2 ★ FINANCIAL TIMES Friday21 February 2020

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I

ts onset has been visible for some time; such is the

nature of slow-motion wrecks. Unfortunately we can-

not press the fast-forward button. Wednesday night’s

debate in Las Vegas as the Democratic party’s nasti-w

est so far — with Michael Bloomberg its clear loser.

Nevertheless, the Democratic race is likely to boil down to

a fight between him andBernie Sanders. There are few

ways that a zero-sum contest between a self-funded old

billionaire and a stubborn old socialist could end in a

friendly armistice. There are many in which the collision

could play out. Almost none ntails a happy ending fore

Democrats.

Similarities between Mr Sanders’ ampaign andc Donald

Trump’s in 2016 are apt, eachwith militant supporters

happy to indulge in social media harassment and charac-

ter assassination. Barely half of Mr Sanders’ supporters

would vote for Mr Bloomberg if he became the nominee,

according to a recent poll. That share would almost cer-

tainly rise as the spectre of a Trump second term loomed.

But Mr Trump would need to capture only a slice of the

“Bernie Bro” constituency — the politically incorrect ele-

ment of the US senator’s base — to tip the election his way.

That is what happened in 2016. An estimated tenth of Mr

Sanders’ supporters voted against Hillary Clinton.

Mr Sanders is trying to do a Trump-like hostile takeover

of theDemocratic party. He enjoys similar tactical advan-

tages. Like Mr Trump, Mr Sanders has benefited from a

packed field of conventional candidates who have spent

most of their firepower attacking each other, with

Wednesday’s debatethe most combustible exampleso far.

Like Mr Trump at the

same point in 2016, Mr

Sanders is spurned by his

party’s establishment.

Nowadays that is taken as

a virtue. A single Iowa leg-

islator endorsed the Ver-

mont senator efore theb

state’s caucus this month

against double-digit

endorsements for most, including Joe Biden and Elizabeth

Warren. Yet Mr Sanderswon the most votes.

Finally, like the US president, Mr Sanders believes he is

heading a movement, not a campaign. People who lead

causesdo not drop out. Butbillionaires do not drop out,

either. Anyone who thinks Mr Bloomberg will fold if he

underperforms s not paying attention. The former Newi

York mayor has sunk $400m of his wealth into this race so

far,roughly a tenth of his probable annual return from his

$54bn personal fortune. He could do the same 10 times

overand not touch is capital —h one terrible debate will

not change that.

Mr Sanders wants a revolution. Mr Bloomberg wants a

restoration. The contours of one increasingly likely colli-

sion came at the end of Wednesday’s debate. Every candi-

date, barring Mr Sanders, said they would accept the rules

of a brokered presidential convention. Mr Sanders alone

insisted that the candidate with the most votes should be

the nominee — even if they had less than half thedelegates.

The danger is that this is precisely what will happen. Mr

Sanders has a clear lead in the national polls but is unlikely

to win a majority of the delegates. Besides Mr Bloomberg,

the restdo not have enough cash to stay in the race for long.

In another democracy, Mr Sanders would belong to a dif-

ferent party. Mr Bloomberg would too. The first calls him-

self a socialist. The second is essentially what used to be

called a Rockefeller Republican. The question is whether

their shared antipathy to Mr Trump is greater than their

differences. In theory, both would answer yes. In practice,

New York’s former mayor is seen bythe other candidates

as a plutocrat who bought the silence of sexually harassed

former employeesand his place on the Democratic stage.

Mr Sanders s seen as an ageing coronary patient whosei

extravagant promises would deliver Mr Trump a second

term.Writer Jorge Luis Borgeslikened the UK-Argentina

war over the Falkland Islands to two bald men fighting

over a comb. It would also serve as an apt forecast of a

Bloomberg-Sanders showdown.

