CK-12-Basic Probability and Statistics Concepts - A Full Course

(Marvins-Underground-K-12) #1

4.3. Binompdf Function http://www.ck12.org


P(X=a) =nCa×pa×q(n−a)
P(3 girls) = 5 C 3 ×p^3 ×q^2
P(3 girls) = 5 C 3 ×( 0. 50 )^3 ×( 0. 50 )^2
P(3 girls) = 10 × 0. 125 × 0. 25
P(3 girls) = 0. 3125

Therefore, the probability of havingexactly3 girls from the 5 children is 31.25%.


When using technology, you will select the binompdf function, because you are looking for the probability ofexactly
3 girls from the 5 children.


Using the TI-84 calculator gave us the same result as our calculation (and was a great deal quicker).


Example C


A fair coin is tossed 50 times. What is the probability that you will get heads in 30 of these tosses?


There are 50 trials, son=50.


A success is getting a head, and we are interested inexactly30 heads. Therefore,a=30.


The probability of a success is 50%, or 0.50, and, thus,p= 0 .50.


Therefore, the probability of a failure is 1− 0 .50, or 0.50. From this, you know thatq= 0 .50.


P(X=a) =nCa×pa×q(n−a)
P(30 heads) = 50 C 30 ×p^30 ×q^20
P(30 heads) = 50 C 30 ×( 0. 50 )^30 ×( 0. 50 )^20
P(30 heads) = ( 4. 713 × 1013 )×( 9. 313 × 10 −^10 )×( 9. 537 × 10 −^7 )
P(30 heads) = 0. 0419

Therefore, the probability of gettingexactly30 heads from 50 tosses of a fair coin is 4.2%.


Using technology to check, you get the following:

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