Fortune - USA (2020-12)

(Antfer) #1

banks. This typically hits economies with a


one- to two-year lag, so we haven’t even seen


the full impact yet. It’s the materials stocks,


the consumer discretionary, the financials,


industrials, that will come roaring out of this.


The risk that worries us the most is U.S.-

China relations. We just opened a Shanghai


office, and I want to make sure that there’s free


movement of ideas, of knowledge. There’s so


much we can learn from private sector com-


panies in China and vice versa. If that’s cut off,


and we balkanize, the world is worse for it.


EISWERT: We now know there’s gonna be


multiple vaccines. We’re gonna beat COVID. I


feel pretty confident about that on a 12-month,


18-month basis. That’s the destination. But the


path is rocky. You have to suffer on the path in


the near term, so that you make money over


the next two, three years. I think social unrest


is a big risk. I don’t understand our country


right now. I don’t understand beliefs that


people have, and how opposed they are. I think


it makes us vulnerable. And I worry about in-


terest rates. Right now we live in zero- interest-


rate land. Housing prices are off the hook—


what was the 30-year mortgage, recently,


2.8%? When that goes away, all asset prices are


going to go down. Do we have an economy that


can sustain growth with a 10-year Treasury at


3%? Because that’s going to cause pain.


YEN: So, 1.1 million workers dropped out of


the labor force in September, and 80% of


those were women. And the reasons in-


clude the fact that a lot of the supports that


we have in place for working parents, like


traditional childcare and traditional school,


went away. How do we make sure that the


workforce that we’ve worked so hard to get


onto equal footing is not wiped out, so that


you can have the Sonia Syngals and Lisa Sus


THREE THINGS TO GET


EXCITED ABOUT, AND


THREE TO WORRY ABOUT


GET EXCITED ABOUT

NONU.S. STOCKS

Stocks in emerging mar-
kets and Europe are 20%
to 30% cheaper than
U.S. stocks in relation
to their earnings, giving
them more upside when
the economy improves.

FINANCE, OLD OR NEW

Financial stocks look
well positioned to soar
as COVID-19 eases;
ironically, so do the
fintech stocks looking to
steal their market share.

YOUNGER INVESTORS

Their desire to invest
in and work for socially
responsible companies
is changing corporate
priorities—and influenc-
ing share prices.

WORRY ABOUT

INTEREST RATES

Central banks have kept
rates low during the
pandemic. If rates inch
back toward normal as
the economy improves,
prices of stocks and real
estate could tumble.

U.S.CHINA TENSION

Trade wars and fights
over intellectual prop-
erty could escalate,
harming multinationals
that depend on global
supply chains.

WORKING PARENTS

School and childcare
closures have driven
millions of women out of
the workforce, with un-
foreseeable economic
consequences.

1.2 TRILLION


$


ASSETS IN SUSTAINABLE MUTUAL FUNDS AND ETFS
at the end of the third quarter, according to Morningstar.
Sustainable funds stayed hot even during the worst weeks of the pandemic bear market.
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