Financial Times Europe - 09.03.2020

(Steven Felgate) #1

18 ★ FINANCIAL TIMES Monday9 March 2020


When was the last time you wore an
orange T-shirt to the office? Have you
ever ducked away from your deskto
take a friend’s dog for awalk? And
when was the last time you tried to
take a shower, only to be stopped over
and over again by co-workers sending
“urgent” emails?
I did these things last week because
I’m a coronavirus office refugee — and
pretty soon, I suspect, many of us
will be. For almost a month, I’ve been
stranded in London instead of at home
in Hong Kong. An underlying health
condition means my doctor thought I
would be safer here than over there.
Now, I’m staying and working in a
friend’s home.
As coronavirus spreads across
Europe and the US, colleagues who had
asked me what it was like to live and
work in a city plunged into crisis — first
by months of anti-government protests
and now by a health emergency — are
finding out for themselves.
Coronavirus is the black swan
management challenge of the age of
globalisation.Companies are being
forced to buy bucketloads of hand
sanitiser and instruct staff about the
importance of personal hygiene. They
are cancelling travel and everyone is


having to quickly develop and
implement plans for remote working.
It is manageable — just. But for all
the flimflam about the wonders of
working anywhere and being agile, this
crisis has unearthed a host of
unexpected challenges.
For a start, technology is a help but
no panacea. Platforms including Slack,
WhatsApp and Microsoft Teamsallow
organisations to communicate. Video
technologies, such as Skype and Zoom,
help too. But these requiretheir own
etiquette. The friend who is housing
me is a fashion industry consultant and
also works from home. He thinks
carefully about how he looks for video
calls — he is in fashion after all — and
the background clients see.
I was reminded of this whena senior
colleague, who was working from
home,appeared onscreen in a lackb
T-shirt. It was a slightly alarming sight
at first but that quickly gave way to

reassurance that I was not the only one
dressed like a student while producing
a business newspaper.
The second thing coronavirus has
revealed about organisations is how
much managers trust their people. It is
common forHQ to ignore or dismiss a
regional outpost. That feeling is
amplified for staff who are suddenly
forced to work at home. Despite all the
messaging platforms, a crisis like this
makes it ever more important to
empower and have faith in your able
lieutenants. And if they do well, drop
them a note or call to tell them.
Coronavirus has also showed how
intertwined our personal and
professional lives are. The biggest
challenge for many in Hong Kong has
been the closure of schools. Teachers
hold daily Google Hangouts with the
children and schools have put reams of
content online. But for younger pupils,
it is impossible to keep up without a
parent helping out as a full-time,
at-home teacher.
Japan and Italy have closed schools
and it seems likely that other
jurisdictions will follow suit. Given how
many families have two working
parents, companies have to brace
themselves for a potentially huge

disruption affecting multiple
employees at the same time.
Organisations and managers that
handle this well will engender loyalty
and productivity.
But perhaps what is most revealing
about coronavirusis that it has shown
us whatwe’re missing out on. For my
kids, it is the social aspect of school
itself. For many of us workers, that
same feeling comes partly from our
interactions at the office. We bemoan
the politics or the commute, and yet we
need it as social beings. The
conversations in the canteen or the
boost you get when someone offers to
maketea cannot be replaced by the
ping of a essagem in your inbox.
The evolutionary psychologistRobin
Dunbaronce told me that in-person
interaction is an essential part of how
humans maintain communities, build
meaningful relationships and learn
how to compromise. “In a digital
environment, you can just pull the
plug,” he said.
These are qualities that are essential
to office life. And the joy of wearing a
T-shirt and hanging out with a cute dog
will never replace that.

[email protected]

“For all the flimflam about
the wonders of working

anywhere, this crisis has
unearthed a host of

unexpected challenges”


Coronavirus


crisis shows


office workers


what we miss


CROSSWORD
No. 16,420 Set by FALCON
 

 

 

  

   

  

 

 

JOTTER PAD


ACROSS
1 Honest pitch in fun park (10)
7 Stand in pub full of energy (4)
9 Station a long way? Miles (4)
10 Part of a large church team
the Spanish man included
(4,6)
11 Fertiliser in container for
plant, for instance, beginning
to hum (6)
12 What a maverick may throw
away to lead order? (8)
13 It’s extremely short opening
(8)
15 Couple I came across heading
west (4)
17 Deer having short leg (4)
19 Cowboy with rod crossing
river (8)
22 Stick surrounding bishop, a
bishop back in capital (8)
23 Broadcast from Nether
Alderley (6)
25 Different approach involving
end to play, line being
unauthenticated (10)
26 One acquiring right to develop
area of land (4)
27 Part of the barracks in an
untidy state (4)
28 Musical instrument coming
after organ – hearing aid
required! (3,7)

