Time - USA (2020-05-11)

(Antfer) #1

34 Time May 11, 2020


needed to control this pandemic, and doing so may
require equally unprecedented solutions. Antici-
pating that the gap between testing need and test-
ing capacity will only yawn wider as states reopen,
the Rockefeller Foundation, for example, has pro-
posed a coordinated regional command system
for testing that would track and redirect supplies
to where they are needed. The foundation’s action
plan, backed by a $15 million initial investment,
also calls for engaging hundreds, even thousands,
of smaller labs that currently don’t perform tests
for the public. So far, leaders from California and
five U.S. cities are working to implement the plan
and increase access to testing. (The foundation
sponsored a recent TIME 100 Talk.)


2. TRACKING


Once testing at scale is in place, local trends
should dictate when and how a particular region
might begin to emerge from self-isolation. Loos-
ening of social- distancing policies won’t happen
universally across the nation, since the burden of
disease is vastly different from New York to Ne-
vada. Each region—whether defined as a com-
munity, a state or a group of states—will have to


make customized decisions about releasing its
residents in phases based on its specific disease
trajectory as well as its population density, among
other factors.
There are, however, some universal bench-
marks. Bloom and others believe new daily cases,
identified by wide-scale testing, would have to
fall consistently in a given region for at least two
weeks before leaders can start discussing reopen-
ing businesses and schools. At that point, health
experts would investigate where the new cases are.
If they’re confined to local and sporadic clusters,
that’s a sign that the virus’s circle of transmission is
limited and potentially shrinking.
Such scenarios would mean not that the virus
is necessarily going away, but that the local health
system is in a decent position to manage the load
of people who get infected. “We are not just stay-
ing home in the magical belief that the virus is
going to go away,” says Frieden. “We are staying
home so we can strengthen the health care and
public- health systems.” The idea isn’t to eradicate
coronavirus completely — at least not yet—but to
bring its spread to manageable levels. As flare-
ups occur, they can be doused with another criti-
cal contagion- fighting public-health technique:

COVID- 19


Once a patient tests positive,
public-health workers begin the
sleuthlike task of identifying
and informing every person
who could have been exposed

If contacts are infected, the
process starts again; the U.S.
public-health system needs to
add about 100,000 contact
tracers to the workforce to
handle the caseload Guidelines vary but generally instruct
tracers to identify
any person who was
within 6 ft. of the
patient, starting
48 hours before the
onset of symptoms

Tracers also note
risk factors such as
whether the patient
was coughing or
wearing a mask, and
exposure time—as
little as 10 minutes
per some guidelines

Tracers contact
each of the possibly
exposed to instruct
them to quarantine
for 14 days after
the exposure and
to self-monitor
for symptoms

In health care settings,
where patients are more
certainly contagious, just
a few minutes of contact
is considered prolonged
exposure

Smartphones may assist
in the effort: Google and
Apple are developing
Bluetooth-based
proximity sensors, but
users will have to opt in

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HOW CONTACT


TRACING WORKS


As U.S. businesses ready to
open again, states will turn
to contact tracing to help
manage small outbreaks
of COVID-19
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