The Wall Street Journal - 16.03.2020

(Ben Green) #1

A4| Monday, March 16, 2020 PWLC101112HTGKRFAM123456789OIXX ** THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.


U.S. NEWS


to shut this president up right
now because he is undermining
the doctors and the scientists
who are trying to help the Amer-
ican people,” Mr. Sanders said.
The debate, held by CNN and
Univision, came at a moment un-
like any in recent memory.
States are postponing primaries,
governors are banning mass
gatherings and schools are clos-
ing. Health officials warn that
things will only get worse before
they get better.
The novel coronavirus trans-
formed Sunday’s debate and,
for the foreseeable future, cam-

paigning itself. The forum was
moved to Washington from Ar-
izona, held without an audi-
ence, and the two candidates’
podiums were farther apart
than usual. The two candidates
also refrained from the tradi-
tional handshake, bumping el-
bows instead.
Mr. Biden and Mr. Sanders,
both of whom are in their late
70s, said they had altered their
lifestyles in an effort to stay
healthy. Both have stopped
holding rallies and public
events, and their staff are
working from home.

The evening was the first
time only two candidates ap-
peared on stage in the Demo-
cratic nomination contest. Past
debates, crowded with candi-
dates and before large audi-
ences, had at times broken down
into fights over zingers and
sound bites. But Sunday’s debate
resembled more of a long con-
versation, with two old rivals
working through deep-seated
disagreements—such as posi-
tions on Iraq war and same-sex
marriage.
Both candidates said they
would support and campaign for

Mr. Biden said. He called for ex-
panding drive-through testing,
for the military to be used to set
up emergency hospitals and for
government help to make sure
people who lose their jobs are
able to pay their mortgages and
small business loans.
Mr. Biden said all health-care
costs of people who contracted
the virus would be covered un-
der his plan, which Mr. Sanders
also supported. But he said the
country doesn’t need to go as far
as adopting Mr. Sanders’ signa-
ture Medicare for All system.
Mr. Sanders, who faces an up-
hill battle for the nomination af-
ter a series of losses, said the vi-
rus revealed the dysfunctionality
of the current health-care sys-
tem and was evidence that the
system should be remade en-
tirely. Mr. Sanders also attacked
the president’s response to the
pandemic.
“First thing we’ve got to do,
whether or not I am president, is


Continued from Page One


grown in the past month.
Some 74% feel enthusiastic
about or comfortable with
him, up from 56% in February.
The share enthusiastic about
or comfortable with Mr. Sand-
ers has been stable, at about
66%.
Groups that have swung
most dramatically behind Mr.
Biden in the last month in-
clude African-Americans,
among whom he leads by 77%
to 18%, as well as liberals and

voters who say they are
“strongly’’ aligned with the
Democratic Party. Mr. Biden
leads by nearly three-to-one
among that group.
Looking to the general elec-
tion, Mr. Biden led President
Trump in the new survey by 9
percentage points, 52% to 43%,
in a test match-up, while Mr.
Sanders led by 4 points, 49%
to 45%. Both margins were es-
sentially unchanged from Feb-
ruary.

The Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll was based on nationwide telephone inter-
views of 900 registered voters. It was conducted from March 11-13, 2020, by the poll-
ing organizations of Bill McInturff of Public Opinion Strategies and Jeff Horwitt of
Hart Research Associates.
The sample was drawn in the following manner: Individuals were randomly selected
from national lists of registered voters and were chosen by a systematic procedure
to provide a balance of respondents by sex. Respondents reached on their cellphone
were randomly selected from national lists of cellphone numbers.
Of the 900 interviews in the weighted data, 495 respondents were reached on a
cellphone and screened to ensure that their cellphone was the only phone they had.
In addition, 13 respondents were reached on a cellphone but reported also having a
landline.
The margin of error for the full sample is plus or minus 3.27 percentage points.
Additional interviews were conducted on some questions from a random national sam-
ple of Democratic primary voters. For the sample of 438 Democratic primary voters,
the margin of error is plus or minus 4.68 percentage points.

Americans are concerned
but not panicked about the
coronavirus pandemic, though
a majority thinks the worst is
yet to come and many say the
crisis has changed their day-
to-day lives, a new Wall Street
Journal/NBC News poll finds.
Nearly half in the survey
say they have stopped going to
large gatherings, while more
than one-third report cancel-
ing or rescheduling travel
plans, and one-quarter say
they have stopped eating at


BYJOHNMCCORMICK


restaurants. Nearly three-quar-
ters describe changes to their
lives as small or nonexistent.
A majority, some 53%, say
they are very or somewhat
worried about someone in
their family becoming sick,
while 47% express less or no
concern. Overall, 6 in 10 say
they expect the worst lies
ahead.
Views of an outbreak that
has triggered school closures,
travel limitations and stress on
the global economy vary sig-
nificantly by political party, as
well as age and location. Dem-
ocrats, older people and resi-
dents of the nation’s largest
metropolitan areas report
more current and expected dis-
ruption.
Almost 9 in 10 said they
have read or heard a lot about

the virus, making it the most
closely followed major event
recorded by the poll in nearly
a decade.
The survey of 900 regis-
tered voters found little sign
that a crisis with potential to
define the 2020 election has
altered the political standing
of President Trump. Some 51%
disapprove of how he is han-
dling the virus outbreak, while
45% approve. That is nearly
identical to his overall job-ap-
proval rating, which is essen-
tially unchanged from last
month and from much of his
tenure as president.
Republicans and Democrats
hold nearly inverse views on
his emergency response, with
81% of GOP voters saying he
has done well and 84% of Dem-
ocrats saying the opposite.

