CK-12 Probability and Statistics - Advanced

(Marvins-Underground-K-12) #1

4.4. The Binomial Probability Distribution http://www.ck12.org


Using the complementation rule,


p(x> 12 ) = 1 −[p( 1 )+p( 2 )+...+p( 12 )]
= 1 −p(x≤ 12 )

=

12

x= 0

1 −p(x)

Consulting tables or calculators (see Box below, Technology Note),k= 12 ,p=.6, we get the result 0.584. Thus


P(x> 12 ) = 1 − 0. 584 = 0. 416

d. To find the probability of exactly 11 voters favor the candidate,


p(x= 11 ) =p(x≤ 11 )−p(x≤ 10 ) =. 404 −. 245 =. 159

Technology Note


The TI-83/84 calculators and the EXCEL spreadsheet have commands for the Binomial distribution.



  • Press[DIST]and scroll down (or up) tobinompdf(Press[ENTER]to placebinompdfon your home screen.)
    Type values ofμandxseparated by commas and press[ENTER].

  • Usebinomcdf( for probability ofatmostx) successes.


Note:it is not necessary to close the parentheses.


UsingEXCEL



  • In a cell, enter the function =binomdist(x,n,p,false). Press[Enter]and the probability ofxsuccesses will
    appear in the cell.

  • For probability ofatleastxsuccesses, replace “false” with “true”


Lesson Summary



  1. Characteristics of aBinomial Experiment

    • The experiment consists ofnnumber of identical trials.

    • There are only two possible outcomes on each trial:S(for Success) orF(for Failure).

    • The probability ofSremains constant from trial to trial. We will denote it byp. We will denote the probability
      ofFbyq. Thusq= 1 −p.

    • The trials are independent of each other.

    • The binomial random variablexis the number ofS′sin thentrials.



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