The Wall Street Journal - USA (2020-12-03)

(Antfer) #1

A14| Thursday, December 3, 2020 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.


B


ack in February, when
the sports world was
still wondering how se-
vere an outbreak of
something called
Covid-19 might be, a Colombian cy-
clist named Fernando Gaviria was
finding out for himself.
Gaviria was doing his job, racing
bikes in the United Arab Emirates,
when he became one of the first in-
ternational athletes to contract the
coronavirus. The symptoms were
harsh enough to land him in hospi-
tal for two weeks. “Back then we
knew very little about the virus,”
he wrote in an email.
By the time Gaviria was healthy
enough to leave Abu Dhabi, his
world was a more uncertain place.
The sports calendar had been
scrubbed. Entire countries were
shutting down. But Gaviria’s virus
ordeal seemed to come with a per-
sonal silver lining. Prevailing wis-
dom suggested he’d at least be im-
mune for the foreseeable future.
That future lasted barely seven
months. In October, Gaviria tested
positive a second time. His reaction
was sheer disbelief.
“I was completely asymptomatic
and felt OK,” he wrote.
His team ran a slew of backup
tests to be certain—the implica-
tions of his apparent reinfection
were immense. A second case of
Covid-19 wouldn’t just make Ga-
viria a rarity in sports. It would
make him one of the most curious
cases in the world.
That’s because the possibility of
contracting Covid-19 twice remains
one of the pandemic’s great mys-
teries, even after a year and with a
vaccine on the horizon. Research-
ers have confirmed only around 25
cases of reinfection world-wide
with perhaps 500 more suspected,
according to Richard Tillett, the
University of Nevada biostatistician
who described the first U.S. rein-
fection this summer.
What makes Gaviria’s case more
compelling is that he belongs to a
small population with generally ex-
cellent health—and access to fre-
quent testing: professional athletes.
From the time he resumed compe-
tition in late July until his second
positive test on Oct. 19, the 26-
year-old Gaviria underwent more
than a dozen PCR tests, according
to his team. All of them came back
negative.
Those results further point to
reinfection rather than a long-haul
case that has dragged on from Feb-
ruary, according to Tillett. “With
eight months in between and so
many negative tests, it’s plausible.”
That frequency of testing is also
what detected Gaviria’s apparent
second infection. Were he not an
elite athlete, he probably wouldn’t
have sought out a test on his own,
considering he was asymptomatic
and had been previously infected.
But because he was on the pro cy-
cling circuit, the test came to him.
Under the standards laid out by
the Centers for Disease Control and
Prevention, Gaviria is considered
merely a “suspected” case of rein-
fection, not “confirmed.” The CDC
requires a process known as ge-
nomic sequencing for both samples
to prove that they contain different

SEA CHANGES| By Mike Shenk
Across
1 City between
Austin and Dallas
5 Falls away
9 Dirk DeJong’s
nickname in a
Pulitzer-winning
1924 novel
14 Most common
element on Earth
by mass
15 It divides 5-Down
16 Adler who called
Sherlock Holmes
“formidable”
17 Ice box?
19 Baylor in the
Basketball Hall
of Fame
20 Company whose
logo is a trio of
interlocking
tuning forks

21 Memory trigger,
sometimes
23 Bank acct.
addition
24 Team of
eccentrics who
are behind in
the game?
27 Brit. bigwigs
30 Spare part?
31 Québec shares
borders with
quatre of them
32 “Your bran is
strictly brand X,”
maybe?
35 Booty
38 Bow in early
movies
39 Pelvic projection
41 African
wallower

42 Bus driver for
Lisa and
Milhouse
43 Part of a
roughly-made
mattress?
45 “Giant brain”
completed in
1945
49 Got together
50 Uptown
direction in NYC
51 Paramour
decides it’s time
to split?
55 AP competitor
56 Seller of Ektorp
sofas
57 Confident
wordsatthe
table
61 High areas

TheWSJDailyCrossword|Edited by Mike Shenk


1234 5678 910111213
14 15 16
17 18 19
20 21 22 23
24 25 26
27 28 29 30 31
32 33 34 35 36 37
38 39 40 41
42 43 44
45 46 47 48 49 50
51 52 53 54
55 56 57 58 59 60
61 62 63 64
65 66 67
68 69 70

Previous Puzzle’s Solution

s
Solve this puzzle online and discuss it atWSJ.com/Puzzles.