Among independents, 43% ap-
prove and 52% disapprove.
“Americans are evaluating
coronavirus through a political
lens,” said Democratic pollster
Jeff Horwitt, who conducted
the survey with Republican
Bill McInturff. “Simply put, it
is very clear that partisanship
has infected our views of the
coronavirus.”
Fewer people in the survey
said they had confidence in Mr.
Trump to handle the crisis than
they did in various levels of
government. Less than
half—48%—said they had a fair
amount or great deal of confi-
dence in the president. By com-
parison, 62% had confidence in
the federal government, 72% in
local government and 75% in
their state government.
Democrats, Republicans and

independents are fairly even in
their confidence in local and
state government, but they
part ways when it comes to
the federal government. More
than 8 in 10 Republicans have
a fair amount or great deal of
confidence in federal officials
to handle the crisis, while just
48% of Democrats and 51% of
independents do.
“Currently, coronavirus
seems remote and not scary,”
said Peter Hart, a Democratic
pollster who worked on the sur-
vey. “People mentioned this as
almost a timeout or detour, not
as a true health scare like polio
or AIDS, where it was seen as
potentially life-altering.”
Just over half are very or
somewhat worried that they
or someone in their family
might catch the virus, while

31% aren’t very worried and
16% aren’t worried at all.
Women are twice as likely as
men to be very worried.
The share of voters who say
the economy is in fair or poor
shape is larger than those who
say it is in good or excellent
shape, 52% to 47%. That is a
first since last September,
when compared with polling by
CNBC.
The share who say the
economy is in poor shape is at
its highest level since the
month before Mr. Trump took
office. It stands at 22%, up
from 14% in December 2019.
Almost a third of registered
voters say they expect the
economy to get worse in the
next year. That is the highest
level of pessimism recorded by
the poll since December 2018.

In Poll, Most Say Worst Is Yet to Come


In poll, half say they


have stopped going to


big gatherings, a


quarter shun eateries


the past month, from 37% to
80%, giving Mr. Sanders little
room for growth beyond his
current base.
Moreover, the coronavirus
pandemic, which has altered
many aspects of the campaign,
is making it harder for Mr.
Sanders to break through with
his message. It has also elimi-
nated the large rallies that
provide much of the fuel for
his campaign.
“Bernie Sanders is on a ce-
ment trampoline—not a lot of
bounce,” said Democratic poll-
ster Peter Hart, who worked
on the survey with Jeff Hor-
witt, also a Democrat, and Re-
publican Bill McInturff.
“The race is sort of locked
into place,” said Mr. McInturff.
“This is very clear, definitive
data about the status of this
race and the things Bernie
Sanders was unable to do to
create a coalition.”
A televised debate set for
Sunday night between the two
Democratic candidates will
compete for attention with
news of the pandemic, which
is producing dramatic head-
lines almost by the hour. Rep.
Tulsi Gabbard (D., Hawaii),
who drew 4% support in the
poll, didn’t meet Democratic
National Committee criteria to
qualify for the debate.
The race doesn’t look more
different among the half of
Democrats who have yet to
vote than among those who al-
ready have cast ballots. Mr. Bi-
den leads by 63% to 30%
among primary voters in
states that have already held
primaries or caucuses and by
60% to 34% in the states that
haven’t voted.
“There is no indication that
this gets easier for Bernie
Sanders in the remaining half
of the vote,’’ Mr. McInturff
said.
The level of enthusiasm
among Democratic primary
voters for Mr. Biden has also

Democratic presidential pri-
mary voters now overwhelm-
ingly back Joe Biden over Ber-
nie Sanders, a dramatic
reversal in their standings of
just one month ago, the latest
Wall Street Journal/NBC News
poll shows.
Among those who have al-
ready voted or plan to do so,
61% support the former vice
president, while 32% would
prefer the Vermont senator as
their party’s nominee.
The standings are a major
change from mid-February,
when the survey showed Mr.
Sanders backed by 27% of
Democratic primary voters and
Mr. Biden favored by just 15%.
At the time, Mr. Sanders
stood alone as the party’s
front-runner, while Mr. Biden
was among four candidates es-
sentially tied for second place.
But Mr. Biden’s fortunes
changed significantly following
his win in South Carolina’s
Feb. 29 primary and domi-
nance in a string of field-nar-
rowing primaries since then.
The share of Democratic
primary voters who say they
have definitely settled on a
candidate has skyrocketed in


BYJOHNMCCORMICK


Front-Runner


Takes Wide Lead


In Primary Race


Preference for Democratic
nominee


Source: Wall Street Journal/NBC News
telephone poll of 438 Democratic primary
voters, conducted March 11-13, 2020; margin of
error +/- 4.7 pct. pts.


