The Wall Street Journal - 16.03.2020

(Ben Green) #1

© 2020 Dow Jones & Company. All Rights Reserved. ***** THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Monday, March 16, 2020 |B1


TECHNOLOGY: WORK-FROM-HOME PLANS RUN INTO GLITCHES B4


LastWeek:S&P2711.02g8.79% S&PFINg9.83% S&PITg5.20% DJ TRANSg11.35% WSJ$IDXÀ3.09% LIBOR3M0.843 NIKKEI17431.05g15.99% See more at WSJ.com/Markets

BUSINESS & FINANCE


“We’re all committed to
making sure we’re keeping our
stores open to serve the Ameri-
can consumer who’s rapidly
stocking up on household es-
sentials,“TargetInc. Chief Ex-
ecutive Brian Cornell said at a
White House news conference
on Friday.

On Saturday,AppleInc. said
all of its stores outside Greater
China would be closed until
March 27 in light of the wors-
ening spread of the virus. Apple
stores in China were open Sat-
urday, a sign of how the threat
of the epidemic has shifted. Ap-
ple said a retail employee at its

Santa Monica, Calif., store
tested positive for the virus.
Walmart said its 4,700 U.S.
stores would stay open but
close overnight to help the
company clean and disinfect
surfaces. Previously, about
2,200 of its U.S. stores were
open 24 hours. The company

BOX OFFICE
Weekend ticket sales
drop to lowest since
2000 as people
stay home.B5

U.S. grocers are adjusting
their operations to try to keep
up with customers who are
emptying their shelves amid
angst over the new coronavirus,
even as their own employees
face heightened risk of infec-
tion.
Across the country, lines to
get into stores snaked around
corners, checkout times
stretched as long as an hour
and entire aisles were rendered
bare in recent days as compa-
nies told more workers to stay
home and schools began to can-
cel classes.
President Trump on Sunday
held a conference call with
more than two dozen grocery
and supply chain executives, in-
PleaseturntopageB2

BYJAEWONKANG
ANDANNIEGASPARRO

Grocers


Fall Behind


Demand


INSIDE


The country’s large technol-
ogy companies have joined
with the White House in a task
force to fight the new coronavi-
rus, as Silicon Valley escalates
its efforts to tackle the fast-
moving pandemic, according to
people familiar with the group.
The companies, including
FacebookInc.,AlphabetInc.’s
Google unit,MicrosoftCorp.
andAmazon.comInc., on Sun-
day conducted a nearly hour-
long meeting with White House
officials, including Michael
Kratsios, chief technology offi-
cer of the U.S., one of these
people said. Forty-five people
joined.
Among the topics: how citi-
zens could be diagnosed with-
out visiting a doctor and how
the companies could work with
the Centers for Disease Control
and Prevention on its top prior-
ities, according to an agenda.
The Technology and Re-
search Task Force is part of a
broad push by technology com-
panies large and small across
Silicon Valley to figure out
ways to solve the myriad prob-
lems related to the rapidly
spreading virus. Tech compa-
nies are racing to figure out ev-
erything from how fast the vi-
rus is spreading to predicting
PleaseturntopageB5

BYKIRSTENGRIND
ANDROLFEWINKLER

Tech


Behemoths


Take On


Pandemic


plunge has eroded hundreds of
billions of dollars in market
value from producers around
the world and fueled specula-
tion about bankruptcies and
mergers. Skepticism about en-
ergy companies’ ability to pay
a heavy debt burden is also
driving concerns that oil’s fall
will hurt lenders and exacer-
bate the economic slowdown
resulting from the coronavirus.
While consumers are enjoy-
ing the lowest fuel prices in
years, analysts say it is too
early to count on a demand
boost from the energy crash.
Companies are already reduc-
ing spending, and the trans-
portation restrictions resulting
from the coronavirus will
likely dull the typical increase
in travel one would expect
with fuel costs dropping. Re-
search firm Capital Economics
projects the drop in drilling in-
vestment to more than offset
the boost in gasoline con-
sumption in calculating sec-
ond-quarter U.S. economic
growth.
For Americans who lived
through the oil-price spikes of
1973 following the Arab oil
embargo, 1979 after the Ira-
nian revolution and 1990
during the Gulf crisis, the con-
cept of slumping crude being a
negative economic signal
seems perplexing. Many re-
member gasoline shortages
PleaseturntopageB9

