Sustainable Energy - Without the Hot Air

(Marvins-Underground-K-12) #1

http://www.ck12.org Chapter 3. Making A Difference


of fuel and waste that must be dealt with at a nuclear reactor can be up to one million times smaller than the amounts
of fuel and waste at an equivalent fossil-fuel power station.


Let’s try to personalize these ideas. The mass of the fossil fuels consumed by “the average British person” is about
16 kg per day (4 kg of coal, 4 kg of oil, and 8 kg of gas). That means that every single day, an amount of fossil fuels
with the same weight as 28 pints of milk is extracted from a hole in the ground, transported, processed, and burned
somewhere on your behalf. The average Brit’s fossil fuel habit creates 11 tons per year of waste carbon dioxide;
that’s 30 kg per day. In the previous chapter we raised the idea of capturing waste carbon dioxide, compressing
it into solid or liquid form, and transporting it somewhere for disposal. Imagine that one person was responsible
for capturing and dealing with all their own carbon dioxide waste. 30 kg per day of carbon dioxide is a substantial
rucksack-full every day – the same weight as 53 pints of milk!


In contrast, the amount of natural uranium required to provide the same amount of energy as 16 kg of fossil fuels,
in a standard fission reactor, is 2 grams; and the resulting waste weighs one quarter of a gram. (This 2 g of uranium
is not as small as one millionth of 16 kg per day, by the way, because today’s reactors burn up less than 1% of the
uranium.) To deliver 2 grams of uranium per day, the miners at the uranium mine would have to deal with perhaps
200 g of ore per day.


So the material streams flowing into and out of nuclear reactors are small, relative to fossil-fuel streams. “Small
is beautiful,” but the fact that the nuclear waste stream is small doesn’t mean that it’s not a problem; it’s just a
“beautifully small” problem.


“Sustainable” power from nuclear fission


Figure 24.1 shows how much electricity was generated globally by nuclear power in 2007, broken down by country.


TABLE3.4:


million tons uranium
Australia 1.14
Kazakhstan 0.82
Canada 0.44
USA 0.34
South Africa 0.34
Namibia 0.28
Brazil 0.28
Russian Federation 0.17
Uzbekistan 0.12
World total (conventional reserves in the ground) 4.7
Phosphate deposits 22
Seawater 4500

Known recoverable resources of uranium. The top part of the table shows the “reasonable assured resources” and
“inferred resources,” at cost less than $130 per kg of uranium, as of 1 Jan 2005. These are the estimated resources
in areas where exploration has taken place. There’s also 1.3 million tons of depleted uranium sitting around in
stockpiles, a by-product of previous uranium activities.


Could nuclear power be “sustainable”? Leaving aside for a moment the usual questions about safety and waste-
disposal, a key question is whether humanity could live for generations on fission. How great are the world wide
supplies of uranium, and other fissionable fuels? Do we have only a few decades’ worth of uranium, or do we have
enough for millennia?


To estimate a “sustainable” power from uranium, I took the total recoverable uranium in the ground and in seawater,
divided it fairly between 6 billion humans, and asked “how fast can we use this if it has to last 1000 years?”


Almost all the recoverable uranium is in the oceans, not in the ground: seawater contains 3.3 mg of uranium perm^3

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