DOWN
2 Seaman, on his tod, finds
edible mollusc (7)
3 Alcoholic drink wicked
daughter put out – something
from Cuba (5)
4 Busy time of day in plant by
hotel belonging to us (4,4)
5 Indisposed subordinate,
British subject? (5,3,7)
6 GP, say, on French island,
easily managed (6)
7 Finch seen by leader of bunch
walking for pleasure (9)
8 Sign put up in an English plant
(7)
14 Large amount of money, for
example, in Massachusetts
county (9)
16 Composer, retiring character,
one who’s never married (8)
18 Pair set off, wander aimlessly
(7)
20 Become bigger, in general,
after adjustment (7)
21 Mole in the region of the
genitals, reportedly? (6)
24 Genuine marks, a field of
interest (5)

Above average Joe
Meet the 81-year-old behind the

hipsterAeroPress coffee system
ZCOMPANIES & MARKETS

Ravi Mattu


Business Life


The biggest challenge
for many parents in
Hong Kong has been
the closure of schools
Kin Cheung/AP

Where spreadsheets are used


Auditing and controls

Corporate performance reporting

Comparative analysis

Model validation

Financial planning and analysis

Departmental budgeting/forecasting

Revenue recognition/sales compensation

Financial disclosures and SEC filings

Spreadsheets
Combination of spreadsheets and
other databases/reporting tools

Probability of bottom-line error
Per cent

Sources: Forrester Consulting; FT Research

Probability of individual cell error (%)

Number of cells
in spreadsheet

{ }


To err is human. To do so expansively
requires a harassed data drone
plugging numbers into a spreadsheet.
This week, a former minister blamed
“administrative errors” for the addition
of projects costing A$3.3m ($2.2m) to a
worksheet of Australian government
spending after it had been approved.
Cynics suspect a conspiracy. Cock-ups
are more common in ordinary office life.
The ingredients of spreadsheet hell
and the numeric mistakes that come
with it are as follows. Item One: a
delusional boss asking the impossible
(“Jo, just tot up the standardised
risk-weighted assets of the world’s top
1,000 banks for me, would you?) Item
Two: a short deadline. Item Three: a
desk littered with empty coffee cups,
popped ibuprofen packets and
half-eaten pizza slices.
Magnificent bloopers may result. A
forgotten negative sign once led
Fidelity’s Magellan fund team to
miscalculate a loss of $1.3bn as a gain.
JPMorgan Chase’s $6.2bn trading
losses in 2012 — the “London Whale”
incident — were traced back to
mistakes in the financial model used to
calculate the risks associated with the
trades. This required data to be
manually copied from one Excel
spreadsheet to another.

It is not just finance. In 2016, an
Excel snafu led Marks and Spencer to
announce that sales had risen in the
quarter. They had fallen. The UK
retailer only realised the error when
discussing the results with an analyst.
In 2013, a graduate student rocked
the case for fiscal austerity by finding
errors in an Harvard University paper
on public debt and growth. Five critical
rows of spreadsheet had been omitted
when calculating an average.
Such incidents are the thin edge of a
very big wedge. The chances of making
a mistake in any particular cell are small
— likely to be in the range of 1-5 per
cent. But errors cascade down to
subsequent cells, so the bottom line in
large spreadsheets is highly likely to be
wrong. A study of 15,770 spreadsheets
used by Enron found nearly a quarter of
those containing formulas were flawed.
Overconfidence is partly to blame.
The best fix is thorough testing,
according to Raymond Panko, a
University of Hawaii professor.
That is time-consuming. Some
managers do not understand or care.
The boss of cartoon toiler Dilbert
thought spreadsheet mistakes were
fine if the final number was the one he
wanted. How many times does that go
undetected? Lots, probably.

Spreadsheets:


catalogue of errors


MARCH 9 2020 Section:Features Time: 8/3/2020- 17:08 User:lyndsey.jones Page Name:1BACK, Part,Page,Edition:EUR, 18, 1

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