The Times - UK (2020-10-14)

the times | Wednesday October 14 2020 1GM 57

We a t h e r

Channel Islands

NORTH

SEA

CHANNEL

IRISH

SEA

ATLANTIC

OCEAN

Aberdeen

Glasgow

Edinburgh

Carlisle

Newcastle

York

Manchester

Liverpool

Hull

Llandudno

Shrewsbury

Nottingham

Sheffield

Norwich

Cambridge

Oxford

Bristol

Swansea

Cardiff

Plymouth

Exeter

Southampton

Brighton

London

Londonderry

Belfast

Galway

Dublin

Cork

Birmingham

CELTIC

SEA

Orkney Shetland

161111111116111166666

Saturday

12

9

10

12

Aberdeen

Aberporth

Anglesey

Aviemore

Barnstaple

Bedford

Belfast

Birmingham

Bournemouth

Bridlington

Bristol

Camborne

Cardiff

Edinburgh

Eskdalemuir

Glasgow

Hereford

Herstmonceux

Ipswich

Isle of Man

Isle of Wight

Jersey

Keswick

Kinloss

Leeds

Lerwick

Leuchars

Lincoln

Liverpool

London

Lyneham

Manchester

Margate

Milford Haven

Newcastle

Nottingham

Orkney

Oxford

Plymouth

Portland

Scilly, St Mary’s

Shoreham

Shrewsbury

Snowdonia

Southend

South Uist

Stornoway

Tiree

Whitehaven

Wick

Yeovilton

Around Britain

Key: b=bright, c=cloud, d=drizzle, pc=partly cloudy

du=dull, f=fair, fg=fog, h=hail, m=mist, r=rain,

sh=showers, sl=sleet, sn=snow, s=sun, t=thunder

*=previous day **=data not available

Temp C Rain mm Sun hr*

midday yesterday 24 hrs to 5pm yesterday

Noon today

11 PC 5.2 0.0

10 PC 3.2 0.2

12 PC 5.0 2.3

8 PC 4.2 0.9

11 PC 2.8 **

10 PC 3.6 **

** ** 1.6 4.2

10 PC 0.4 **

11 PC 3.8 0.0

14 PC 3.6 **

** ** ** **

10 SH 1.6 0.2

11 PC 2.0 0.8

10 DU 3.2 0.4

9 R 1.0 0.3

12 S 0.4 2.8

10 S 0.4 **

10 C 15.4 0.0

9 R 8.2 0.1

11 PC 6.0 4.3

10 PC 6.4 **

13 PC 5.8 0.6

11 PC 1.0 **

11 PC 10.0 0.0

8 R 2.2 **

10 PC 1.0 0.0

11 C 2.8 0.4

10 B 1.2 0.0

9 PC 2.0 **

10 PC 3.6 0.0

9 C 1.4 0.0

9 SH 1.6 0.0

10 R 17.4 0.3

8 C 4.4 **

10 R 4.8 **

11 PC 0.6 0.0

10 C 3.6 0.0

10 PC 2.8 **

11 PC 5.0 **

12 PC 0.6 **

12 PC 0.8 **

10 C 7.0 0.0

11 PC 1.6 0.0

10 B 19.0 **

9 SH 6.8 0.2

12 PC 1.8 **

12 S 1.6 3.9

11 S 3.8 4.7

7 DU 1.8 0.0

10 C 7.8 **

11 PC 1.0 0.0

The world

All readings local midday yesterday

Alicante

Amsterdam

Athens

Auckland

Bahrain

Bangkok

Barbados

Barcelona

Beijing

Beirut

Belgrade

Berlin

Bermuda

Bordeaux

Brussels

Bucharest

Budapest

Buenos Aires

Cairo

Calcutta

Canberra

Cape Town

Chicago

Copenhagen

Corfu

Delhi

Dubai

Dublin

Faro

Florence

Frankfurt

Geneva

Gibraltar

Helsinki

Hong Kong

Honolulu

Istanbul

Jerusalem

Johannesburg

Kuala Lumpur

Kyiv

Lanzarote

Las Palmas

Lima

Lisbon

Los Angeles

Luxor

Madeira

Madrid

Mallorca

Malaga

Malta

Melbourne

Mexico City

Miami

Milan

Mombasa

