AP Statistics 2017

(Marvins-Underground-K-12) #1
population  proportion, we  will    use P   *   =   0.5.    Then,

You would need a minimum of 385 subjects for your sample. (Always round up for the minimum
sample size required.)




  1.      Which   of  the following   statements  is  correct?

    I. The t distribution has more area in its tails than the z distribution (normal).
    II. When constructing a confidence interval for a population mean, you would always use z rather
    than t
    if you have a sample size of at least 30 (n > 30).
    III. When constructing a two-sample t interval, the “conservative” method of choosing degrees of
    freedom (df = min {n 1 – 1, n 2 – 1}) will result in a wider confidence interval than other
    methods.
    Answer:
    • I is correct. A t distribution, because it must estimate the population standard deviation, has more
    variability than the normal distribution.
    • II is not correct. It is definitely not correct that you would always use z rather than t in this
    situation. A more interesting question is could you use z rather than t ? The answer to that
    question is a qualified “yes.” The difference between z and t is small for large sample sizes
    (e.g., for a 95% confidence interval based on a sample size of 50, z = 1.96 and t = 2.01) and,
    while a t interval would have a somewhat larger margin of error, the intervals constructed would
    capture roughly the same range of values. In fact, many traditional statistics books teach this as the
    proper method. Now, having said that, the best advice is to always use t when dealing with a one-
    sample situation when s is unknown (confidence interval or hypothesis test) and use z only when
    you know, or have a very good estimate of, the population standard deviation.
    • III is correct. The conservative method (df = min{n 1 – 1, n 2 – 1}) will give a larger value of t *,
    which, in turn, will create a larger margin of error, which will result in a wider confidence interval
    than other methods for a given confidence level.




Practice Problems


Multiple-Choice




  1.          You are going   to  create  a   95% confidence  interval    for a   population  proportion  and want    the margin

    of error to be no more than 0.05. Historical data indicate that the population proportion has remained
    constant at about 0.7. What is the minimum size random sample you need to construct this interval?
    a. 385
    b. 322
    c. 274
    d. 275
    e. 323



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