For Rebecca Babin, the oil
crash arrived slowly, then all
at once.
The senior energy trader at
CIBC Private Wealth Manage-
ment watched crude prices fall
10% March 6 after Saudi Ara-
bia couldn’t persuade Russia
to join a plan for deeper sup-
ply cuts. The next day’s escala-
tion in the feud sent the 42-
year-old scrambling to alert
her team, adjust their models
and prepare for the opening of
trading Sunday evening.
When trading began, U.S.
crude oil tumbled from $41 a
barrel to around $30 in a mat-
ter of minutes, going on to
post its biggest one-day drop
since the first Gulf War in



  1. Ms. Babin said she woke
    up every two hours Sunday
    night to stay abreast of the
    turmoil, which now has inves-
    tors who rode out oil’s spike to
    $145 in 2008 preparing for
    one of the world’s key com-
    modities to trade at a fraction
    of that price moving forward.
    “There were elements of it
    that were unlike anything I’ve
    experienced,” she said. “This is
    clearly a change to how the
    commodity is going to trade
    for the foreseeable future.”
    Oil went on to swing wildly
    in the low $30s in another tur-
    bulent week in global markets,
    ending the week at $31.73. Its


BYAMRITHRAMKUMAR


Oil Crash Ignites


Talk of Defaults,


Consolidation


Source: FactSet

Note: Futures price based on front-month contract.

U.S.crude-oilfuturesprice

FRIDAY
$7
t48%
year to date

Saudi Arabia
escalates clash
with Russia,
saying it will
lower its
prices

$60

30

35

40

45

50

55

a barrel

Jan. Feb. March

July
2019

Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec.

China reports
first death from
new coronavirus

Attack
on Saudi
facilities

1986 ’90 2000 ’10 ’20

t48%
Biggestdropsince1986

THIS YEAR

ChangeinU.S.crudeprice,throughMarch13ofeachyear

25

–50

–25

0

%

record low of 0.501% Monday.
While the rise in rates itself
isn’t large enough to present a
problem to companies and
other borrowers, the spectacle
of bond yields rising during a
flight-to-safety event unnerved
some investors, particularly
given the sharpness of the
bond rally that preceded the
selloff.
One measure of the sharp-
ness of that rally is evident in
PleaseturntopageB2

til concerns about Treasury
market liquidity, margin calls
to investors with wrong-way
bets and the unwind of lever-
aged trades can be dismissed
with greater conviction.
“Originally when the market
was going down, Treasurys
were working just fine,” said
Jack Janasiewicz, portfolio
manager at Natixis Investment
Managers Solutions. “Then that
started to break down. That’s
when you just say, you know
what, I’m OK with cash.”
The 10-year Treasury yield
hit 0.946% Friday, up from its

ven assets has attracted the at-
tention of traders, bankers and
regulators alike. The Federal
Reserve conducted some of its
most extraordinary interven-
tions in years starting with a
plan to temporarily pour $1.5
trillion into markets. Traders
said there were signs that balky
areas of the bond markets such
as those for mortgage securi-
ties were trading more health-
ily Friday.
Yet many investors say they
expect volatility will remain the
norm and that a full return to
stocks won’t be in the cards un-

Many traders and portfolio
analysts are cautious, thanks to
signs of underlying distress.
Gold, normally a strong per-
former in times of stress, suf-
fered its worst week since 2011,
dropping 9.3% and wiping out
all its 2020 gains. Silver, a
more volatile precious metal,
tumbled 16% and is down 19%
for the year. And perhaps most
troublingly, U.S. government
bonds took a hammering, with
the 10-year Treasury yield ris-
ing four straight days in its
largest such gain since 2009.
The retreat of these safe-ha-

since 2008—a sign of normal
market functioning.
Then late Sunday afternoon,
the Federal Reserve cut its
benchmark interest rate to near
zero and said it would buy
$700 billion in Treasury and
mortgage-backed securities,
among other actions.
Stock futures slid Sunday
evening at the open of trading
after the Fed announcement.
Dow Jones Industrial Average
futures fell 1,040 points, or
4.6%, while S&P 500 futures fell
5% to again hit a limit designed
to stall further drops.

