the new russian nationalism
and by Russia’s constitution Putin would not be required to leave
office until 2024. But other moments can arise that crystallise
regime collapse, as the 2011 Arab uprisings illustrate. All this
suggests that Putin’s Crimean gambit has likely not bought him
a carefree decade in office, forcing him to search for new ways
to shore up his regime’s support in the years ahead in order to
survive politically.
Notes
- The author thanks Dylan Royce for research assistance and the
Institute of European, Russian and Eurasian Studies (IERES) of
George Washington University for funding this assistance. - See, for example, the broadcast of the weekly Voskresnoe vremia
news programme on Channel 1 on 27 November 2011 at 21:00. - See, for example, the broadcast of Vesti nedeli on the Rossiia on 14
October 2012 at 20:00. - This is supported by findings reported in a separate paper by the
present author using experiments embedded in the 2013 NEORUSS
survey. It finds that politicising the issue of migration would lead
to a decline rather than an increase in public support for Putin. See
Henry E. Hale, ‘The Impact of Anti- Migrant Nationalism on Non-
Democratic Regimes: Experimental Evidence from the Russian Case’,
draft paper.