Wall St.Journal Weekend 29Feb2020

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A2| Saturday/Sunday, February 29 - March 1, 2020 ** THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.


U.S. NEWS


unique name was one held by
only one individual in a given
birth cohort. Exclusive names
were given only to members
of a particular racial group.
Assignable names were dis-
proportionately given to the
members of one race.
Names the researchers
identified as distinctively
black were both frequently
and disproportionately given

THE NUMBERS|By Jo Craven McGinty


Research Ties Historic Black Names to Longer Life


Distinc-
tively black
names are of-
ten tied to
naming con-
ventions that
emerged during the Civil
Rights era.
But new research shows
that African-American men
were given distinguishable
names as far back as the Civil
War—and unlike today, when
modern black names have
been linked to discrimination,
their historical counterparts
were associated with a nota-
ble benefit: longer lives.
In the late 1800s and early
1900s, African-American men
with names researchers iden-
tified as distinctively black
lived about one year longer
on average than other Afri-
can-American men, and in in-
dividual states, the difference
wasasgreatas7.5years.
The economists who recog-
nized the patterns don’t know
what explains the correlation,
but they observed that the
names were often biblical and
had been passed down from a
father or other relative, sug-
gesting that a supportive net-
work of family, church and


community members might
have contributed to the in-
creased longevity.
“That could be one poten-
tial explanation,” said Trevon
Logan of Ohio State Univer-
sity, who with Lisa Cook of
Michigan State University and
John Parman of the College of
William & Mary collaborated
on the research. “We don’t
know at this point. No one
has researched it.”

T


he positive finding
stands in contrast with
studies that have con-
nected modern black names to
discrimination, including by
employers who were less
likely to call back applicants
with perceived black names,
teachers who expected less of
children with perceived black
names and college professors
who weren’t as likely to dis-
cuss graduate school with stu-
dents who had such names.
“As an economist, I often
ask how can I answer some
fundamental economic ques-
tion,” said Dr. Cook, whose
research into African-Ameri-
can inventors led to the proj-
ect to identify distinctively
black names. “We’re answer-

ing questions about life out-
comes.”
Over time, the list of dis-
tinctive names has changed—
from Elijah and Moses in the
antebellum and postbellum
eras to Hakim and Darnell in
the present—but the historic
patterns are clear, according
to the researchers, and some-
times contradict previous as-
sumptions.
“Many people assumed
they knew how African-Amer-
icans were named,” Dr. Cook
said. “One of the big myths
was that they named them-
selves for presidents. That
turned out to be the case for
all men.”
In a pair of studies, the re-
searchers explored the nam-
ing conventions using 1910
and 1920 census data and
more than five million death
records from Alabama, Illi-
nois, North Carolina and Mis-
souri. (At the time, those
were the only states with dig-
itized death records that were
available for the period and
included both name and
race.)
With the census data, the
researchers established a hier-
archy for given names. A

to African-American males.
“We excluded idiosyncratic
names,” Dr. Logan said. “They
may be coded in race, but
they’re not common.”
The researchers, whose
work was published by the
peer-reviewed journal Explo-
rations in Economic History,
found 21 names in the census
data that met their criteria.
To confirm the patterns,
they used Alabama death re-
cords from 1908 through 1959;
Illinois death records from
1916 through 1947; and North
Carolina death records from
1910 through 1970. They later
added death records for Mis-
souri from 1802 through 1910.

A


ccording to their find-
ings, a black male liv-
ing in Alabama in the
late 19th and early 20th cen-
turies was 16 times more
likely than a white male to
have one of the names on
their list. A black male in
North Carolina was about
four times as likely to have
one of the names, three times
as likely in Missouri, and
more than twice as likely in
Illinois.
“In the 1900 census,

Booker was an overwhelm-
ingly white name,” Dr. Cook
said. “By 1910 it was over-
whelmingly black. And by
1920, it was almost exclu-
sively black.”
More recently, the re-
searchers have examined
16,000 transactions from 1856
through 1861 that recorded
the sales of slaves, as well as
shipping manifests with infor-
mation on 6,559 slaves who
arrived in Georgia, South Car-
olina and Alabama from 1790
through 1860. They found
that the naming patterns
identified in postbellum re-
cords also held true in the an-
tebellum era.
Today, none of the historic
names remain popular, Dr.
Logan said, but they still of-
fer a glimpse into the Afri-
can-American culture of the
time, including, perhaps,
some early declarations of
autonomy.
Four of the 21 distinctively
black names the researchers
identified in the postbellum
era were Freeman, Prince,
King and Master.
“The names have changed,”
he said, “but this is a long-
standing pattern.”