Montreal

Moscow

Mumbai

Munich

Nairobi

Naples

New Orleans

New York

Nice

Nicosia

Oslo

Paris

Perth

Prague

Reykjavik

Riga

Rio de Janeiro

Riyadh

Rome

San Francisco

Santiago

São Paulo

Seoul

Seychelles

Singapore

St Petersburg

Stockholm

Sydney

Tel Aviv

Tenerife

Tokyo

Vancouver

Venice

Vienna

Warsaw

Washington

Zurich

27 S

13 PC

25 PC

15 SH

33 PC

26 R

3 1 PC

20 PC

22 S

27 PC

9 B

11 PC

26 B

13 R

12 B

16 SH

8 R

20 S

2 9 PC

35 S

24 S

18 S

14 R

13 S

2 1 PC

33 S

36 S

11 PC

21 S

17 S

11 B

10 B

20 PC

10 PC

27 PC

3 0 B

27 S

28 S

19 PC

3 2 PC

20 PC

25 S

26 S

16 DU

23 PC

27 S

35 S

2 4 PC

23 PC

2 4 PC

21 S

2 0 PC

15 B

2 4 B

33 PC

16 S

3 1 PC

14 PC

14 S

3 2 S

8 PC

2 7 PC

16 PC

** S

12 R

19 PC

29 PC

8 B

11 R

2 9 S

7 B

8 B

11 S

26 PC

3 1 S

17 PC

24 S

27 S

24 S

17 S

2 9 PC

3 1 B

8 SH

8 B

29 S

28 S

3 2 S

2 4 B

13 PC

15 S

7 R

8 R

16 D

10 PC

The Times weather er r r rrrrrrrrrr

page is provided

by Weatherquestt

Five days ahead

Largely dry over the next

few days, before turning

cloudier by the weekend,

then rain next week

Today Largely dry with sunny spells and a few showers, mainly in the south and east. Max 15C (59F), min -1C (30F)

Tides

Tidal predictions.

Heights in metres

Today Ht Ht

Aberdeen

Avonmouth

Belfast

Cardiff

Devonport

Dover

Dublin

Falmouth

Greenock

Harwich

Holyhead

Hull

Leith

Liverpool

London Bridge

Lowestoft

Milford Haven

Morecambe

Newhaven

Newquay

Oban

Penzance

Portsmouth

Shoreham

Southampton

Swansea

Tees

Weymouth

12 : 2 5 4.1 --:-- --

05 : 5 4 11.6 18:16 12. 4

09 :54 3.2 22: 0 2 3.5

0 5:39 10.9 17:59 11. 6

0 4:25 4.9 1 6 :40 5.3

0 9:51 6 .3 22:1 6 6 .5

10 :31 3.8 22:37 4.1

0 3:50 4.7 1 6 :0 6 5. 0

1 1: 34 3 .2 2 3 :22 3 .4

1 0:17 3. 6 22:54 3. 9

0 9:15 5.2 21:2 6 5.5

0 4:4 6 6 .7 17:2 6 7.1

0 1: 00 5. 0 13:32 5.3

1 0:03 8. 6 22:20 9.1

1 2:30 6 .3 --:-- --

0 7:50 2.4 20:50 2.5

0 4:54 6 .2 17:14 6 .7

1 0:08 8. 6 22:24 9.1

0 9:52 6.3 22:11 6.4

0 3:49 6 .3 1 6 :08 6 .7

0 5:04 3.5 17:06 3. 9

0 3:21 5 .0 1 5 :40 5 .3

1 0:22 4.5 22:31 4.5

1 0:02 5.9 22:21 6. 0

0 9:27 4.3 21:39 4. 4

0 5:00 8.4 17:19 9. 0

0 2:02 4.9 14:40 5.1

0 5:29 1.7 17:39 1. 9

Synoptic situation

A breezy northeasterly fl ow will

bring a few scattered showers

to eastern and central areas,

particularly likely around the

coasts. Elsewhere, any showers

will ease to leave a largely dry

day with sunny spells as high

pressure builds in from the

north. A northeasterly fl ow

tomorrow will continue to bring

a few light showers to the east,

but elsewhere largely sunny.

