the times | Wednesday October 14 2020 1GM 57
We a t h e r
Channel Islands
NORTH
SEA
CHANNEL
IRISH
SEA
ATLANTIC
OCEAN
Aberdeen
Glasgow
Edinburgh
Carlisle
Newcastle
York
Manchester
Liverpool
Hull
Llandudno
Shrewsbury
Nottingham
Sheffield
Norwich
Cambridge
Oxford
Bristol
Swansea
Cardiff
Plymouth
Exeter
Southampton
Brighton
London
Londonderry
Belfast
Galway
Dublin
Cork
Birmingham
CELTIC
SEA
Orkney Shetland
161111111116111166666
Saturday
12
9
10
12
Aberdeen
Aberporth
Anglesey
Aviemore
Barnstaple
Bedford
Belfast
Birmingham
Bournemouth
Bridlington
Bristol
Camborne
Cardiff
Edinburgh
Eskdalemuir
Glasgow
Hereford
Herstmonceux
Ipswich
Isle of Man
Isle of Wight
Jersey
Keswick
Kinloss
Leeds
Lerwick
Leuchars
Lincoln
Liverpool
London
Lyneham
Manchester
Margate
Milford Haven
Newcastle
Nottingham
Orkney
Oxford
Plymouth
Portland
Scilly, St Mary’s
Shoreham
Shrewsbury
Snowdonia
Southend
South Uist
Stornoway
Tiree
Whitehaven
Wick
Yeovilton
Around Britain
Key: b=bright, c=cloud, d=drizzle, pc=partly cloudy
du=dull, f=fair, fg=fog, h=hail, m=mist, r=rain,
sh=showers, sl=sleet, sn=snow, s=sun, t=thunder
*=previous day **=data not available
Temp C Rain mm Sun hr*
midday yesterday 24 hrs to 5pm yesterday
Noon today
11 PC 5.2 0.0
10 PC 3.2 0.2
12 PC 5.0 2.3
8 PC 4.2 0.9
11 PC 2.8 **
10 PC 3.6 **
** ** 1.6 4.2
10 PC 0.4 **
11 PC 3.8 0.0
14 PC 3.6 **
** ** ** **
10 SH 1.6 0.2
11 PC 2.0 0.8
10 DU 3.2 0.4
9 R 1.0 0.3
12 S 0.4 2.8
10 S 0.4 **
10 C 15.4 0.0
9 R 8.2 0.1
11 PC 6.0 4.3
10 PC 6.4 **
13 PC 5.8 0.6
11 PC 1.0 **
11 PC 10.0 0.0
8 R 2.2 **
10 PC 1.0 0.0
11 C 2.8 0.4
10 B 1.2 0.0
9 PC 2.0 **
10 PC 3.6 0.0
9 C 1.4 0.0
9 SH 1.6 0.0
10 R 17.4 0.3
8 C 4.4 **
10 R 4.8 **
11 PC 0.6 0.0
10 C 3.6 0.0
10 PC 2.8 **
11 PC 5.0 **
12 PC 0.6 **
12 PC 0.8 **
10 C 7.0 0.0
11 PC 1.6 0.0
10 B 19.0 **
9 SH 6.8 0.2
12 PC 1.8 **
12 S 1.6 3.9
11 S 3.8 4.7
7 DU 1.8 0.0
10 C 7.8 **
11 PC 1.0 0.0
The world
All readings local midday yesterday
Alicante
Amsterdam
Athens
Auckland
Bahrain
Bangkok
Barbados
Barcelona
Beijing
Beirut
Belgrade
Berlin
Bermuda
Bordeaux
Brussels
Bucharest
Budapest
Buenos Aires
Cairo
Calcutta
Canberra
Cape Town
Chicago
Copenhagen
Corfu
Delhi
Dubai
Dublin
Faro
Florence
Frankfurt
Geneva
Gibraltar
Helsinki
Hong Kong
Honolulu
Istanbul
Jerusalem
Johannesburg
Kuala Lumpur
Kyiv
Lanzarote
Las Palmas
Lima
Lisbon
Los Angeles
Luxor
Madeira
Madrid
Mallorca
Malaga
Malta
Melbourne
Mexico City
Miami
Milan
Mombasa
Montreal
Moscow
