Barron's - USA (2020-10-26)

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12 BARRON’S October 26, 2020


REVIEW


28,335.


Dow Industrials:-270.






Dow Global Index:-0.


0.84%


10-year treasury note:+0.


THE POWER OF ONLINE DATA


A Random Walk


Stocks rose and fell, but not a lot, buf-


feted by the Covid-19 spike, relief talks,


campaign noise, and, yes, corporate


earnings. Stocks rose after the Google


antitrust suit was announced and relief


hopes faded, then sagged. Go figure.


On the week, the Dow industrials fell


0.9%, to 28,335.57; the S&P 500 index


shed 0.5%, to 3465.39; and the Nasdaq


Composite lost 1.1%, to 11,548.28.


The Third Wave


Covid roared again, as some 38 states


saw increases in cases and hospitals


filled up, particularly across the Mid-


west. The death toll passed 220,000;


Thursday, the day of the final presiden-


tial debate, saw a record 77,000 new


cases. Meanwhile, reports emerged of


tensions within the White House’s


coronavirus task force, with President


Trump calling infectious disease chief


Dr. Anthony Fauci a “disaster” and


saying that people were tired of hear-


ing about the virus from the “idiots” in


the government.Gilead Scienceswon


approval for remdesivir as an anti-


Covid therapy.


Politics of Relief


With the election looming, House


Speaker Nancy Pelosi set a Tuesday


deadline to reach a deal on Covid relief.


Pelosi and Treasury Secretary Steven


Mnuchin negotiated a $2 trillion plan,


until Senate Majority Leader Mitch


McConnell warned of GOP resistance.


Trump then blamed Pelosi, who con-


tinued to talk to Mnuchin. Separately,


Democrats boycotted a Judiciary


Committee vote approving Amy


Coney Barrett to the Supreme Court.


Powell on Crypto


Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome


Powell said that the U.S. would pro-


ceed cautiously on a digital currency.


“We do think it’s more important to


get it right than to be first,” he said,


warning of threats ofcyberattacks,


counterfeiting, and fraud and the need


to ensure safety and security.


Charging Google


After a yearlong probe, the Justice De-


partment accusedAlphabet’s Google


unit of multiple violations of antitrust


Rethinking


Retail With AI


Retail is no stranger to artificial intelligence. Nearly a


decade ago,Targetused AI to predict when a woman


was pregnant. Today, with Covid-19 fueling online shop-


ping, more data and computing power than ever is avail-


able. “An AI system needs data to become smart. And


the more data it has, the smarter it gets,” says Gaylene


Meyer, vice president of global marketing and communi-


cations atImpinj, whose products allow retailers to


track trillions of items in real time.


That’s key, since inconvenience is the enemy of sales.


The pandemic wreaked havoc on supply chains, which


coupled with consumer reluctance to buy nondiscretion-


ary items, reduced data earlier this year. Retailers that


could afford AI could adjust, often by tapping nontradi-


tional data. “Mobile is the new mall,” says Cowen analyst


Oliver Chen, who notes that machine learning allows


brands to build one-on-one relationships with consumers


at scale. “It’s how you interact with a retailer online—


that’s the secret sauce behind a lot of social media data.”


That’s part of the rationale behindWalmart’s bid for


TikTok, which provides data on how younger shoppers


engage with brands via social media. “Walmart knows


the most valuable customer is in the early stages of


household formation,” says Chen, meaning they’re en-


tering prime spending years.


The buzzword is personalization. AI directs ad dol-


lars to receptive audiences, customizes offers, or gener-


ates dynamic menus based on customer preferences. As


Chen says, “It comes back to [retailers] knowing what


you want before you know you want it.”—Teresa Rivas


711


Average U.S. FICO credit score


in July, a record, which has held


steady through October.


43%


Combined share of global equity


fund raising in Hong Kong, Shen-


zen, and Shanghai, a record.


The total: $76 billion.


40 %


Percentage of S&P 500 market


value held by tech stocks, beat-


ing 1999’s 37%, according to


Dow Jones Market Data.


$37 B


Amount of federal aid to farm-


ers this year, a third of total


income of $102.7 billion.


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THE NUMBERS


HE SAID:


“There’s a difference


between dominance


and excellence.”


Former Alphabet CEO Eric Schmidt,


at a Wall Street Journal conference,


on the government’s antitrust suit


against the company


law. The government is arguing that


Google used a variety of business arrange-


ments to secure a dominant role for online


search, particularly on mobile phones,


allowing it to leverage advertising. Google


called the case “deeply flawed.”


Boris on the Brink


U.K. Prime Minister Boris Johnson, facing


a December deadline on a Brexit trade


deal with the European Union, threatened


to go it alone. Talks then resumed, and the


U.K. signed a trade deal with Japan.


Annals of Deal Making


Opioid producer Purdue Pharma agreed


to an $8.3 billion settlement after plead-


ing guilty to three federal criminal


charges...Goldman Sachswill pay $2.


billion for its role in Malaysia’s 1MDB


scandal, while clawing back $174 million


from executives...Ant Group won ap-


proval from Hong Kong regulators for an


initial public offering. The company,


owned byAlibaba Group Holding, will


also list in Shanghai. Ant expects to raise


some $35 billion, for a market value of


$280 billion...ConocoPhillipssaid it


would buyConcho Resourcesina$9.


billion all-stock deal, the biggest oil deal


since the pandemic hit...Pioneer Natu-


ral Resourceswill buyParsley Energy


for $4.5 billion...Intelis selling its flash-


memory unit toSK Hynixfor $9 billion. Illustration by Elias Stein; Paul Morris/Bloomberg

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