Highs and lows

24 hrs to 5pm yesterday

Warmest: Bridlington,

East Yorkshire, 14.1C

Coldest: Eskdalemuir, -0.8C

Wettest: Lentran, 20.8mm

Sunniest: Tiree,

Argyll, 4.7hrs*

Sun and moon

For Greenwich

Sun rises:

Sun sets:

Moon rises:

Moon sets:

New moon: October 1 6

Hours of darkness

Aberdeen

Belfast

Birmingham

Cardiff

Exeter

Glasgow

Liverpool

London

Manchester

Newcastle

Norwich

Penzance

Sheffi eld

18:37-07:1 3

18:57- 0 7:2 3

18:44-07:0 4

18:51- 0 7: 07

18: 5 3-07:0 7

18:48-07:1 9

18:47-07:0 9

18:38-0 6 :5 5

18:44-07:0 6

18:39-07:0 7

18:31-0 6 : 51

19:02-07:1 5

18:41-0 7 :0 3

General situation: A few scattered t

showers, but largely dry and bright.

E Anglia, London, SE Eng, Cen S Eng,

E Mids, E Eng: A sunny start, before

cloud spreading from the east will

bring a few showers, turning heavy in

places, but still with bright or sunny

spellsspells Light to moderate northeasterly. Light to moderate northeasterly

winds, fresh on the coast. Maximum

1 4C (57F), minimum 6C (43F).

SW Eng, Channel Is, Wales, W Mids,

NW Eng, Cen N Eng: The chance of a

few sharp showers running along the

south coast, but otherwise dry with

sunny spells during the morning. A few

scattered showers in the east later.

Light to moderate northeasterly winds,

stronger in the southwest. Maximum

1 5C (59F), minimum 1C (34F).

IoM, Borders, Edinburgh & Dundee,

SWSW Scotland: Scotland: CloudCloud and early rain will and early rain will

clear to leave bright or sunny spells

and the chance of a few showers. Light

to moderate northeasterly winds,

fresher on the east coast. Maximum

1 4C (57F), minimum 2C (36F).

Republic of Ireland, N Ireland: Cloudy

with showers in the east to start,

easing and spreading west. Largely dry

with plenty of sunshine later. Light

northeasterly winds. Maximum

1 4C (57F), minimum 1C (34F).

NW Scotland, NE Scotland, N Isles,

MorayMoray Firth Cen Highland Aberdeen Firth, Cen Highland, Aberdeen,

Argyll, Glasgow: Largely dry with

spells of sunshine and just the small

chance of seeing an isolated shower.

Light northeasterly winds. Maximum

1 2C (54F), minimum -1C (30F).

Tomorrow

12

9

12

13

Friday

13

10

11

12

Sunday

11

8

10

11

Monday

13

10

12

14

18

t but otherwis

32

21

17

oooo

13

18

14

neyney Sh

121211212112121212121212112121211212122

66

15

15

14

15

10

12

10

111

121 100

13

13

15

14

12

14

14

14

11

15

r

4

3

ih

L

k

F

95

86

77

68

59

50

41

32

23

14

5

C

35

30

25

20

15

10

5

0

• 5


• 10


• 15

Wind speedWddppee

(mph)

Temperature

28 (degrees C)

3434

Sea stateSSaa aaee

Calm Cl

Slight

Moderate

Rough

Flood alerts and warnings

At 17:00 on Tuesday there were

four fl ood alerts and no warnings

in England, and no fl ood alerts or

warnings in Wales or Scotland.