Mumbai
Munich
Nairobi
Naples
New Orleans
New York
Nice
Nicosia
Oslo
Paris
Perth
Prague
Reykjavik
Riga
Rio de Janeiro
Riyadh
Rome
San Francisco
Santiago
São Paulo
Seoul
Seychelles
Singapore
St Petersburg
Stockholm
Sydney
Tel Aviv
Tenerife
Tokyo
Vancouver
Venice
Vienna
Warsaw
Washington
Zurich
27 S
13 PC
25 PC
15 SH
33 PC
26 R
3 1 PC
20 PC
22 S
27 PC
9 B
11 PC
26 B
13 R
12 B
16 SH
8 R
20 S
2 9 PC
35 S
24 S
18 S
14 R
13 S
2 1 PC
33 S
36 S
11 PC
21 S
17 S
11 B
10 B
20 PC
10 PC
27 PC
3 0 B
27 S
28 S
19 PC
3 2 PC
20 PC
25 S
26 S
16 DU
23 PC
27 S
35 S
2 4 PC
23 PC
2 4 PC
21 S
2 0 PC
15 B
2 4 B
33 PC
16 S
3 1 PC
14 PC
14 S
3 2 S
8 PC
2 7 PC
16 PC
** S
12 R
19 PC
29 PC
8 B
11 R
2 9 S
7 B
8 B
11 S
26 PC
3 1 S
17 PC
24 S
27 S
24 S
17 S
2 9 PC
3 1 B
8 SH
8 B
29 S
28 S
3 2 S
2 4 B
13 PC
15 S
7 R
8 R
16 D
10 PC
The Times weather er r r rrrrrrrrrr
page is provided
by Weatherquestt
Five days ahead
Largely dry over the next
few days, before turning
cloudier by the weekend,
then rain next week
Today Largely dry with sunny spells and a few showers, mainly in the south and east. Max 15C (59F), min -1C (30F)
Tides
Tidal predictions.
Heights in metres
Today Ht Ht
Aberdeen
Avonmouth
Belfast
Cardiff
Devonport
Dover
Dublin
Falmouth
Greenock
Harwich
Holyhead
Hull
Leith
Liverpool
London Bridge
Lowestoft
Milford Haven
Morecambe
Newhaven
Newquay
Oban
Penzance
Portsmouth
Shoreham
Southampton
Swansea
Tees
Weymouth
12 : 2 5 4.1 --:-- --
05 : 5 4 11.6 18:16 12. 4
09 :54 3.2 22: 0 2 3.5
0 5:39 10.9 17:59 11. 6
0 4:25 4.9 1 6 :40 5.3
0 9:51 6 .3 22:1 6 6 .5
10 :31 3.8 22:37 4.1
0 3:50 4.7 1 6 :0 6 5. 0
1 1: 34 3 .2 2 3 :22 3 .4
1 0:17 3. 6 22:54 3. 9
0 9:15 5.2 21:2 6 5.5
0 4:4 6 6 .7 17:2 6 7.1
0 1: 00 5. 0 13:32 5.3
1 0:03 8. 6 22:20 9.1
1 2:30 6 .3 --:-- --
0 7:50 2.4 20:50 2.5
0 4:54 6 .2 17:14 6 .7
1 0:08 8. 6 22:24 9.1
0 9:52 6.3 22:11 6.4
0 3:49 6 .3 1 6 :08 6 .7
0 5:04 3.5 17:06 3. 9
0 3:21 5 .0 1 5 :40 5 .3
1 0:22 4.5 22:31 4.5
1 0:02 5.9 22:21 6. 0
0 9:27 4.3 21:39 4. 4
0 5:00 8.4 17:19 9. 0
0 2:02 4.9 14:40 5.1
0 5:29 1.7 17:39 1. 9
Synoptic situation
A breezy northeasterly fl ow will
bring a few scattered showers
to eastern and central areas,
particularly likely around the
coasts. Elsewhere, any showers
will ease to leave a largely dry
day with sunny spells as high
pressure builds in from the
north. A northeasterly fl ow
tomorrow will continue to bring
a few light showers to the east,
but elsewhere largely sunny.