Note: Combines shares who say they will
definitely or probably vote for candidate, as
well as who "lean toward'' a candidate.


% 2  6

Biden


Sanders


Gabbard


March10-13 Feb.14-

Big Teachers Union
Makes Endorsement

Joe Biden won the support
of the National Education Asso-
ciation, the nation’s largest la-
bor union, in the latest example
of political groups coalescing
around his presidential bid.
The union’s political-action
committee council and its board
of directors voted Saturday to
recommend the former vice
president to its three million
members in the Democratic pri-
maries, giving Mr. Biden the
support of a large group of reli-

able voters.
Lily Eskelsen Garcia, the
union’s president, called Mr. Bi-
den a “tireless advocate for
public education” who would
champion strong neighborhood
schools and boost teacher pay.
Mr. Biden has built a lead
over Vermont Sen. Bernie Sand-
ers of more than 150 delegates
through a series of victories in
primaries this month, helped by
the endorsement of several of
his former presidential rivals.
Mr. Biden’s campaign is aiming
to score decisive wins over Mr.
Sanders in Tuesday’s primaries
in Arizona, Florida, Illinois and
Ohio as campaigns grapple with

the uncertainty created by the
coronavirus pandemic.
The teachers union noted
that Mr. Biden attended all
three of its presidential forums
in Iowa, Pennsylvania and Texas
and sat for a video interview as
part of the process. His wife,
Jill Biden, is an educator of
more than three decades and
an NEA member.
Mr. Biden has proposed
boosting teacher pay and tri-
pling funding for Title I, the fed-
eral program that provides
funding for schools that have a
high percentage of students
from low-income families. The
former vice president has also

spoken on the campaign trail of
the need to increase the num-
ber of school psychologists and
counselors for students, and
helping teachers pay off their
student loans.
The union, which is 76%
women, has often pointed to its
role as dependable voters. It
has estimated a turnout rate of
its members exceeding 90% in
battleground states.
Mr. Biden has received en-
dorsements from the Interna-
tional Brotherhood of Electrical
Workers and the International
Association of Fire Fighters,
among other unions.
—Ken Thomas

Lally Doerrer watching Joe Biden during his Illinois virtual town hall on Friday from her living room in Chicago.

CHARLES REX ARBOGAST/ASSOCIATED PRESS

one another if they were to lose
the nomination, saying Mr.
Trump needed to be removed
from office.
However, after an extended
back-and-forth over previous
votes, Mr. Biden acknowledged
there could be some growing
pains in bringing the party to-
gether.
“He’s making it hard for me
right now. I was trying to give
him credit for some things and
he won’t even take the credit,”
Mr. Biden said as Mr. Sanders
laughed and smiled.
“If Bernie is the nominee, I
will not only support him, I will
campaign for him....I would hope
that Bernie would do the same
thing if I’m the nominee and en-
courage all of his followers to, in
fact, support me as well,” Mr. Bi-
den said.
The pair fell into familiar pol-
icy disputes, after the Vermont
senator previewed that he would
press Mr. Biden on a series of
liberal priorities.
When Mr. Sanders was asked
what actions he would take to
improve the economy coming
out of the coronavirus crisis, he
said the crisis further revealed
the income inequality in the
country, falling into his stump
speech. “People are looking for
results, not a revolution,” Mr. Bi-
den responded.

Another rift between the two
candidates was exposed by a
question about whether indus-
tries affected by coronavirus
should be bailed out by the gov-
ernment, recalling Mr. Biden’s
vote in favor of and Mr. Sand-
ers’s vote against the move to
bail out banks amid the 2008 fi-
nancial crisis.
“We need to stabilize the
economy, but we can’t repeat
what we did in 2008,” Mr. Sand-
ers said.
“Had those banks gone under,
all those people Bernie says he
cares about would be in deep
trouble,” Mr. Biden said. “This
was about saving an economy.
And it did save the economy.”
The pair also haggled over
past comments on Social Secu-
rity. Mr. Sanders criticized Mr.
Biden for a 1995 speech in which
he called for a freeze in govern-
ment spending, including Social
Security.
Mr. Biden said the video clip
pushed by Mr. Sanders’s cam-
paign didn’t include the full con-
text and that he never pushed
for cuts to the program.
Both men entered the debate
looking for strong performances.
Mr. Biden, who leads in the dele-
gate count, was looking for a
springboard into Arizona, Flor-
ida, Illinois and Ohio, the states
that vote next.

Former Vice President Joe Biden and Sen. Bernie Sanders clashed on the coronavirus, with Mr. Sanders
calling for a total overhaul of the health-care system and Mr. Biden seeking more measured steps,

MANDEL NGAN/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGES

Biden and


Sanders


Square Off

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