For further information and updates

in England visit fl ood-warning-

information.service.gov.uk, for Wales

naturalresources.wales/flfl oodin ooding ag and nd

for Scotland SEPA.org.ukk

Cold front

Warm front

Occluded front

Trough

LOLOLOWLOWLOWLOWLOWLLOLOWLLOWLLLOWLOLLOWLOWLOWLOWLOLOLOLOWLOWLOLOWOWOOWOWOWOWOWOOOWOWOWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWW

HIGHH

LLLOLOLOLOWLOWLOWLOWLOWLOWLOWLOLOWLOLOLOLOWLOWLLLOWLOLLOLOLLOLOLOWOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOWWW

LOLOWLOWLOWLLOWLOWLOWLOWLOWLOWLOWLLOWLOWLOWLOWLOWLOWLOWLOWLOWLOWLOWLOLOWLOWLLOWOOOWOWOWOWOWOOWOWOWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWW

HIGHGHGHGHGGHGHH

HIGHHIGHHIGHHIGHHHIGHHIGHHIGHIGIIGIIIIGIGIIIGIGGGGGH

LOWLOWLOWLOWLLOWLOWLLLOWLOWLLOWLOWLOWLLOWLOWLOWLOWLOWLOWLOWLOLOWLLLLLLLLLLLLLLOWOWOWOOWOWOOOWOWOWOWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWW

LOWLOWLLLLLOWLOWLOWLOWLOWLLLLLOWLLLLOWLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWW

HIGHHIGIGHIGHGHGHGGHGHGHGHGGGHGGHGHGHGHGGGHGHGHGHGHGHGHGHGHGGGHGHGGGGGHGHGGGGHGHGHHHHHHHHHH

103210321111031032103200030003200300300003000003333333322222222222222222222222222222222222

10240240240240020202024002400020000200020200000020000200242222422444444

1110241110101010241024102410241110241024111024101021021024111024110241111024101111011011024101024110102410111110102411111111011002400000000000000000000000000000000002400240240000024242244444

10241024102402402400020200000024000000202020002002024020002222224244444444444444444

101610161016016000160160010160016016116111111111111111111611611611611111111111111111111

1016101610161010010016000010010000000000000000000001

1101008100810101008101011111111111101011111100811110111011010110111101011010101011110100810110110000000000000000000000000000000

10081008100888888

10101008111008110011001001008101101100100100811008110081010101001011008100810101010100810110081001008100810010011001001008100811101011111110000000800000008000008

1000100011000100010001000100010001001001001100110010001100111001000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000

A much cloudier day than the previous

few, but many places will stay dry

with some brighter intervals. A few with some brighthththter er iintervals. A few

showers or sspotspotspotspotspotspotsppotpotspots of drizzpots of drizzotsototsootsotsotsotsotsotsots of drizzottssssofof oof of offff ffff fffffffdrizdddrizdidrizdidriddddridrizddddrizdrizdddzlzlzzzzzlezzzzzzle down the

east coast aand in southnnd ind ind ind ind ind ind ind innd ind ind ind ind ind in southend in southedddidddn snsnnn sn son sn snnn sssssosososososoottthhhehehehehhehhehhehheheheheeeerrn Irn Irreland.

Max 13C,minminminininin 0Ciinin 0Cinin 0Cinnnnnnnn 0 0C 00 0C 00 0CCCCCCCCCCCC

Scattered light showers down the east

coast, but elsewhere it will be largely

dry with sunny spells and the smalldry with sunny ssspelpellpellpellsss and the small

chance of anisoisoisisoisoisosososossosssososososolated showsolated showsolated showooolatelatelatellatelatelatelatelatelllatelatelatelatelatelatelateateateateateeeedhddd dshdshdhddddshddddshddddshdshshhhowowoooowooowowwwerww.