[email protected]

GLOBAL INSIGHT

WASHINGTON

Edward

Luce

Showdown unlikely

to have happy ending

for Democrats

Sanders is trying

to do a Trump-like

hostile takeover

of the

Democratic party

L AU R E N F E D O R — WASHINGTON

Michael Bloomberg’s campaign insisted
his big-money bid to win the Demo-
cratic party presidential nomination
remained on course yesterday after he
came under withering fire from rival
candidates in his debut debate.
The billionaire former mayor of New
York City came under sustained attack
as his opponents accused him of trying
to buy the election and questioned his
record on race and gender.
“I don’t think Bloomberg can recover
from the debate last night,” said Demo-
cratic strategist Mary Anne Marsh.
“What everyone sawwas not the guy in
the TV ads. They saw the real Michael
Bloomberg.”

Mr Bloomberg, worth an estimated

$62bn, has already spent hundreds of

millions of dollars of his own money on

his bid, in a move that appears to have

paid off in public opinion polling. He

qualified for Wednesday’s debate after a

national poll this week showed him sec-

ond place in the still crowded Demo-

cratic presidential field, trailing only

Vermont senator Bernie Sanders.

But many strategists said his debate

performance was likely to dent support.

He came under fierce fire from Sena-

tor Elizabeth Warren, who called him “a

billionaire who calls women fat broads

and horse-faced lesbians”.

She attacked Mr Bloomberg over non-

disclosure agreements involving

women he worked with, who alleged

sexual harassment and gender discrimi-

nation. Despite repeated questioning,

Mr Bloomberg refused to say he would

release the women from the agree-

ments, saying: “None of them accuse me

of doing anything other than maybe

they didn’t like a joke I told.”

Ms Warren and Mr Sanders also tore

into Mr Bloomberg’s “stop and frisk”

policy as New York mayor, which they

said disproportionately targeted people

of colour.

Simon Rosenberg, president of New

Democrat Network, a centre-left think-

tank, said Mr Bloomberg’s response on

women and race had put him in jeop-

ardy.“His failure to address these two

simple things that [his campaign] knew

were coming was alarming. He had a

shot and he failed.”

But Kevin Sheekey, Mr Bloomberg’s

campaign manager, insisted: “He was

just warming up last night. It took Mike

just three months to build a stronger

campaign than the rest of the field had

built in more than a year. It took him

just 45 minutes in his first debate in 10

years to get his legs on the stage.”

Nathan Gonzales, author of the non-

partisan Inside Elections newsletter,

acknowledged Mr Bloomberg had a bad

night. “But will it matter?” he added.

“Only a small percentage of Democratic

primary voters will have watched the

debate. A few more will see news cover-

age. But Bloomberg is likely to continue

to spend tens of millions of dollars pro-

jecting another image, one that will be

seen by more voters.”

The real test for Mr Bloomberg will

come on “Super Tuesday” on March 3,

when Democrats vote in more than a

dozen states, including California and

Texas. He skipped the early voting

states and is not on the ballot in Satur-

day’s Nevada caucuses or the following

South Carolina primary.

The latest Las Vegas Review-Journal

poll showed Mr Sanders in the lead in

Nevada, on 25 per cent, followed by

former vice-president Joe Biden on 18

per cent, and Ms Warren on 13 per cent.

Editorial Comment age 8p

US election

Bloomberg just warming up, says aide

Billionaire under fire in

Democratic debate over

record on race and gender

‘It took

Mike just

three

months to

build a

stronger

campaign

than the

rest of the

field in

more than

a year’