Investors wading back into
tumultuous markets this week
face an unusual challenge:
playing unruly stock indexes
while cracks are visible in the
world’s largest market for in-
terest rates.
The Dow industrials dropped
10% last week, even after post-
ing their largest gain since
2008 on Friday with a 9.4% ad-
vance. Friday’s gains came
alongside increases in the price
of oil, which suffered its steep-
est weekly percentage loss


BYKARENLANGLEY


Businesses, Markets Set for More Turmoil


backed loans to airlines, people
familiar with the matter said.
Treasury Secretary Steven
Mnuchin has said he is espe-
cially interested in assistance
for the airline industry be-
cause of the importance of
maintaining a domestic-travel
network. Such aid could be
provided by deferring tax pay-
ments or through other means,
such as loan guarantees.
“The airlines industry in
PleaseturntopageB2

had then seemed like draconian
cuts to costs and flying capac-
ity, but by the end of the week
said they were no longer suffi-
cient. And with financial out-
looks rapidly deteriorating, air-
lines on both sides of the
Atlantic are being forced to take
more drastic action to slash
costs. Major U.S. airlines are in
talks with the government
about financial support, and
one possibility being discussed
is low-interest government-

the next 30 days, in addition to
the two million affected by the
newly imposed ban on flights
from continental Europe, ac-
cording to analysts at Cirium.
On Saturday, President
Trump said officials are consid-
ering restrictions on travel
within the U.S. Asked whether
Americans should avoid domes-
tic travel, he said, “If you don’t
have to travel, I wouldn’t do it.”
As this past week started,
airlines had announced what

customer anxiety about con-
tracting the virus while flying,
have caused airlines to cut the
number of flights by up to 70%
in some cases, prepare for the
worst-case scenario and talk
to employees about the com-
pany’s future.
New restrictions on travel to
the U.S. from the U.K. and Ire-
land set to begin Monday night
could remove the equivalent of
another one million aircraft
seats from the market during

Airlines around the globe
are fighting for survival as
they confront an array of lim-
its on air travel.
In the span of a week, what
started as a nascent crisis has
snowballed as worries about
the spreading new coronavirus
prompted countries, including
the U.S., to restrict travel.
Those limitations, along with


last week said a worker in a
Kentucky store tested positive.
Products are moving
through the supply chain and
making their way to stores,
Walmart said this weekend;
store managers, however, may
limit sales quantities on items
in unusually high demand. Wal-
mart said its hourly employees
will continue to work day and
evening shifts.
Target, which has about 1,800
stores, has placed quantity limits
on some items and paused its
next-day delivery and express-
shipping services, which were
overwhelmed by demand. The
company has shifted staff to help
fulfill online orders that custom-
ers pick up at stores or in store
parking lots, a spokesman said.
Target and other large re-
tailers invested heavily to offer
more ways to buy online for de-
livery or pickup. The capacity
of those services are now being
tested as shoppers flock to
PleaseturntopageB2

U.S. clothing and mall retail-
ers fromAbercrombie & Fitch
toNikeInc. are closing thou-
sands of stores across the
country for two weeks, unprec-
edented moves to stem the
spread of the coronavirus.
On Sunday, the companies
said they would continue pay-
ing their store workers and tak-
ing online orders. The list in-
cluded sportswear makers like
Lululemon AthleticaInc. and
Under ArmourInc. as well as
the owners of popular chains
likeUrban Outfitters.
Grocers and other chains
that sell foods, medicines and
household essentials have
promised to stay open and re-
stock as people race to fill pan-
tries and refrigerators.Wal-
martInc. and grocersKroger
Co. andPublixsaid they will
limit overnight hours for clean-
ings and restocking shelves.


BYSUZANNEKAPNER
ANDSARAHNASSAUER


Retailers Temporarily Close Stores in the U.S.


Apple said stores outside Greater China are closed until March 27. A West Des Moines, Iowa, store.

FRITZ NORDENGREN/ZUMA PRESS

BYALISONSIDER
ANDBENJAMINKATZ


Airlines Face Increasingly Dire Situation


 Heard on the Street: Fed can
likely handle market hit.... B10
Free download pdf