Max 13C,miniinin -1Cnnnnnn -1Cnnnnnnnn -1Cn-1C-1C-1C-1C-1C-1C-1C-1C-1C-1C-1C-1C-1-1C-1C1C1C 1 1C 1111 CCC

Sunny spells and a few isolated

showers in southern Britain and

Ireland. Staying dry with the best of Ireland. Stayinggggdrydrydrydrywwwith the best of

the brightneess ssssss iss is in the nortsis is is is in the nortsissssss in the nortsiiinthn thnthn thn thnn thnthnthnnthn thn thnthn thnthn thn thn thn thththhheenoeenoeeeeee enoenoeenoenenoenonortrthrtrtrtrtrtrtrtrtttttttth.

Max 13C,minmiiniin 1Cn 1Cnnnnnnnnnnnnnnn 1C1C1C1C1C1C1C1C1C1C1C1C1C1C1C1C1C1C 1 CCCC

A generally cloudy day with a few light

showers or spots of drizzle. Patchy

rain will push into southwestern parts.rain will push into nnto tssosooouthwestern parts..

SouthernEngngggglanlandlandland seeing landlandlanlanlanland seeing lananand seeing andandananananananannnnnsseeseeseesseesssssesesesesesessseeeeeeeeeeeing ing iing ing ing ng ng g g tthe t best of

the sunshineee.eeeeeeee.eeeee.......

Max 13C,minminminminininiinin 2Cin 2Ciniin 2Cinnnnnn2C 222 2C 2 2C2C 2 CCCCCCCCCCC

Turning windy in the west with heavy

and persistent rain in places. Drier

with lighter winds farther east, butwith lighterwinnnds fds fds ffaaaarther east, but

thicker cloud md mamay still brimay still brimmamamamamamamamamamamamamamamamay still brimaaay styy sty sty sty stystysty sty systy sty stystysy stsststtttiillilliilliiiliillilliilllllllllbribbribribrinbribribrinbribririririririring a few

scattered shhhhhowers.oweroweroweroweroweroweowers.oweowerowerowowowowoweoweowers.owerwwwwwweerersss.ss.s.ss.s.ssss.sssss

Max 14C,minminminminininin 3Cin 3Cinininin 3Cinnnnn 33 3C3C 3 3C 33 CCCCCCCCC

0 7.2 3

18.0 8

0 3.3 6

17.4 2

14

A

monster is emerging

from the depths of the

Pacific and its mighty

strength will be felt

around the world. This is

La Niña, when the seas of the

Pacific around the equator turn

cooler towards South America and

warmer towards Indonesia and

Australia. It is the ugly sister of the

better known El Niño phenomenon,

and although the change in sea

temperatures during La Niña are

not as extreme, its impact can be

profound.

During La Niña, rainfall increases

in Indonesia and eastern parts of

Australia and carries the risk of

serious flooding. On the other side

of the Pacific, in California and

western parts of Latin America,

the threat is from lack of rain

and drought.

This may seem too remote to

worry about in Britain and the rest

of Europe, but La Niña can have an

effect on the jet stream, which

delivers much of our weather.

“For us in the UK, La Niña tends

to be associated with a cold start

and a mild end to the winter,” said

Adam Scaife, head of long-range

prediction at the Met Office. “While

we expect to see cold snaps,

particularly at the start of the

coming winter, it’s very unlikely to

be as cold as 2010.”

Indeed, the start of winter that

year was horrendously cold. From

late November and throughout

December Britain was plunged into

an Arctic freeze, the coldest

December since 1890 and the

coldest for any month since

February 1986. That period of La

Niña was one of the strongest on

record, when sea surface

temperatures were up to 2C

cooler than average. The present

La Niña is forecast to be about 1C

cooler than usual.

Other factors such as winds in the

stratosphere over the equator are

also expected to moderate the cool

start to winter. Even though La Niña

can turn early winter cool, by late

winter it can drive the jet stream

northwards, turning the weather

in Britain milder, but stormier

and wetter.

Weather Eye

Paul Simons