Foreign Affairs. January-February 2020

(Joyce) #1

January/February 2020 17


Vietnam, and elsewhere in the region
has so often had an authoritarian edge.
The system of political capitalism has
three defining features. First, the state
is run by a technocratic bureaucracy, which
owes its legitimacy to economic growth.
Second, although the state has laws,
these are applied arbitrarily, much to the
benefit of elites, who can decline to
apply the law when it is inconvenient or
apply it with full force to punish oppo-
nents. The arbitrariness of the rule of law
in these societies feeds into political
capitalism’s third defining feature: the
necessary autonomy of the state. In order
for the state to act decisively, it needs to
be free from legal constraints. The tension
between the first and second principles—
between technocratic bureaucracy and the
loose application of the law—produces
corruption, which is an integral part of
the way the political capitalist system is
set up, not an anomaly.
Since the end of the Cold War, these
characteristics have helped supercharge the
growth of ostensibly communist countries
in Asia. Over a 27-year period ending in
2017, China’s growth rate averaged about
eight percent and Vietnam’s averaged
around six percent, compared with just
two percent in the United States.
The flip side of China’s astronomic
growth has been its massive increase in
inequality. From 1985 to 2010, the
country’s Gini coefficient leapt from 0.
to around 0.50—higher than that of the
United States and closer to the levels
found in Latin America. Inequality in
China has risen starkly within both rural
and urban areas, and it has risen even
more so in the country as a whole because
of the increasing gap between those
areas. That growing inequality is evident
in every divide—between rich and poor


provinces, high-skilled workers and
low-skilled workers, men and women, and
the private sector and the state sector.
Notably, there has also been an increase
in China in the share of income from
privately owned capital, which seems to be
as concentrated there as in the advanced
market economies of the West. A new
capitalist elite has formed in China. In
1988, skilled and unskilled industrial
workers, clerical staff, and government
officials accounted for 80 percent of those
in the top five percent of income earners.
By 2013, their share had fallen by almost
half, and business owners (20 percent)
and professionals (33 percent) had
become dominant.
A remarkable feature of the new capi-
talist class in China is that it has emerged
from the soil, so to speak, as almost
four-fifths of its members report having
had fathers who were either farmers or
manual laborers. This intergenerational
mobility is not surprising in view of
the nearly complete obliteration of the
capitalist class after the Communists’
victory in 1949 and then again during the
Cultural Revolution in the 1960s. But that
mobility may not continue in the future,
when—given the concentration of owner-
ship of capital, the rising costs of educa-
tion, and the importance of family connec-
tions—the intergenerational transmission
of wealth and power should begin to
mirror what is observed in the West.
Compared with its Western counter-
parts, however, this new capitalist class
in China may be more of a class by itself
than a class for itself. China’s many
byzantine forms of ownership—which at
the local and national levels blur the
lines between public and private—allow
the political elite to restrain the power of
the new capitalist, economic elite.

The Clash of Capitalisms
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