Highs and lows
24 hrs to 5pm yesterday
Warmest: Bridlington,
East Yorkshire, 14.1C
Coldest: Eskdalemuir, -0.8C
Wettest: Lentran, 20.8mm
Sunniest: Tiree,
Argyll, 4.7hrs*
Sun and moon
For Greenwich
Sun rises:
Sun sets:
Moon rises:
Moon sets:
New moon: October 1 6
Hours of darkness
Aberdeen
Belfast
Birmingham
Cardiff
Exeter
Glasgow
Liverpool
London
Manchester
Newcastle
Norwich
Penzance
Sheffi eld
18:37-07:1 3
18:57- 0 7:2 3
18:44-07:0 4
18:51- 0 7: 07
18: 5 3-07:0 7
18:48-07:1 9
18:47-07:0 9
18:38-0 6 :5 5
18:44-07:0 6
18:39-07:0 7
18:31-0 6 : 51
19:02-07:1 5
18:41-0 7 :0 3
General situation: A few scattered t
showers, but largely dry and bright.
E Anglia, London, SE Eng, Cen S Eng,
E Mids, E Eng: A sunny start, before
cloud spreading from the east will
bring a few showers, turning heavy in
places, but still with bright or sunny
spellsspells Light to moderate northeasterly. Light to moderate northeasterly
winds, fresh on the coast. Maximum
1 4C (57F), minimum 6C (43F).
SW Eng, Channel Is, Wales, W Mids,
NW Eng, Cen N Eng: The chance of a
few sharp showers running along the
south coast, but otherwise dry with
sunny spells during the morning. A few
scattered showers in the east later.
Light to moderate northeasterly winds,
stronger in the southwest. Maximum
1 5C (59F), minimum 1C (34F).
IoM, Borders, Edinburgh & Dundee,
SWSW Scotland: Scotland: CloudCloud and early rain will and early rain will
clear to leave bright or sunny spells
and the chance of a few showers. Light
to moderate northeasterly winds,
fresher on the east coast. Maximum
1 4C (57F), minimum 2C (36F).
Republic of Ireland, N Ireland: Cloudy
with showers in the east to start,
easing and spreading west. Largely dry
with plenty of sunshine later. Light
northeasterly winds. Maximum
1 4C (57F), minimum 1C (34F).
NW Scotland, NE Scotland, N Isles,
MorayMoray Firth Cen Highland Aberdeen Firth, Cen Highland, Aberdeen,
Argyll, Glasgow: Largely dry with
spells of sunshine and just the small
chance of seeing an isolated shower.
Light northeasterly winds. Maximum
1 2C (54F), minimum -1C (30F).
Tomorrow
12
9
12
13
Friday
13
10
11
12
Sunday
11
8
10
11
Monday
13
10
12
14
18
t but otherwis
32
21
17
oooo
13
18
14
neyney Sh
121211212112121212121212112121211212122
66
15
15
14
15
10
12
10
111
121 100
13
13
15
14
12
14
14
14
11
15
r
4
3
ih
L
k
F
95
86
77
68
59
50
41
32
23
14
5
C
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
- 5
- 10
- 15
Wind speedWddppee
(mph)
Temperature
28 (degrees C)
3434
Sea stateSSaa aaee
Calm Cl
Slight
Moderate
Rough
Flood alerts and warnings
At 17:00 on Tuesday there were
four fl ood alerts and no warnings
in England, and no fl ood alerts or
warnings in Wales or Scotland.