OMEN L AMP I NC UR
SONE ODOR MI LNE
HORSESHOE PLOTS
KNOTTED FEE AWE
OPUSES SEALSKIN
SIT ROBERT PENT
HEE NUKE FADES
CATSK I LLS
CORAL ECUA CUP
APED SPRUNG ONA
PIGSTIES GOONIN
ANA ASS PENANCE
BITER TOADSTOOL
LOTTO ELLA ETRE
ENACT REST REND

63 Strongbox
crafted from pale
hardwood?
65 Tag number
66 Lorry part
67 “Happy
Motoring!” brand
68 Fills fully
69 Cheek
70 Supreme leader
Down
1 Tough and lean
2 Britten creation
3 Census Bureau’s
cabinet dept.
4 NBA MVP in
2000
5 Region divided
by 15-Across
6 Le Mystère buy
7 Conducting need
8 Vehicle on
runners
9 Follower of
Romeo
10 Magic, on sports
tickers
11 Is triggered by
12 Bold way to solve
13 Mannerly men
18 “Ageless Body,
Timeless Mind”
author
22 Fourth qtr. start

25 Proceed
cautiously
26 Top story
27 Somewhat, in
scores
28 Shake addition
29 It might include
a Rose Garden
photo op
33 Witchy woman
34 Brunch cocktail
36 Take turns
37 Putting target
40 Deer stalker
41 Straight
44 Ploys
46 Van Gogh
subject
47 “That’s terrible!”
48 Field grippers
51 Mattress
annoyances
52 Britten creation
53 Class for
coasters
54 More
conservative
58 Should that be
the case
59 Therapy period:
Abbr.
60 Winged archer
62 Strong heart
64 Time sheet nos.

BYJOSHUAROBINSON

Weather
Shown are today’s noon positions of weather systems and precipitation. Temperature bands are highs for the day.

City Hi LoW Hi LoW City Hi Lo W Hi Lo W

Today Tomorrow Today Tomorrow

City Hi LoW Hi LoW

Anchorage 20 7 c 14 6 s
Atlanta 57 44 pc 61 41 r
Austin 57 35 s 60 31 s
Baltimore 54 38 s 53 44 c
Boise 40 20 s 36 20 s
Boston 50 40 s 52 44 c
Burlington 45 36 pc 45 35 c
Charlotte 57 40 s 59 49 r
Chicago 43 30 pc 43 30 s
Cleveland 42 35 pc 43 30 c
Dallas 49 33 c 57 34 pc
Denver 46 27 s 53 28 s
Detroit 43 32 pc 40 28 pc
Honolulu 86 74 s 84 73 pc
Houston 57 40 s 56 35 pc
Indianapolis 45 31 c 46 29 s
Kansas City 43 26 c 48 26 s
Las Vegas 56 33 s 58 36 s
Little Rock 44 34 r 49 32 pc
Los Angeles 72 45 s 72 47 s
Miami 76 68 pc 79 70 pc
Milwaukee 41 32 pc 42 31 pc
Minneapolis 40 27 pc 38 24 s
Nashville 52 42 pc 51 39 r
New Orleans 70 52 t 58 44 s
New York City 51 44 s 50 44 sh
Oklahoma City 39 25 r 52 29 s

Omaha 45 25 pc 49 23 s
Orlando 73 58 pc 78 63 pc
Philadelphia 52 41 s 50 43 sh
Phoenix 67 41 s 66 42 s
Pittsburgh 43 34 pc 43 34 sn
Portland, Maine 44 34 s 48 39 c
Portland, Ore. 48 33 pc 49 36 s
Sacramento 64 35 pc 65 33 s
St. Louis 45 33 sn 49 30 s
Salt Lake City 39 19 s 40 24 s
San Francisco 61 44 pc 65 44 s
Santa Fe 40 18 s 48 21 s
Seattle 49 37 s 50 37 s
Sioux Falls 43 26 pc 46 25 s
Wash., D.C. 53 42 s 53 47 c

Amsterdam 44 40 sh 45 33 sh
Athens 61 55 c 64 52 sh
Baghdad 68 53 pc 68 51 pc
Bangkok 89 72 s 85 68 pc
Beijing 40 17 pc 39 17 pc
Berlin 34 27 pc 40 33 pc
Brussels 43 41 sh 44 33 sh
Buenos Aires 79 61 s 73 58 pc
Dubai 83 73 pc 85 73 pc
Dublin 39 29 sh 42 39 sh
Edinburgh 38 29 sh 43 39 sh

