Nature - USA (2020-08-20)

(Antfer) #1

402 | Nature | Vol 584 | 20 August 2020


Article


Online content


Any methods, additional references, Nature Research reporting sum-
maries, source data, extended data, supplementary information,
acknowledgements, peer review information; details of author con-
tributions and competing interests; and statements of data and code
availability are available at https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-020-2562-8.



  1. Myers, S. S. et al. Human health impacts of ecosystem alteration. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci.
    USA 110 , 18753–18760 (2013).

  2. Gottdenker, N. L., Streicker, D. G., Faust, C. L. & Carroll, C. R. Anthropogenic land use
    change and infectious diseases: a review of the evidence. EcoHealth 11 , 619–632 (2014).

  3. Keesing, F. et al. Impacts of biodiversity on the emergence and transmission of infectious
    diseases. Nature 468 , 647–652 (2010).

  4. Ostfeld, R. S. & LoGiudice, K. Community disassembly, biodiversity loss, and the erosion
    of an ecosystem service. Ecology 84 , 1421–1427 (2003).

  5. Johnson, P. T. J. et al. Living fast and dying of infection: host life history drives interspecific
    variation in infection and disease risk. Ecol. Lett. 15 , 235–242 (2012).

  6. Johnson, P. T. J., Preston, D. L., Hoverman, J. T. & Richgels, K. L. D. Biodiversity decreases
    disease through predictable changes in host community competence. Nature 494 ,
    230–233 (2013).

  7. Newbold, T. et al. Global effects of land use on local terrestrial biodiversity. Nature 520 ,
    45–50 (2015).

  8. Newbold, T. et al. Widespread winners and narrow-ranged losers: land use homogenizes
    biodiversity in local assemblages worldwide. PLoS Biol. 16 , e2006841 (2018).

  9. Faust, C. L. et al. Pathogen spillover during land conversion. Ecol. Lett. 21 , 471–483 (2018).

  10. Becker, D. J., Streicker, D. G. & Altizer, S. Using host species traits to understand the
    consequences of resource provisioning for host-parasite interactions. J. Anim. Ecol. 87 ,
    511–525 (2018).

  11. Plowright, R. K. et al. Pathways to zoonotic spillover. Nat. Rev. Microbiol. 15 , 502–510 (2017).

  12. Shah, H. A., Huxley, P., Elmes, J. & Murray, K. A. Agricultural land-uses consistently
    exacerbate infectious disease risks in Southeast Asia. Nat. Commun. 10 , 4299 (2019).

  13. Gottdenker, N. L., Chaves, L. F., Calzada, J. E., Saldaña, A. & Carroll, C. R. Host life history
    strategy, species diversity, and habitat influence Trypanosoma cruzi vector infection in
    changing landscapes. PLoS Negl. Trop. Dis. 6 , e1884 (2012).

  14. Fornace, K. M. et al. Association between landscape factors and spatial patterns of
    Plasmodium knowlesi infections in Sabah, Malaysia. Emerg. Infect. Dis. 22 , 201–209
    (2016).

  15. Pulliam, J. R. C. et al. Agricultural intensification, priming for persistence and the
    emergence of Nipah virus: a lethal bat-borne zoonosis. J. R. Soc. Interface 9 , 89–101
    (2012).

  16. Kilpatrick, A. M. Globalization, land use, and the invasion of West Nile virus. Science 334 ,
    323–327 (2011).
    17. Popp, A. et al. Land-use futures in the shared socio-economic pathways. Glob. Environ.
    Change 42 , 331–345 (2017).
    18. Civitello, D. J. et al. Biodiversity inhibits parasites: broad evidence for the dilution effect.
    Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 112 , 8667–8671 (2015).
    19. LoGiudice, K., Ostfeld, R. S., Schmidt, K. A. & Keesing, F. The ecology of infectious
    disease: effects of host diversity and community composition on Lyme disease risk. Proc.
    Natl Acad. Sci. USA 100 , 567–571 (2003).
    20. Purvis, A., Gittleman, J. L., Cowlishaw, G. & Mace, G. M. Predicting extinction risk in
    declining species. Proc. Biol. Soc 267 , 1947–1952 (2000).
    21. Johnson, P. T. J., Ostfeld, R. S. & Keesing, F. Frontiers in research on biodiversity and
    disease. Ecol. Lett. 18 , 1119–1133 (2015).
    22. Olival, K. J. et al. Host and viral traits predict zoonotic spillover from mammals. Nature
    546 , 646–650 (2017).
    23. Young, H., Griffin, R. H., Wood, C. L. & Nunn, C. L. Does habitat disturbance increase
    infectious disease risk for primates? Ecol. Lett. 16 , 656–663 (2013).
    24. Hudson, L. N. et al. The database of the PREDICTS (Projecting Responses of Ecological
    Diversity In Changing Terrestrial Systems) project. Ecol. Evol. 7 , 145–188 (2017).
    25. Lloyd-Smith, J. O. et al. Epidemic dynamics at the human–animal interface. Science 326 ,
    1362–1367 (2009).
    26. Joseph, M. B., Mihaljevic, J. R., Orlofske, S. A. & Paull, S. H. Does life history mediate
    changing disease risk when communities disassemble? Ecol. Lett. 16 , 1405–1412 (2013).
    27. Kamiya, T., O’Dwyer, K., Nakagawa, S. & Poulin, R. What determines species richness of
    parasitic organisms? A meta-analysis across animal, plant and fungal hosts. Biol. Rev.
    Camb. Philos. Soc. 89 , 123–134 (2014).
    28. Lee, K. A., Wikelski, M., Robinson, W. D., Robinson, T. R. & Klasing, K. C. Constitutive
    immune defences correlate with life-history variables in tropical birds. J. Anim. Ecol. 77 ,
    356–363 (2008).
    29. Rohr, J. R. et al. Towards common ground in the biodiversity–disease debate. Nat. Ecol.
    Evol. 4 , 24–33 (2020).
    30. Hosseini, P. et al. Does the impact of biodiversity differ between emerging and endemic
    pathogens? The need to separate the concepts of hazard and risk. Philos. Trans. R. Soc.
    Lond. B 372 , 20160129 (2017).
    31. Brearley, G. et al. Wildlife disease prevalence in human-modified landscapes. Biol. Rev.
    Camb. Philos. Soc. 88 , 427–442 (2013).
    32. Burkett-Cadena, N. D. & Vittor, A. Y. Deforestation and vector-borne disease: Forest
    conversion favors important mosquito vectors of human pathogens. Basic Appl. Ecol. 26 ,
    101–110 (2018).
    33. Hassell, J. M., Begon, M., Ward, M. J. & Fèvre, E. M. Urbanization and disease emergence:
    dynamics at the wildlife–livestock-human interface. Trends Ecol. Evol. 32 , 55–67 (2017).
    34. Holmes, E. C., Rambaut, A. & Andersen, K. G. Pandemics: spend on surveillance, not
    prediction. Nature 558 , 180–182 (2018).
    Publisher’s note Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in
    published maps and institutional affiliations.
    © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited 2020

Free download pdf