The Economist - USA (2021-02-20)

Statistics on 42 economies

72 The EconomistFebruary 20th 2021

Economic data

Gross domestic product Consumer prices Unemployment Current-account Budget Interest rates Currency units

% change on year ago % change on year ago rate balance balance 10-yr gov't bonds change on per $ % change

latest quarter* 2020† latest 2020† % % of GDP, 2020† % of GDP, 2020† latest,% year ago, bp Feb 17th on year ago

United States -2.5 Q4 4.0 -3.6 1.4 Jan 1.2 6.3 Jan -2.2 -14.9 1.3 -30.0 -

China 6.5 Q4 10.8 1.9 -0.3 Jan 2.5 5.2 Dec‡§ 1.5 -5.2 3.1 §§ 51.0 6.44 8.4

Japan -1.2 Q4 12.7 -5.3 -1.2 Dec nil 2.9 Dec 3.5 -12.2 nil -8.0 106 3.8

Britain -7.8 Q4 4.0 -9.9 0.7 Jan 1.0 5.0 Oct†† -2.1 -14.3 0.6 -6.0 0.72 6.9

Canada -5.2 Q3 40.5 -5.3 1.0 Jan 0.8 9.4 Jan -2.1 -13.5 1.1 -25.0 1.27 3.9

Euro area -5.0 Q4 -2.4 -7.6 0.9 Jan 0.3 8.3 Dec 2.6 -9.2 -0.4 3.0 0.83 10.8

Austria -4.0 Q3 54.6 -6.9 1.2 Dec 1.1 5.8 Dec 2.4 -8.5 -0.1 10.0 0.83 10.8

Belgium -4.7 Q4 0.8 -6.2 0.3 Jan 0.4 5.8 Dec -1.1 -9.4 -0.1 4.0 0.83 10.8

France -5.0 Q4 -5.3 -8.3 0.6 Jan 0.5 8.9 Dec -2.3 -10.9 -0.2 nil 0.83 10.8

Germany -3.9 Q4 0.4 -5.3 1.0 Jan 0.4 4.6 Dec 6.8 -4.8 -0.4 3.0 0.83 10.8

Greece -9.6 Q3 9.5 -9.9 -2.0 Jan -1.3 16.2 Nov -6.6 -9.2 0.8 -13.0 0.83 10.8

Italy -6.6 Q4 -7.7 -9.1 0.2 Jan -0.1 9.0 Dec 2.9 -11.3 0.6 -34.0 0.83 10.8

Netherlands -2.9 Q4 -0.5 -4.4 1.6 Jan 1.1 3.9 Dec 8.4 -6.1 -0.4 -5.0 0.83 10.8

Spain -9.1 Q4 1.6 -11.4 0.5 Jan -0.3 16.2 Dec 0.8 -12.0 0.2 -5.0 0.83 10.8

Czech Republic -5.3 Q3 1.2 -5.7 2.2 Jan 3.2 3.2 Dec‡ 3.6 -6.5 1.5 -5.0 21.5 6.8

Denmark -3.8 Q3 2.4 -4.0 0.6 Jan 0.4 4.4 Dec 8.5 -3.6 -0.3 12.0 6.18 11.7

Norway -0.6 Q4 2.6 -1.7 2.5 Jan 1.4 5.0 Nov‡‡ 3.2 -1.3 1.3 -9.0 8.53 8.6

Poland -1.8 Q3 -2.8 -2.8 2.7 Jan 3.4 6.2 Dec§ 3.6 -7.9 1.3 -87.0 3.74 5.3

Russia -3.4 Q3 na -3.1 5.2 Jan 3.4 5.9 Dec§ 2.0 -3.8 7.0 86.0 74.0 -14.3

Sweden -2.6 Q4 2.0 -3.2 0.5 Dec 0.4 8.2 Dec§ 4.8 -3.5 0.3 27.0 8.34 16.3

Switzerland -1.6 Q3 31.9 -3.0 -0.5 Jan -0.7 3.5 Jan 9.1 -3.7 -0.3 39.0 0.90 8.9

