AP Statistics 2017

(Marvins-Underground-K-12) #1
The tosses  of  the coin    can be  treated as  a   random  sample  of  coin    tosses. Both    n and   n   (1  –       )
are greater than or equal to 10 (or 5). And we have true independence because we are not
sampling without replacement from a finite population, we can construct a 99% z interval for
the population proportion:

We  are 99% confident   that    the true    proportion  of  heads   for this    coin    is  between 0.484   and 0.69.
If the coin were fair, we would expect, on average, 50% heads. Since 0.50 is in the interval, it
is a plausible population value for this coin. We do not have convincing evidence that Brittany’s
coin is bad.
Generally, you should use t procedures for one- or two-sample problems (those that involve means)
unless you are given the population standard deviation(s) and z -procedures for one- or two-
proportion problems.

Calculator  Tip: The    STAT    TESTS menu  on  your    TI-83/84    contains    all of  the confi-dence intervals   you
will encounter in this course: ZInterval (rarely used unless you know σ); TInterval (for a
population mean, “one-sample”); 2-SampZInt (rarely used unless you know both σ 1 and σ 2 ); 2-
SampTInt (for the difference between two population means); 1-PropZInt (for a single population
proportion); 2-PropZInt (for the dif-ference between two population proportions); and LinRegTInt
(see Chapter 13 , newer TI-84s only). All except the last of these are covered in this chapter.

Exam Tip: There are three steps to a confidence interval: Check conditions and identify the procedure,
compute the interval, interpret the interval in context. The question may not specifically ask for all three
steps, but they are always required unless specifically stated otherwise.


example: The    following   data    were    collected   as  part    of  a   study.  Construct   a   90% confidence
interval for the true difference between the means (μ 1 – μ 2 ). Does it seem likely the
difference in the sample means indicates that there is a difference between the population
means? The samples were SRSs from independent, approximately normal populations.
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