Frankfurt 37 35 pc 41 33 sh
Geneva 40 35 pc 38 31 sh
Havana 80 66 s 83 66 sh
Hong Kong 72 56 s 69 57 s
Istanbul 56 44 pc 60 47 s
Jakarta 88 76 t 89 77 t
Jerusalem 58 45 s 59 44 c
Johannesburg 74 55 pc 79 54 t
London 44 36 sh 40 34 r
Madrid 48 39 pc 46 31 sh
Manila 86 77 t 86 76 pc
Melbourne 75 55 s 75 59 s
Mexico City 74 46 c 73 48 pc
Milan 42 33 pc 39 36 r
Moscow 26 20 c 27 24 c
Mumbai 93 74 pc 92 74 pc
Paris 46 38 r 44 33 c
Rio de Janeiro 90 77 pc 89 76 pc
Riyadh 77 62 pc 79 63 pc
Rome 56 44 sh 60 55 r
San Juan 83 73 sh 83 73 pc
Seoul 39 21 s 40 25 s
Shanghai 53 40 pc 51 41 s
Singapore 87 78 sh 84 77 t
Sydney 7868pc 8668s
Taipei City 68 61 r 68 63 r
Tokyo 5448pc 5346pc
Toronto 4034pc 3828sn
Vancouver 46 38 c 46 38 pc
Warsaw 34 31 c 43 39 pc
Zurich 38 29 pc 38 32 sh

Today Tomorrow

U.S. Forecasts


International


City Hi Lo W Hi Lo W

s...sunny; pc... partly cloudy; c...cloudy; sh...showers;
t...t’storms; r...rain; sf...snow flurries; sn...snow; i...ice
Today Tomorrow

Warm

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Stationary

Showers

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T-storms

Snow

Flurries

Ice

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Nashville
Memphis

Detroit

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City

El Paso Dallas

Billings

Portland

Miami

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Sacramento

Orlando

Atlanta

New Orleans

Houston

San Diego Phoenix

Los Angeles

Las
Vegas

Seattle

Boise

Denver

Mpls./St. Paul

St. Louis

Chicago

Washington D.C.

Boston

Charleston

Milwaukee Hartford

Wichita

Indianapolis

Cleveland

Buffalo

Austin

Helena
Bismarck

Albuquerque

Omaha

Oklahoma City

San Antonio

Des Moines

Sioux Falls

Jackson
Birmingham

Reno Cheyenne Philadelphia

Santa Fe

Colorado
Springs

Pierre

Richmond
Raleigh

Tucson

Albany

Topeka

Columbia

Augusta

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Eugene

Springfield

Mobile

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Vancouver Calgary

Edmonton

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WHEN THE NATIONAL FOOTBALL
League’s owners gathered virtually
in October, it was on the heels of a
Covid-19 outbreak inside the Ten-
nessee Titans that derailed the
league’s schedule. They discussed
what would become a principle of
this season’s thorny finish: the
NFL’s long-held obsession with
competitive fairness had to go by
the wayside.
That decision came home to
roost over a surreal week that be-
gan on Thanksgiving with the
postponement of a marquee game;
continued on Sunday with one
team playing without a quarter-
back; and concluded with an un-
usual Wednesday game.
“Health and medical decisions
have and will always take prece-
dence over competitive consider-
ations,” commissioner Roger Good-
ell said Wednesday.
His remarks came just two
hours before the Baltimore Ravens
and Pittsburgh Steelers were set to
kickoff a game that had been post-
poned three times because the Ra-
vens continued to register new
positive tests for more than a
week. The outbreak left the Ravens
to play against the NFL’s last un-
defeated team without MVP quar-
terback Lamar Jackson, their top
two running backs and a host of
other starters.
The Ravens-Steelers game was
supposed to be played on Thanks-
giving night, until the cases forced
a postponement until Sunday, and
then Tuesday and then Wednes-
day. It wasn’t even confirmed that
the game would proceed until
shortly after noon Wednesday, just
hours before kickoff.
Yet this game wasn’t even the
starkest demonstration of the
NFL’s willingness to plow through
competitive inequity in order to
get in a game. On Sunday, the Den-
ver Broncos played the New Or-
leans Saints without a quarterback
after one of their backups tested
positive and the team’s other quar-
terbacks were removed due to con-
tact tracing. They ended up using
receiver Kendall Hinton at quarter-
back. The Broncos lost 31-3, while
Hinton completed one pass and
threw two interceptions.