Turkey 6.7 Q3 na 0.4 15.0 Jan 12.3 12.9 Nov§ -5.4 -3.4 12.7 169 6.98 -13.3

Australia -3.8 Q3 14.0 -2.9 0.9 Q4 0.9 6.4 Jan 1.2 -7.3 1.4 30.0 1.29 15.5

Hong Kong -3.0 Q4 11.8 -5.8 -0.6 Dec 0.3 6.6 Dec‡‡ 6.2 -7.6 1.2 -30.0 7.75 0.3

India -7.5 Q3 125 -7.9 4.1 Jan 6.6 6.5 Jan 1.3 -7.2 6.0 -36.0 72.8 -2.0

Indonesia -2.2 Q4 na -2.2 1.6 Jan 2.0 7.1 Q3§ -1.6 -7.2 6.5 -7.0 14,020 -2.6

Malaysia -3.4 Q4 na -5.3 -1.4 Dec -1.1 4.8 Dec§ 4.8 -7.4 3.0 13.0 4.04 2.5

Pakistan 0.5 2020** na -2.8 5.7 Jan 9.5 5.8 2018 0.1 -8.1 10.0 ††† -127 159 -3.0

Philippines -8.3 Q4 24.4 -9.3 4.2 Jan 2.6 8.7 Q4§ 3.4 -7.8 3.2 -127 48.4 4.5

Singapore -2.4 Q4 15.9 -5.8 nil Dec -0.2 3.2 Q4 18.2 -13.9 1.2 -46.0 1.33 4.5

South Korea -1.3 Q4 4.4 -1.0 0.6 Jan 0.5 5.7 Jan§ 3.8 -5.7 1.9 23.0 1,108 6.9

Taiwan 4.9 Q4 7.8 3.0 -0.2 Jan -0.2 3.8 Dec 13.8 -1.5 0.4 -23.0 27.9 7.3

Thailand -4.2 Q4 5.4 -6.1 -0.3 Jan -0.8 1.5 Dec§ 3.7 -6.4 1.4 40.0 30.0 4.0

Argentina -10.2 Q3 61.7 -9.7 38.5 Jan‡ 42.0 11.7 Q3§ 0.6 -8.6 na -464 88.9 -30.8

Brazil -3.9 Q3 34.6 -4.4 4.6 Jan 3.2 14.1 Nov§‡‡ -0.7 -15.8 7.9 142 5.42 -20.3

Chile -9.1 Q3 22.6 -6.2 3.1 Jan 3.0 10.3 Dec§‡‡ 1.4 -7.9 2.7 -74.0 717 10.7

Colombia -3.5 Q4 26.5 -7.0 1.6 Jan 2.5 13.4 Dec§ -3.6 -8.8 4.9 -59.0 3,539 -4.1

Mexico -4.5 Q4 13.0 -8.3 3.5 Jan 3.4 4.4 Dec 2.6 -2.8 5.3 -123 20.3 -8.3

Peru -9.4 Q3 187 -12.0 2.7 Jan 1.8 13.1 Jan§ 1.0 -8.0 3.9 nil 3.65 -7.4

Egypt 0.7 Q3 na 3.6 4.4 Jan 5.1 7.2 Q4§ -3.6 -8.5 na nil 15.6 0.1

Israel -1.3 Q4 6.3 -3.6 -0.4 Jan -0.6 4.8 Dec 3.9 -11.8 1.0 26.0 3.27 4.6

Saudi Arabia -4.1 2020 na -4.2 5.7 Jan 3.4 8.5 Q3 -3.7 -10.6 na nil 3.75 nil

South Africa -6.0 Q3 66.1 -7.3 3.2 Jan 3.3 30.8 Q3§ 0.6 -16.0 8.7 -16.0 14.7 2.0

Source: Haver Analytics. *% change on previous quarter, annual rate. †The Economist Intelligence Unit estimate/forecast. §Not seasonally adjusted. ‡New series. **Year ending June. ††Latest 3 months. ‡‡3-month moving

average. §§5-year yield. †††Dollar-denominated bonds.

