Barron's - USA (2020-12-07)

(Antfer) #1

14 BARRON’S December 7, 2020


S


alesforce.comhelped bring soft-


ware into the cloud era, and now the


company is once again trying to


leave its mark. In agreeing to buy


Slack Technologiesfor nearly $28 billion


in cash and stock, Salesforce is making one


of the priciest deals in tech history—and


investors aren’t thrilled.


Salesforce has lost about 15% of its


value, roughly $37 billion, since Nov. 25,


when The Wall Street Journal first re-


ported that Salesforce (ticker: CRM) and


Slack (WORK) were in merger talks.


Analysts expect Slack to generate $


million in revenue this fiscal year, which


means Salesforce is paying more than 30


times sales for the communications plat-


form. That’s a hefty price tag when you


considerIBM(IBM) paidonly10 times


sales for Red Hat, an open source software


firm, in 2018. That deal came to $34 billion


and remains the largest in software history.


Barron’slaid out a long-term bullish


case for Slack in June 2019, shortly before


the company went public through a direct


listing. Slack’s first-ever trade came at


$38.50, but the stock was below $30 when


the Journal reported Salesforce’s interest.


Ultimately, Salesforce is paying $45 for


every Slack share, meaning early investors


made a decent, though not great, return.


For Salesforce shareholders, the payoff


is a bit less clear. Slack had sales of $


million in its just-reported third quarter,


up 39% from a year ago, and it reported


one penny a share in adjusted profit, its


first profitable quarter. But Slack is no-


where near sustained profitability. Slack’s


growth has been slowed by intense compe-


tition fromMicrosoft(MSFT), which


bundles its rival Teams software with the


Office 365 productivity suite, effectively


giving it away free.


Salesforce thinks it can rev up Slack’s


growth by plugging the communications


service into its own software suite, which


ACloudyForecastfor


SalesforceandSlack


is used by a devoted set of corporate sales


teams. The deal comes at a substantial


cost, though, including about $16 billion in


cash. That’s far more than Salesforce has


on hand, so the company plans to lever up.


For the deal to make sense, one has to


believe Slack truly transforms Salesforce,


giving the company access to new catego-


ries and an improved competitive position


against Microsoft, which has its own set of


sales tools.


Salesforce’s chief operating officer, Brett


Taylor, toldBarron’sthat the transaction


comes as digitization of the economy is


accelerating. “The world after Covid will


be a lot different than it was in 2019,” he


says. “It changes what it means to grow


your business, to sell from anywhere, to


provide customer service from anywhere.”


Slack, he says,offers Salesforce a unique


opportunity to “navigate the new normal.”


“Slack was the first company I ever saw


that really defined a new way of working,”


Taylor says. “It’s a transformational deal.


This will be one for the history books.”


Slack CEO and co-founder Stewart But-


terfield will continue to run the company


as a stand-alone business. He’s no small


asset. The serial entrepreneur has built


multiple companies, including the photo


site Flickr, which was sold to Yahoo! for


$25 million in 2005. Butterfield is among


the most respected CEOs in cloud software


and at 47 is almost a decade younger than


Salesforce CEO Marc Benioff. It’s possible


Salesforce has found itself Benioff’s suc-


cessor.


And yet, investors are disgruntled. Citi


analyst Walter Pritchard cut his rating on


Salesforce to Neutral from Buy after the


deal was announced. He thinks Salesforce


could have simplyteamed up with Slack,


rather than spending so much on a com-


pany facing intense competition. He also


thinks the deal raises questions about


Salesforce’s own growth outlook. Prit-


chard’s bottom line: “We don’t think Sales-


force needed to buy this.”B


By ERIC J. SAVITZ


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