For further information and updates
in England visit fl ood-warning-
information.service.gov.uk, for Wales
naturalresources.wales/flfl oodin ooding ag and nd
for Scotland SEPA.org.ukk
Cold front
Warm front
Occluded front
Trough
LOLOLOWLOWLOWLOWLOWLLOLOWLLOWLLLOWLOLLOWLOWLOWLOWLOLOLOLOWLOWLOLOWOWOOWOWOWOWOWOOOWOWOWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWW
HIGHH
LLLOLOLOLOWLOWLOWLOWLOWLOWLOWLOLOWLOLOLOLOWLOWLLLOWLOLLOLOLLOLOLOWOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOWWW
LOLOWLOWLOWLLOWLOWLOWLOWLOWLOWLOWLLOWLOWLOWLOWLOWLOWLOWLOWLOWLOWLOWLOLOWLOWLLOWOOOWOWOWOWOWOOWOWOWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWW
HIGHGHGHGHGGHGHH
HIGHHIGHHIGHHIGHHHIGHHIGHHIGHIGIIGIIIIGIGIIIGIGGGGGH
LOWLOWLOWLOWLLOWLOWLLLOWLOWLLOWLOWLOWLLOWLOWLOWLOWLOWLOWLOWLOLOWLLLLLLLLLLLLLLOWOWOWOOWOWOOOWOWOWOWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWW
LOWLOWLLLLLOWLOWLOWLOWLOWLLLLLOWLLLLOWLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWW
HIGHHIGIGHIGHGHGHGGHGHGHGHGGGHGGHGHGHGHGGGHGHGHGHGHGHGHGHGHGGGHGHGGGGGHGHGGGGHGHGHHHHHHHHHH
103210321111031032103200030003200300300003000003333333322222222222222222222222222222222222
10240240240240020202024002400020000200020200000020000200242222422444444
1110241110101010241024102410241110241024111024101021021024111024110241111024101111011011024101024110102410111110102411111111011002400000000000000000000000000000000002400240240000024242244444
10241024102402402400020200000024000000202020002002024020002222224244444444444444444
101610161016016000160160010160016016116111111111111111111611611611611111111111111111111
1016101610161010010016000010010000000000000000000001
1101008100810101008101011111111111101011111100811110111011010110111101011010101011110100810110110000000000000000000000000000000
10081008100888888
10101008111008110011001001008101101100100100811008110081010101001011008100810101010100810110081001008100810010011001001008100811101011111110000000800000008000008
1000100011000100010001000100010001001001001100110010001100111001000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000
A much cloudier day than the previous
few, but many places will stay dry
with some brighter intervals. A few with some brighthththter er iintervals. A few
showers or sspotspotspotspotspotspotsppotpotspots of drizzpots of drizzotsototsootsotsotsotsotsotsots of drizzottssssofof oof of offff ffff fffffffdrizdddrizdidrizdidriddddridrizddddrizdrizdddzlzlzzzzzlezzzzzzle down the
east coast aand in southnnd ind ind ind ind ind ind ind innd ind ind ind ind ind in southend in southedddidddn snsnnn sn son sn snnn sssssosososososoottthhhehehehehhehhehhehheheheheeeerrn Irn Irreland.
Max 13C,minminminininin 0Ciinin 0Cinin 0Cinnnnnnnn 0 0C 00 0C 00 0CCCCCCCCCCCC
Scattered light showers down the east
coast, but elsewhere it will be largely
dry with sunny spells and the smalldry with sunny ssspelpellpellpellsss and the small
chance of anisoisoisisoisoisosososossosssososososolated showsolated showsolated showooolatelatelatellatelatelatelatelatelllatelatelatelatelatelatelateateateateateeeedhddd dshdshdhddddshddddshddddshdshshhhowowoooowooowowwwerww.
