Barron's - USA (2021-02-08)

(Antfer) #1

February 8, 2021 BARRON’S M5


THE STRIKING PRICE


Some Reddit traders apparently had multimillion-


dollar positions in GameStop calls that they never


realized.They waited too longto cash them in.


How to Use Options


To Juice Your Portfolio


I


t would be all too easy to cluck our


tongues overGameStop’s wild ride


up and down the past two weeks—and


to snicker over Reddit’s WallStreetBets


traders. It’s much better to lay out some


rules for self-directed investors to help


them be better stock and options investors.


Our previous primer—“New to Options


Trading? Here’s How Not to Make a Fool of


Yourself” (Sept. 17, 2020)—was based on


using options to better control stocks. That


remains our recommended approach. But


we recognize that many people use options


to engage in relatively low-cost, aggressive


momentum trading. Hedge funds do it every


day, and now John and Jane Investor have


joined the party.


Options volumes are at all-time highs.


About 44 million contracts trade on any


given day. The market has never before been


this active. Investors are buying loads of call


options, which we anticipated last year, but


not at this feverish level.


Here are some simple trading rules for


small investors and anyone else trying to


harness market momentum.



  • Many institutional investors view


leverage, and margin, as an expression of


conviction in an investment thesis. When


passionate about an idea, many “lever up”


with options—adding to their stock posi-


tions by buying upside calls and trading


with borrowed money in margin accounts.


When you trade on margin, you generally


must maintain 50% of the securities value in


the account, though rates and requirements


vary by broker. If you violate margin rules,


brokers will shut down the position. Keep


dry powder at all times to cover the trades,


or be prepared to take profits at various


price points to manage margins.



  • Some Reddit traders apparently had


huge, multimillion-dollar positions in


GameStop (ticker: GME) calls that they


never realized because they waited too


long to cash them in. Don’t be the idiot—


and there are many members of this club


among institutional and ultrahigh-net-


worth investors—who rides up stocks and


options to massive unrealized gains, only


to see them vanish. A 100% return is rare.


Take it when you can get it. If you let


money ride, make a return on your initial


investment and try to play with house


money. Paper profits aren’t real.



  • If you think your aggressive trades can


appreciate more than 100%, consider “call


ladders.” If the stock is at $10, and you think


it will go to $50, spread your position among


different strike prices and expirations. This


creates opportunities to secure profits with-


out exiting the entire position. One of the


striking takeaways from the Reddit saga is


how much money some of the traders had


in two different strikes.



  • Watch where you trade. When you trade


in any options contract, check open interest


levels for the various strikes and expira-


tions. Make sure you aren’t entering a thinly


traded roach motel that’s easy to enter and


hard to exit. Market makers will do every-


thing they can to gain an advantage over


you. Be smart. Liquidity is key. Spread your


trades out among expirations and strikes.


Let some ride. Take some profits.



  • Remember, bulls make money, bears


make money, but pigs get slaughtered.


These rules aren’t an endorsement of


aggressive trading, but a recognition that


many people are always trying to make


a fast buck. A better approach is to buy


quality stocks that pay dividends and


curate the positions with put and call sales.


That so many momentum traders have


congregated on Reddit—and traded through


Robinhood—is telling. It’s a fact on Wall


Street that money is like water, and it tends


to pool at the lowest level. That now appears


to be Robinhood, which offers free trading


that’s easy to do on a cellphone.


Robinhood took a lot of heat for tempo-


rarily suspending trading in GameStop and


other hot stocks. Whatever its strengths and


weaknesses, more power to any Reddit trad-


ers who improved their financial positions


and paid off mortgages and college loans.B


By Steven M. Sears


Equity Options


CBOE VOLATILITY INDEX


VIX Close VIX Futures

10

30

50

70

90

MAMJ J ASOND JF
Daily Values Source: CBOE

THE EQUITY-ONLY PUT-CALL RATIO


Put-Call Ratio S&P 500 Index

30

55

80

105

130

155

180

205

230

255

280

305

330

MAMJ J ASOND JF
Source: McMillan Analysis Corp.

SPX SKEW


Implied volatility %

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

16%

MAMJ J ASOND JF
Source: Credit Suisse Equity Derivatives Strategy

NDX SKEW


Implied volatility %

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

16%

MAMJ J ASOND JF
Source: Credit Suisse Equity Derivatives Strategy

Skew indicates whether the options market expects a stock-market advance or decline. It measures the difference
between the implied volatility of puts and calls that are 10% out of the money and expire in three months. Higher
readings are bearish.

Week'sMostActive
Company Symbol TotVol Calls Puts AvgTotVol IV%ile Ratio

Par Pacific PARR 6598 6582 16 80 76 82.5
Corepoint Lodging CPLG 8141 8119 22 100 59 81.4
Ocean Power Technologoes OPTT^1326811791147719295 69.1
Concert Pharmaceuticals CNCE 3767 2888 879 60 98 62.8
Immunovant IMVT 4888 4225 663 104 94 47.0
Comstock Mining LODE^836026689816704207294 40.3
Fusion Acquisition FUSE^96468004164231646 30.5
Cyclerion Therapeutics CYCN 3996 3542 454 184 97 21.7
Anavex Life Sciences AVXL 63313 42803 20510 3316 100 19.1
BGC Partners BGCP^63334599473387369290 17.2
Zynerba Pharmaceuticals ZYNE 42172 39939 2233 2452 98 17.2
SELLAS Life Science SLS 31823 25070 6753 1892 98 16.8
DAVIDs TEA DTEA^22670183154355184891 12.3
Dynavax Technologoes DVAX 177106 159078 18028 15368 79 11.5
TETRA Technologies TTI 20771 20173 598 1800 93 11.5
Agenus AGEN^70102653944708639698 11.0
Applied Genetic Tech AGTC 14279 14171 108 1296 93 11.0
Surgalign SRGA 8584 8024 560 920 94 9.3
Solar Capital ZSL 11022 7905 3117 1272 87 8.7
Cassava Sciences SAVA^176140853559078523140100 7.6
Thistableofthemostactiveoptionsthisweek,ascomparedtoaverageweeklyactivity–notjustrawvolume.Theideaisthatthe
unusuallyheavytradingintheseoptionsmightbeapredictorofcorporateactivity–takeovers,earningssurprises,earningspre-
announcements,biotechFDAhearingsordrugtrialresultannouncements,andsoforth.Dividendarbitragehasbeeneliminated.In
short,thislistattemptstoidentifywhereheavyspeculationistakingplace. Theseoptionsarelikelytobeexpensiveincomparisonto
theirusualpricinglevels.Furthermore,manyofthesesituationsmayberumor-driven.Mostrumorsdonotprovetobetrue,soone
shouldbeawareoftheseincreasedrisksiftradinginthesenames
RatioistheTotVoldividedbyAvgTotVol.IV%ileishowexpensivetheoptionsareonascalefrom0to100.
Source:McMillanAnalysis
Free download pdf