Life expectancies

Source: Trevon Logan, Ohio State University

Note: Year ranges correspond to year of death.

Alabama, 1908-

Illinois, 1916-

Missouri, 1802-

North Carolina, 1910-

36.01 years old

39.

22.

40.

41.

46.

33.

44.

All black males
Black males with distinctively
black names

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The earliest dateat which
pandemic catastrophe bonds
could be triggered as a result
of the coronavirus outbreak is
in March. A Banking & Finance
article on Feb. 20 about the
bonds incorrectly said they
could be triggered in February.

A chart accompanyinga
Page One article on Thursday
about China’s coronavirus epi-
demic tracked that country’s
2019 cinema box-office daily
sales and coal consumption at
power plants in olive green,
while data for 2020 was ren-
dered in red. The chart’s leg-
end incorrectly indicated that
olive green represented 2018

and that red was for 2019.

U.S. stock marketswere
closed on Monday, Feb. 17, in
observance of the Washing-
ton’s Birthday/Presidents Day
holiday. In some editions Fri-
day, a Page One chart showing
major stock indexes’ cumula-
tive percentage changes from
record closes incorrectly used
that date as a data point.

Rob Walton is a former
chairman of Walmart. A Man-
sion article on Friday about
Hawaii’s Kona-Kohala coast
misidentified Mr. Walton as a
former chief executive of the
company.

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CORRECTIONSAMPLIFICATIONS


U.S. WATCH


Bishop Edward Scharfenberger spoke Friday about the Roman Catholic Diocese of Buffalo filing for bankruptcy protection.

JEFFREY T. BARNES/ASSOCIATED PRESS

ated a company with more
than $9 billion in annual sales
but also with losses every year
since it went public in 2014.
It was a formula that inves-
tors mostly embraced until re-
cently. The Boston company’s
stock tumbled in October after
it reported a steep quarterly
loss, and the shares have lost
more than 50% of their value
over the past 12 months. The
stock fell a further 10% Friday
to $63.21 amid a broader mar-
ket selloff.
“Ultimately, every company
needs to be self-financing,” co-
founder and Chief Executive
Niraj Shah wrote in an email
to staff in February, explaining
his decision to cut about 550
jobs after hiring thousands of
people in recent years.
On Friday, Mr. Shah prom-
ised to moderate costs across
the company in 2020, specifi-
cally calling out advertising
spending. “We want to re-em-
phasize across Wayfair that
scarcity is an asset, and this
applies to marketing as well,”
he said on Wayfair’s earnings
call. Executives said it would
take until 2021 for the com-
pany’s U.S. business to gener-
ate consistent operating earn-
ings.


Continued from Page One


BUFFALO


Catholic Diocese


Files for Bankruptcy


The Roman Catholic Diocese
of Buffalo filed for bankruptcy
on Friday, following a number of
sexual-abuse lawsuits lodged
against it since August.
Buffalo is the 22nd Catholic di-
ocese to seek bankruptcy protec-
tions since 2004, when a wave of
sexual-abuse allegations against
the church began, and the second
in New York since a new state
law last year temporarily lifted
the civil statute of limitations on
child sexual abuse. The law,
known as the Child Victims Act,
allows those who say they were
sexually abused as children to
sue, no matter when it occurred.
In the bankruptcy filing, the
diocese estimated its total as-
sets at between $10 million and
$50 million and its liabilities at
between $50 million and $
million. It has at least 200 credi-
tors, according to the filing.
The former bishop of Buffalo
resigned last year following ac-
cusations he covered up clergy
sex abuse.
— Ian Lovett


NEW YORK


Lawsuit Postpones


Plastic-Bag Ban


New York state agreed to delay
enforcement of a ban on plastic
bags set to take effect Sunday un-
til April 1, after a lawsuit was filed
Friday challenging the new law.


At a court hearing, a lawyer
representing the state’s Depart-
ment of Environmental Conser-
vation agreed not to levy any
fines related to the ban, accord-
ingtoacourtorder.
A plastic-bag manufacturer
and an association of New York
City bodega owners sued the
DEC, saying regulations concern-

ing exactly which types of bags
were banned were inconsistent
with the law adopted last year.
New York State Supreme
Court Justice L. Michael Mackey
declined to issue a temporary re-
straining against the law as the
suit moves forward.
Matt Seaholm, executive di-
rector of the American Recycla-

ble Plastic Bag Alliance, which
represents manufacturers, said
the DEC’s announcement is “a
big win for New York retailers
and shoppers, hitting the pause
button on the pending bag ban
that has caused unnecessary
confusion and stress statewide.”
A department spokeswoman
said: “We have consistently said

since the beginning of our outreach
campaign that we will focus on ed-
ucation rather than enforcement
and today does not change that.”
The ban applies to all retailers
who are required to collect sales
tax, though exceptions exist, includ-
ing for prepared food from restau-
rants and food-delivery companies.
—Jimmy Vielkind

