the new russian nationalism
- The proportion of those who fully agreed with this proposi-
tion increased by fewer percentage points – from about 28 to 30
per cent. These changes are well within the combined margin of
the sampling error of the two surveys.
The relative stability of perceptions of Islam as a social and
cultural threat appears consistent with the relative stability of
support for excluding the Muslim North Caucasus republics from
the Russian Federation. The fact that support for Russia’s ter-
ritorial expansion dropped significantly after the annexation of
Crimea while support for excluding the Muslim regions of the
North Caucasus from Russia stayed the same indicates that the
latter may hinge more on views of Islam as a threat.
Economic worries
While our findings overall would indicate less of a surge in Russian
nationalism than a classic ‘rally- around- the- leader’ effect in Russian
public opinion from May 2013 to November 2014, the NEORUSS
surveys also support arguments that the rallying may be difficult to
sustain (see Balzer 2014). This is most clearly evident in the realm
of the economy. In May 2013, 19 per cent of Russians surveyed
2014
2013
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Same as at present
W/t North Caucasus
Slavic Union
USSR
Don’t know
Refuse to answer
Figure 7.6 Preferences for the territorial boundaries of the Russian
Federation