Barron's - USA (2021-02-08)

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February 8, 2021 BARRON’S 11


PREVIEW


UNDER ARMOUR ENDING ITS NFL DEAL


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Monday 2/


Global Payments,Hasbro,KKR,


Loews,Simon Property Group, and


Take-Two Interactive Software


report quarterly results.


Tuesday 2/


Carrier Global,Centene,Cisco Sys-


tems,DuPont,Fidelity National


Information Services,Fiserv,Mar-


tin Marietta Materials,S&P Global,


andTwitterrelease earnings.


The National Federationof Inde-


pendent Business releases its Small


Business Optimism Index for January.


Consensus estimate is for a 97 read-


ing, higher than December’s 95.9 fig-


ure. The December reading was the


lowest since last May. “Small busi-


nesses are concerned about potential


new economic policy in the new ad-


ministration and the increased spread


of Covid-19” according to NFIB chief


economist Bill Dunkelberg.


The Bureau of LaborStatistics


releases its Job Openings and Labor


Turnover Survey for December.


Expectations are for 6.6 million job


openings on the last business day of


December, compared with 6.5 million


in November.


Wednesday 2/


Cerner,CME Group,Coca-Cola,


Equinix,General Motors,MGM


Resorts International,O’Reilly


Automotive, andUber Technolo-


giesannounce quarterly results.


Federal ReserveChairman Jerome


Powell speaks via teleconference at


the Economic Club of New York.


Philip Morris Internationalholds


its 2021 virtual investor day.


Newmont, the world’s largest gold


producer, hosts a conference call to


discuss the exploration of new mines.


The firm will also update investors on


its reserves.


Thursday 2/


AstraZeneca,BorgWarner,


DaVita,Duke Energy,Expedia


Group,Illumina,Kellogg,Kraft


Heinz,Laboratory Corp. of Amer-


ica Holdings,Molson Coors Bev-


erage,PepsiCo,Pool Corp.,Tyson


Foods, andWalt Disneyreport


quarterly results.


PayPal Holdingshosts its 2021


investor day.


The Department of Laborreports


initial jobless claims for the week


ending on Feb. 6. Jobless claims have


averaged 835,000 a week in January,


equal to December, and an increase of


nearly 100,000 a week fromNovem-


ber. Much of the increase stems from


business closures resulting from the


still-elevated level of Covid-19 cases.


Friday 2/


Dominion Energy,Enbridge, and


Moody’shold conference calls to


discuss quarterly results.


The University of Michiganreleases


its Consumer Sentiment index for


February. Consensus estimate is for


a 79.5 reading, roughly even with the


January data.


A Sports Brand


Calls Timeout


On Sunday, as Americans tune into Super Bowl LV—Brady


versus Mahomes—sportswear brandUnder Armourwill be


leaving the field. The Financial Times reported recently that


the company would end its on-field licensing deal with the


National Football League, while contracts between indi-


viduals and Under Armour would be reevaluated before next


season. Under Armour’s senior vice president of global


sports marketing, Sean Eggert, confirmed that the contract


wouldn’t be renewed. “We are in active conversations with


the NFL to determine alternative opportunities that best


serve athletes moving forward and to ensure the best [return


on investment] for Under Armour,” he said in a statement.


The move is part of Under Armour’s restructuring, which


began before the pandemic, and has meant exiting contracts


with major college programs and Major League Baseball.


On Wall Street, that’s good news. Only a quarter of ana-


lysts are bullish on the shares, according to FactSet, yet


recent results have increased confidence that the company


is rebounding from pricey deals, accounting questions, and


lackluster performance. Under Armour scored two up-


grades in January, and its stock is up 18.4% to $17.74 for


the week and still down 1.3% for the year.


Jefferies’ Randal Konik reiterated a Buy rating this past


week, while raising his price target by $2, to $25. He writes


that whileNikecontinues to dominate in times when com-


fort and athleisure reign, its shares have gotten rich. In


contrast, Under Armour benefits from the same factors,


and is “well-positioned for global long-term growth,” as


management works to improve inventory and distribution


“and turn to the offensive.”—Teresa Rivas


Getting Separation


Nike has significantly outpaced Under


Armour throughout the pandemic.


Age of Athleisure


The global market for sportswear


has been growing steadily right


through the pandemic.


Under Armour and Nike Shares, Past Year

Sportswear Market Worldwide,
2018 to 2022

*Estimate Source: Statista

Source: FacSet





75%

50

25

0







March
2020

2021

0

$300 billion

200

100

2018 ’19 ’20 ’21* ’22*

Nike.......................................

Under Armour.............................

Coming Earnings


Consensus Estimate Year ago
M

AffiliatedManagers (Q4) $3.71 $4.
Hasbro (Q4) 1.14 1.
Take-TwoInteractive (Q3) 0.94 1.
T
Akamai Technologies(Q4) 1.31 1.
Cisco Systems (Q2) 0.76 0.
DuPont deNemours (Q4) 0.84 0.
Fox (Q2) -0.06 0.

More Earnings on Page M36.

Consensus Estimate


Day Consensus EstLast Period
T JOLTS Job Openings 6,600,000 6,527,
W January CPI 0.30% 0.40%
December WholesaleInventories 0.15% 0.10%

F February Michigan Sentiment - p 80.8 79.
Unless otherwiseindicated, times are Eastern. a-Advanced;
f-Final; p-Preliminary; r-Revised Source: FactSet

For more informationabout coming economic reports


The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the


consumer price index for January. Economists


forecast a 1.5% year-over-year rise for both


the CPI and core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices.


Wednesday

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