TheEconomistJuly 25th 2020 47
1
I
n may bytedance, the world’s most valu-
able startup, leapt further ahead of other
technology “unicorns”. It was valued at
$140bn on the secondary market, up by
nearly half from a funding round in the
spring. The reason? TikTok, a short-video
app that has been downloaded 2bn times.
The “last sunny corner” of the internet, as it
is known thanks to jolly user-generated
content, is China’s first worldwide internet
sensation. For ByteDance’s 37-year-old
founder, Zhang Yiming, it is part of an am-
bition to build a global software giant.
Now that ambition is in jeopardy. On
June 29th India banned TikTok and 58 other
Chinese apps, after deadly clashes between
Indian and Chinese soldiers in the Himala-
yas. The same month ByteDance’s Ameri-
can lawyers told it that President Donald
Trump’s administration has concerns over
TikTok’s Chinese ownership. America is
now threatening to ban the app altogether.
Official unease about TikTok has risen
with its popularity. It has an estimated 70m
American users, in the same league as
Snapchat. In the first quarter it was down-
loaded 315m times globally, more than any
app ever in three months, according to Sen-
sor Tower, a research firm (see chart 1). In
America and Britain it rivals YouTube for
user attention—and not just among teen-
agers, who first took to it. “TikTok is a place
for everyone now,” says Vanessa Pappas,
the app’s general manager for America.
ByteDance keeps its numbers close to
its chest but its investors say it is on track to
bring in $30bn of revenue in 2020, up from
$15bn-20bn in 2019. Net profit could more
than double, to $7bn. Most of that comes
from its Chinese businesses, Douyin, a ver-
sion of TikTok, and Toutiao, a news app.
TikTok is not yet making money, but Byte-
Dance reckons it may in time eclipse all its
Chinese properties put together, by tap-
ping into America’s vast ad market. It has
been rolling out tools to advertisers. Byte-
Dance’s mainly American venture-capital
backers believe this, plus growth in China,
could lift its valuation to $500bn.
To TikTok’s users the idea of Uncle Sam
cracking down on videos of baby hedge-
hogs is as silly as grandpas learning to
shuffle. Officials have two concerns. The
first is over censorship and propaganda.
TikTok has in the past muted discussion of
subjects sensitive in China, like Tibet, Tia-
nanmen Square or repression in Xinjiang
TikTok
Sixty seconds of fame
As America threatens to ban or seize TikTok, its Chinese parent is scrambling for
a way to hang on to its hit app
Ticking along
Worldwide, m
Source:SensorTower *Excludesthird-partyAndroidstores
1
300
200
100
0
2017 18 2019
TikTok downloads*
Snapchat
YouTube
Telegram
Google Meet
Aarogya Setu
Messenger
Instagram
WhatsApp
Facebook
TikTok
Zoom
0 100 200 300
Top app downloads*, Q2 2020
Business
48 IndianITneedsanupdate
50 Bartleby:Pandemicveterans
51 AmericaInc’sawful earnings
52 Covid-eraM&A
52 VapinginChina
53 Schumpeter: The wannabe Alibaba
Also in this section