D E M E T R I S E VA STO P U LO — WASHINGTON
G U Y C H A Z A N —BERLIN

Donald Trump has named Richard
Grenell, the American ambassador to
Germany, to lead the US intelligence
community asacting director of
national intelligence, in a move that
sparked condemnation by Democrats.
Announcing the appointment on
Twitter, the president wrote: “Rick has
represented our country exceedingly
well and I look forward to working with
him.”
Mr Grenell, who will continue in his
role as ambassador, has ruffled feathers
in Germany with his frequent attacks on
its relatively low military spending, its
use ofHuawei elecommunicationst
equipment and its support for the Nord
Stream 2 pipeline bringing Russian gas
to Europe
The appointment places a staunch
loyalist at the top of an intelligence com-
munity hat has had a complicated rela-t
tionship with Mr Trump, who at times
has referred to his own security officials
as the “deep state”.
A f ormer US spokesman at the UN
when John Bolton was the incumbent
American ambassador, Mr Grenell will
succeed Joseph Maguire, a retired navy
admiral. Mr Maguire had been serving
as actingdirector of national intelli-
gence since the departure of Dan Coats,
a former Indiana senator who had also
served as US ambassador to Germany.
Mr Maguire came to national promi-
nence last year over his role in deter-
mining that the CIA whistleblower who
sparked the Ukraine-related impeach-
ment investigation against Mr Trump
had valid concerns that needed to be
looked into.
Democrats attacked Mr Grenell’s
appointmentbecause of hislack of
experience in the intelligence field, par-
ticularly given that the position over-
sees the 17 security agencies that make
up the US intelligence community.
They also criticised Mr Trump for

naming Mr Grenell as the “acting” head

of the intelligence community, a move

that prevents the Senate from carrying

out its traditional role of vetting official

nominations.

“The president has selected an indi-

vidual without any intelligence experi-

ence,” said Mark Warner, the top Demo-

crat on the Senate intelligence commit-

tee. “This is the second acting director

the president has named to the role

since the resignation of Dan Coats,

apparently in an effort to sidestep the

Senate’s constitutional authority to

advise and consent on such critical

national security positions.”

Mr Trump last year named John Rat-

cliffe, a Texas congressman, to succeed

Mr Coats, who had angered the presi-

dent by contradicting the commander-

in-chief over US assessments about Rus-

sia, Iran and North Korea and also by

criticising remarks Mr Trump made at a

news conference with Russian president

Vladimir Putin in Helsinki. Mr Ratcliffe

withdrew his nominationafter intense

criticism, including from some Republi-

cans, over his lack of experience and

amid concerns about the veracity of

claims he made on his CV about his

national security credentials.

Mr Grenell, who will be the first gay

member of the cabinet, has been an out-

spoken supporter of Mr Trump and his

“America First” policy. The DNI posi-

tion wascreated after the September 11

attacks in 2001revealedsilos in the US

intelligence community that prevented

officials fromsharing information.

A US official said that Mr Grenell

would also continue as Mr Trump’s spe-

cial envoy to the Kosovo-Serbia dia-

logue, though most of his time would

now be spent in Washington. He said it

was not his understanding that the

Trump administration would nominate

Mr Grenell as its permanent DNI.

Mr Grenell’s abrasive, decidedly

undiplomatic style has earned him few

friends in Berlin.Last March he warned

the German economy ministry that the

US would scale back intelligence sharing

with German spy agencies unless Berlin

blocked Huawei from taking part in the

rollout of its superfast fifth-generation

mobile network.

Officials say Mr Grenell has in recent

months trampled on diplomatic con-

vention by failing to show up at events

that have near-hallowed significance for

modern Germany. He was absent from

the Bundestag last month when Israeli

president Reuven Rivlin made a speech

to lawmakers marking the 75th anniver-

sary of the liberation of Auschwitz.

He did not attend a ceremony com-

memorating the 75th anniversary of the

allied bombing of Dresden, in which

25,000 people perished.

“It is highly unorthodox for an ambas-

sador to skip events like this,” said one

German official.

White House. ational securityN

Trump attacked for intelligence pick

Critics say envoy to Berlin

lacks experience for job of

overseeing 17 US spy agencies

Abrasive style:

Richard Grenell

in Munich last

week. He has

warned Berlin

not to give

Huawei a part in

the rollout of

Germany’s 5G

mobile network

ThomasKienzle/AFP/Getty

K A D H I M S H U B B E R — WASHINGTON

Roger Stone, thelongtime confidant fo

Donald Trump, has been sentenced to

40 months in prison by a federal judge

in Washington who has been the target

of repeated attacks by the president.