Commodities

The Economist commodity-price index % change on

2015=100 Feb 9th Feb 16th* month year

Dollar Index

All Items 161.8 163.6 2.3 46.8

Food 128.1 127.7 1.5 29.5

Industrials

All 193.3 197.1 2.9 59.7

Non-food agriculturals 141.8 144.6 16.3 43.2

Metals 208.6 212.6 0.5 63.5

Sterling Index

All items 179.0 179.3 0.1 37.4

Euro Index

All items 148.3 149.7 2.4 31.1

Gold

$ per oz 1,838.3 1,810.5 -1.7 13.0

Brent

$ per barrel 61.2 63.5 13.5 11.1

Sources: Bloomberg; CME Group; Cotlook; Refinitiv Datastream;

Fastmarkets; FT; ICCO; ICO; ISO; Live Rice Index; LME; NZ Wool

Services; Thompson Lloyd & Ewart; Urner Barry; WSJ. *Provisional.

Markets

% change on: % change on:

Index one Dec 31st index one Dec 31st

In local currency Feb 17th week 2019 Feb 17th week 2019

United States S&P 500 3,931.3 0.5 21.7

United States NAScomp 13,965.5 -0.1 55.6

China Shanghai Comp 3,655.1 nil 19.8

China Shenzhen Comp 2,460.5 nil 42.8

Japan Nikkei 225 30,292.2 2.5 28.0

Japan Topix 1,961.5 1.6 14.0

Britain FTSE 100 6,710.9 2.9 -11.0

Canada S&P TSX 18,374.8 -0.4 7.7

Euro area EURO STOXX 50 3,699.9 1.4 -1.2

France CAC 40 5,765.8 1.7 -3.5

Germany DAX* 13,909.3 -0.2 5.0

Italy FTSE/MIB 23,178.6 -0.4 -1.4

Netherlands AEX 681.0 3.6 12.6

Spain IBEX 35 8,122.7 0.7 -14.9

Poland WIG 59,008.5 4.0 2.0

Russia RTS, $ terms 1,462.4 1.0 -5.6

Switzerland SMI 10,809.3 -0.2 1.8

Tu r ke y BIST 1,540.6 -0.4 34.6

Australia All Ord. 7,158.8 0.4 5.2

Hong Kong Hang Seng 31,084.9 3.5 10.3

India BSE 51,703.8 0.8 25.3

Indonesia IDX 6,227.7 0.4 -1.1

Malaysia KLSE 1,595.3 -0.1 0.4

Pakistan KSE 46,768.1 0.3 14.8

Singapore STI 2,920.4 -0.2 -9.4

South Korea KOSPI 3,133.7 1.1 42.6

Taiwan TWI 16,362.3 3.5 36.4

Thailand SET 1,514.9 -0.1 -4.1

Argentina MERV 52,386.6 0.9 25.7

Brazil BVSP 120,355.8 1.6 4.1

Mexico IPC 45,062.0 0.8 3.5

Egypt EGX 30 11,413.2 -1.1 -18.3

Israel TA-125 1,665.1 -1.0 3.0

Saudi Arabia Tadawul 9,084.3 2.1 8.3

South Africa JSE AS 67,110.1 1.5 17.6

World, dev'd MSCI 2,816.0 0.5 19.4

Emerging markets MSCI 1,444.9 1.5 29.6

US corporate bonds, spread over Treasuries

Dec 31st

Basis points latest 2019

Investment grade 126 141

High-yield 376 449

Sources: Refinitiv Datastream; Standard & Poor's Global Fixed Income

Research. *Total return index.

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