capexandrestructuring
shouldboostmarginsand
bringcostbenefits.Buy.1 97 p.

WHSmith
TheSundayTimes
Thenewsagent’scrucial
travelbusinesshasbeenhit
byvirus-relatedtravelbans,
causingsharestoplummet.
ButSmithscanrideoutthe
storm,andsharesmaysoon
represent“somethingofa
bargain”.Buy.£11.19.

Who’s tipping what


Theweek’sbest shares


...and some to hold, avoid or sell


Capita
InvestorsChronicle
The outsourcer is shifting
towards higher-margin
consultancy,digitalservices
andsoftware provision. But
theturnaround hasbeen
slower andmorecostly
than anticipated anddebt
hassoared.Sell. 78p.


DerwentLondon
The DailyTelegraph
Thisreal-estateinvestment
trusthas hada“superrun”,
havingcut vacanciesand
increasedrental incomewith
“a nicespread” of tenants.No
longerabargain,butasolid
playonthe Londonproperty
market.Hold.£39.20.


Devro
InvestorsChronicle
Thesausage-casingprovider’s
decline in itskey mature
markets (UK, Japan and
Europe)isworrying.But it
continuestocut costs and
the targeted growth strategy
in emerging markets is
promising.Hold. 151p.

IAG
The Times
Basedonleverage andcash,
the airline group shouldn’t be
in jeopardy. Butsuspended,
reducedandcancelled flights
willhit profits and revenues
as tourism andbusiness travel
worriesabound andlookto
be long-lasting.Avoid. 334p.

Kier Group
InvestorsChronicle
Theconstructionservices
grouphas madeprogresswith
cost savings and reducing its
supply chainfinancing. Butit
remains inthered andwon’t
reap its£1bnHS2rewarduntil
constructionbegins in earnest.
Sell. 121p.

Lookers
InvestorsChronicle
Thebeleagueredcarretailer,
whichis subjecttoanongoing
FCA probe,has postponed
results after uncovering
“potentiallyfraudulent
transactions”.Thisraises
serious questions about its
financialcontrols.Sell. 28.3p.

Directors’ dealings

LondonStock
ExchangeGroup

Waqas Samad,director of
informationservices, has
thrown confidencetothe wind
selling shares worth £1.65m
amidashort-lived rally.There
are risk sassociatedwiththe
Refinitivdeal, butthe LSE has
long-term momentum.

Form guide

Shares tipped 12 weeks ago
Best tip
Pets at Home
The Daily Telegraph
down 20.36% to 198.3p
Worst tip
Asos
The Daily Telegraph
down 66.85% to £10.42

Market view
“We’re almost inaworld-war
type situation. Even in a
global recession, you don’t
normally have an environ-
ment where businesses
completely shut down.”
Alastair Gunn of Jupiter
Asset Management. Quoted
in The Times

SOURCE

:INVESTORS CHRONICLE

Market summary


6-monthmovement in the FTSE100index

17 Mar 2020 Week before Change (%)
FTSE 100 5294.90 5960.23 –11.16%
FTSE All-share UK 2894.32 3332.98 –13.16%
Dow Jones 20933.90 23861.73 –12.27%
NASDAQ 7280.50 7995.67 –8.94%
Nikkei 225 17011.53 19867.12 –14.37%
Hang Seng 23263.73 25392.51 –8.38%
Gold 1487.70 1672.50 –11.05%
Brent Crude Oil 29.53 37.06 –20.32%
DIVIDEND YIELD(FTSE 100) 6.28% 5.57%
UK 10-year gilts yield 0.56 0.24
US 10-year Treasuries 0.89 0.64
UK ECONOMIC DATA
Latest CPI (yoy) 1.8% (Jan) 1.3% (Dec)
2.2% (Dec)
+4.1% (Jan)

Latest RPI (yoy) 2.7% (Jan)
Halifax house price (yoy) +2.8% (Feb)
£1 STERLING $1.185 E1.080 ¥127.252

Key numbers for investors Best and worst performing shares Following the Footsie

WEEK’S CHANGE, FTSE 100 STOCKS
RISES Price %change
Ocado Group 1361.00 +26.31
Spirax-Sarco Engr. 9055.00 +8.97
Hargreaves Lansdown 1449.50 +8.50
Admiral Group 2232.00 +7.41
Takeaway Com 6560.00 +6.67
FALLS
JD Sports Fashion 342.30 –46.38
Carnival 942.60 –43.05
Intl.Cons.Airl.Gp. 239.20 –43.02
Tui (Lon) 280.40 –42.54
easyJet 595.80 –40.48
BEST AND WORST UK STOCKS OVERALL
Redx Pharma 15.00 +130.77
Ashley (Laura) 0.31 –78.60
Source: Datastream (not adjusted for dividends). Prices on 17 Mar (pm)

5,000
Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar

7,000

6,000

8,000

Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar

7,500

8,500

8,000

7,000

6,500

Director
sells 20,890
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