WISCONSIN

Appeals Court
Reverses Voter Purge

A Wisconsin appeals court on
Friday overturned a ruling that
orderedtheremovalofupto
209,000 people from the state’s
voter rolls, handing Democrats a
victory in a case they said was
intended to make it more diffi-
cult for their voters to cast bal-
lots in November.
The court in January put the
ruling, and the purge, on hold
while it considered the case. The
4th District Court of Appeals rul-
ing overturned the decision of
an Ozaukee County judge who
initially had ruled in favor of a
conservative law firm that was
seeking the purge. The appeals
court also vacated an order from
that same judge that found the
state Elections Commission in
contempt for not moving for-
ward with the purge.
The appeals court sent the
case back to the lower court and
ordered that it be dismissed.
The case has received a lot
of attention because Wisconsin
is among a group of swing
states being targeted by Demo-
crats and President Trump this
year.
A spokesman for the Wiscon-
sin Institute for Law and Liberty,
which brought the case on be-
half of three voters, had no
comment. The Elections Com-
mission and state Department
of Justice, which represented it,
also had no comment.
—Associated Press

After years of pushing
growth, top executives began
to prioritize profitability in
presentations to managers late
last year, according to former
employees. In one December
meeting, Mr. Shah showed
how hiring was growing faster
than revenue, said one of
these people.
In past group meetings Mr.
Shah primarily spoke about
“compounding growth,” said
this person. A spokeswoman
declined to comment on the
meetings.
“Since we founded the com-
pany in 2002 we have always
had periods where we invested
very heavily in the business
and periods where we have
worked to drive greater effi-
ciency,” Mr. Shah wrote in his
memo in February. “On reflec-
tion, this last period of invest-
ment went on too long.”
Both startups and public
companies have found inves-
tors cooling on companies that
don’t generate profits since of-
fice-rental giant WeWork’s IPO
plans unraveled last year. Mat-
tress seller Casper Sleep Inc.
recently had to slash its valua-
tion to go public and its shares
are now trading below the IPO
price.
Wayfair’s strategy to gain
dominance in the online fur-
nishings category has been to
deliver large, bulky items bet-
ter than its competitors
through supply-chain invest-
ments, said Brian Nagel, an
analyst at Oppenheimer & Co.
The retailer is following a
similar playbook to Ama-
zon.com Inc. and has taken ad-

vantage of cheap capital to
“lose money and build a com-
petitive moat around the busi-
ness that will help support the
business long term,” Mr. Nagel
said.
But it is difficult for tradi-
tional and online furniture
chains to generate profits
amid stiff pricing competition
and the high costs of shipping
bulky furniture.
Home-goods chain Pier 1
Imports Inc., which was slow
to embrace online sales, filed
for bankruptcy protection in
February. In January, Walmart
Inc. laid off most of the head-
quarters staff at Hayneedle, an
online furniture seller it ac-

quired in 2016, as it works to
make its U.S. e-commerce
business more profitable.
Wayfair spent $311 million
on advertising in the fourth
quarter, amounting to about
$28 per order. Even excluding
all its advertising costs, the
company barely broke even in
the holiday period, analysts
said.
Executives said growth
would slow in the current
quarter as they pull back on
advertising. They predicted
revenue rising between 15% to
17% year over year, which
would make it the slowest
quarterly rate since the com-
pany went public.

Some analysts remain un-
convinced that Wayfair can
wean itself from spending.
“Revenue growth seems
more intertwined with ad
spend, promotions and ongo-
ing investments than the mar-
ket appreciates,” Morgan Stan-
ley analyst Simeon Gutman
said in a note earlier this past
week, downgrading the com-
pany to the equivalent of a sell
rating.
“The market is less tolerant
of unprofitable online retail-
ers,” he added.
Friday’s results, with
weaker-than-expected revenue
and guidance, show the com-
pany’s financial position is de-

celerating, Mr. Gutman said.
“Wayfair needs to do more,
with less,” he said.
Despite the desire of some
investors to see Wayfair focus
on profits, the company’s lead-
ership can’t afford to become
complacent about competition,
given that both Amazon and
Walmart are poised to become
more aggressive in the home
category, said Colin Sebastian,
an analyst at Robert W. Baird
&Co.
“There’s just a window of
opportunity for them,” he
said. “So why would they try
to harvest profits when there’s
a lot more at stake over the
very long term?”

Expenses


Deal Blow


To Wayfair

Free download pdf