Ravens quarterback Robert Griffin III

FROM TOP: LUCA ZENNARO/EPA/SHUTTERSTOCK; GENE J. PUSKAR/ASSOCIATED PRESS

Fernando Gaviria during the 5th stage of the 2020 Giro d’Italia. He withdrew after testing positive for Covid-19.

The Cyclist Who Caught


Covid-19 Twice


Eight months after his first bout with the virus, Colombia’s


Fernando Gaviria tested positive again in October


that the one case was him. Again.
His spectacular bad luck came
on the second rest day of the Giro
d’Italia, after 16 stages from Sicily
to the Alps. Gaviria had raced on
40 different days since the season
resumed in July without issue. He
had been cleared repeatedly by
negative tests. But Gaviria, one of
the first pro cyclists in the world to
contract Covid, now seemed to be
thefirsttodoittwice.
“That was a little bit more sur-
prising than if somebody else had
it,” Swart said.
Gaviria was immediately sent
into isolation, where he displayed
no symptoms. Whether or not
that’s typical for reinfection is
hard to say, since experts have yet
to find a common thread in the
handful of confirmed reinfections
they’ve been able to examine.
“I cannot see a pattern between
confirmed cases of reinfection and
what kind of immune response they
had prior to the second exposure,
Iwasaki said. “It’s possible that
people who had reinfections had
low levels of antibodies or T-cells.
We just don’t have enough data.”
The two data points supplied by
Gaviria merely suggest reinfections
could become more widespread, ex-
perts said. But for him, they also
underscore what he had already re-
alized back when he made his way
out of an Abu Dhabi hospital eight
months ago.
“The virus,” he said at the time,
“is turning out to be more serious
than we imagined.”

“They tended to burn themselves
out fast even though we were to-
tally unprepared for them,” Tillett
said. “It was a very short time
frame that we had to study them in
the wild.”
But professional sports this year
turned into pop-up Covid laborato-
ries. Their intense testing regimes
and controlled environments cre-
ated easy-to-monitor populations
with lessons to offer on transmis-
sion, isolation, and sanitary proto-
cols. Those conditions also made
cycling into one of 2020s unlikely
success stories.
Organizers managed to pull off
the Tour de France, the Giro d’Ita-
lia, and the Vuelta a Espana—three-
week stage races around countries
with rising case numbers—by hold-
ing them in roving bubbles after
the season resumed this summer.
Over the nine weeks of competi-
tion, 4,568 tests were carried out,
returning just 14 positives, accord-
ing to cycling’s world governing
body. And whenever a case cropped
up, organizers didn’t panic. They
simply sent the infected individuals
home and retested those who had
been in contact with them without
aborting the race.
“We had a very strict protocol
and for the most part it was very
successful,” said Jeroen Swart, the
head of medicine at Gaviria’s UAE
Team Emirates. “We managed to
navigate the entire [post-hiatus]
season with only one case in a race
scenario.”
The problem for Gaviria was

strains of Covid-19. The problem is
that tracking down Gaviria’s first
positive sample, now eight months
old and taken in the United Arab
Emirates, is no longer possible.
A growing body of evidence,
however, suggests that reinfections
could become more widespread in
the near future.
Recent studies have shown that
the body’s immune response to the
virus—measured in levels of anti-
bodies and T-cells—tends to wane
over time.

“We don’t know how long it
lasts,” said Akiko Iwasaki, professor
of immunobiology at Yale Univer-
sity. “For seasonal coronaviruses,
reinfections do occur within a year.
So I wouldn’t be surprised that the
Covid immunity also doesn’t last
very long when acquired from nat-
ural infections.”
Nonseasonal flavors of coronavi-
rus are much less understood. Re-
searchers have had only fleeting
chances in the past to examine the
large-scale behavior of those simi-
lar to Covid-19, such as severe
acute respiratory syndrome and
Middle East respiratory syndrome.

A body of evidence
suggests that reinfections
could become more
widespread.

BYANDREWBEATON

NFL Opts to


Plow Ahead


With Games


SPORTS

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