Mr Stone, 67, a veteran Republican

political operative, was convicted last

year of lying to Congress, obstruction

and witness tampering to protect Mr

Trump.

The sentence, handed down by Judge

Amy Berman Jacksonyesterday, came

following almost two weeks of contro-

versy over the US justice department’s

handling of the case that erupted after

William Barr, Mr Trump’s attorney-

general, reversed a recommendation by

career prosecutors that Mr Stone serve

up to nine years in jail.

Mr Trump has publicly attacked the

prosecutors, allfour of whom quit the

case fter the sentencing reversal, asa

well as Judge Jackson and a juror in Mr

Stone’s trial. The attorney-general has

insisted his decision o overrule thet

prosecutors was made independently of

the president.

Judge Jackson in courtyesterday

rejected suggestions that Mr Stone’s

prosecution had anything to do with

politics — something that Mr Trump has

asserted in his repeated tweets about

the case.

“He was not prosecuted, as some have

complained, for standing up for the

president,” she said. “He was prose-

cuted for covering up for the president.”

The events surrounding Mr Stone’s

sentencing have sparked accusations

that Mr Barr is giving special treatment

to the president’s allies and focused

attention on Mr Trump’sclaims of abso-

lute authority o direct criminal prose-t

cutions, even those of his friends.

John Crabb, a senior prosecutor in the

US attorney’s office in Washington, told

Judge Jackson the prosecution of Mr

Stone was “righteous” and said the jus-

tice department was committed to

enforcing the law “without fear or

favour or political influence”.

Mr Crabb was grilled by Judge Jackson

on why the justice department had

changed course. Apologising for the

confusion, he said the original team had

“authorisation by the US attorney’s

office to file the sentencing memo”, but

there had been a miscommunication

between the interim US attorney in

Washington, Timothy Shea, and Mr

Barr.

Mr Crabb asked for the judge to sen-

tence Mr Stone to a “substantial period

of incarceration” but declined to specify

how long despite that being the stand-

ard practice for his office.

“Under the unique facts and circum-

stances presented in this matter, it is

particularly appropriate for the govern-

ment to defer to the court,” he said.

Seth Ginsberg, Mr Stone’s attorney,

urged the judge not to jail his client, say-

ing that his family would “suffer tre-

mendously if he is incarcerated”.

Mr Stone declined to speak on his own

behalfyesterday: “Your honour, I

choose not to speak at this time, thank

you very much.” He appeared impassive

as Judge Jacksonsentenced him.

Mr Stone was the last person indicted

by Robert Mueller, the special counsel

appointed to investigate links between

Mr Trump’s 2016 campaign and the

Russian government, before he

wrapped up his probewithout establish-

ing criminal conspiracy between thea

campaign and Russia.

Theself-described “dirty trickster”,

who has a tattoo of Richard Nixon on his

back, was convicted for lying to Con-

gress in 2017 about his contacts with

WikiLeaks during the 2016 campaign.

He had publicly claimed to have an

“intermediary” with Julian Assange as

the WikiLeaks founder released a trove

of documents stolen from the Demo-

cratic National Committee in a hack the

US has attributed to Russia.

Mr Stone’s lies to Congress included

false information about the identity of

the intermediary, a jury concluded last

November. The jury also found him

guilty of witness tampering after he

threatened another witness before Con-

gress to ensure they did not contradict

him. Mr Stone has asked for a retrial.

Judge Jackson said earlier this week that

any sentence she imposed would not

take effect until the motion for a new

trial was resolved.

Stone trial

US president’s longtime ally sentenced to 40 months in prison

I N T E R N AT I O N A L

Judge Amy

Berman Jackson

said Roger Stone

was ‘prosecuted

for covering up for

the president’

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