Max 13C,miniinin -1Cnnnnnn -1Cnnnnnnnn -1Cn-1C-1C-1C-1C-1C-1C-1C-1C-1C-1C-1C-1C-1-1C-1C1C1C 1 1C 1111 CCC
Sunny spells and a few isolated
showers in southern Britain and
Ireland. Staying dry with the best of Ireland. Stayinggggdrydrydrydrywwwith the best of
the brightneess ssssss iss is in the nortsis is is is in the nortsissssss in the nortsiiinthn thnthn thn thnn thnthnthnnthn thn thnthn thnthn thn thn thn thththhheenoeenoeeeeee enoenoeenoenenoenonortrthrtrtrtrtrtrtrtrtttttttth.
Max 13C,minmiiniin 1Cn 1Cnnnnnnnnnnnnnnn 1C1C1C1C1C1C1C1C1C1C1C1C1C1C1C1C1C1C 1 CCCC
A generally cloudy day with a few light
showers or spots of drizzle. Patchy
rain will push into southwestern parts.rain will push into nnto tssosooouthwestern parts..
SouthernEngngggglanlandlandland seeing landlandlanlanlanland seeing lananand seeing andandananananananannnnnsseeseeseesseesssssesesesesesessseeeeeeeeeeeing ing iing ing ing ng ng g g tthe t best of
the sunshineee.eeeeeeee.eeeee.......
Max 13C,minminminminininiinin 2Cin 2Ciniin 2Cinnnnnn2C 222 2C 2 2C2C 2 CCCCCCCCCCC
Turning windy in the west with heavy
and persistent rain in places. Drier
with lighter winds farther east, butwith lighterwinnnds fds fds ffaaaarther east, but
thicker cloud md mamay still brimay still brimmamamamamamamamamamamamamamamamay still brimaaay styy sty sty sty stystysty sty systy sty stystysy stsststtttiillilliilliiiliillilliilllllllllbribbribribrinbribribrinbribririririririring a few
scattered shhhhhowers.oweroweroweroweroweroweowers.oweowerowerowowowowoweoweowers.owerwwwwwweerersss.ss.s.ss.s.ssss.sssss
Max 14C,minminminminininin 3Cin 3Cinininin 3Cinnnnn 33 3C3C 3 3C 33 CCCCCCCCC
0 7.2 3
18.0 8
0 3.3 6
17.4 2
14
A
monster is emerging
from the depths of the
Pacific and its mighty
strength will be felt
around the world. This is
La Niña, when the seas of the
Pacific around the equator turn
cooler towards South America and
warmer towards Indonesia and
Australia. It is the ugly sister of the
better known El Niño phenomenon,
and although the change in sea
temperatures during La Niña are
not as extreme, its impact can be
profound.
During La Niña, rainfall increases
in Indonesia and eastern parts of
Australia and carries the risk of
serious flooding. On the other side
of the Pacific, in California and
western parts of Latin America,
the threat is from lack of rain
and drought.
This may seem too remote to
worry about in Britain and the rest
of Europe, but La Niña can have an
effect on the jet stream, which
delivers much of our weather.
“For us in the UK, La Niña tends
to be associated with a cold start
and a mild end to the winter,” said
Adam Scaife, head of long-range
prediction at the Met Office. “While
we expect to see cold snaps,
particularly at the start of the
coming winter, it’s very unlikely to
be as cold as 2010.”
Indeed, the start of winter that
year was horrendously cold. From
late November and throughout
December Britain was plunged into
an Arctic freeze, the coldest
December since 1890 and the
coldest for any month since
February 1986. That period of La
Niña was one of the strongest on
record, when sea surface
temperatures were up to 2C
cooler than average. The present
La Niña is forecast to be about 1C
cooler than usual.
Other factors such as winds in the
stratosphere over the equator are
also expected to moderate the cool
start to winter. Even though La Niña
can turn early winter cool, by late
winter it can drive the jet stream
northwards, turning the weather
in Britain milder, but stormier
and wetter.
Weather Eye
Paul Simons