The Economist - The World in 2021 - USA (2020-11-24)

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The recession is shaking up the world of business—and the rules of capitalism

Shock and awe


Prepare to see the extent of the creative destruction left by the pandemic, says
Patrick Foulis


RECESSIONS ARE capitalism’s sorting mechanism. Weak businesses shrink or


fail and stronger ones expand. But in 2020 the process of creative destruction


did not take place in the typical manner. Because the downturn was the result


of a health crisis rather than, say, a financial crash or inflation scare, there


were some idiosyncratic corporate winners and losers: think of the boom in


video streaming, or cruise-liner firms being wrecked. Meanwhile vast state


handouts propped up companies around the world, masking the scale of the


corporate carnage. In 2021 the toll will become clearer as stimulus tapers


down and more firms fail. Healthy businesses will ramp up investment, giving


them an enduring advantage. These top dogs will, however, face a new climate


in which three tenets of modern business—the primacy of shareholders,


globalisation and limited government—are in flux.

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