Barron's - USA (2021-02-22)

(Antfer) #1

32


BARRON’S


February 22, 2021


The portfolio falls into two buckets, Gau-

trey explains: core stocks and opportunisticstocks. Core stocks, which usually make up60% to 70% of the portfolio’s assets, “arehigh-return-on-invested-capital businesseswith structural competitive advantages andgood management teams.”

The so-called opportunistic names—a

company experiencing a turnaround, say—make up the rest of the portfolio. “These areshorter-term holdings, where, again, we seean earnings-growth gap, a difference versusconsensus [analyst expectations],” he says.It isn’t that the managers disregard the shortterm in picking their core stocks, but “thecompounding effect of those high-qualitybusinesses is what the market often under-estimates in the long term.”

One core stock is Latin American e-com-

merce giant

MercadoLibre.............................

(MELI), which

the fund purchased toward the end of 2019,though Gautrey had been investigating it forover a decade. His reservation: “Politics andmacroeconomics in Latin America can bepretty volatile.” But Mercado’s managementteam impressed him over time. “They man-aged through everything—amazing cur-rency

devalua

tions, overturning of govern-

ments, [government] debt defaults.”

Mercado has distinct advantages over

comparable e-commerce players. First, e-commerce penetration in Latin Americais a fraction of that in the U.S., roughly 3%,Gautrey says. Mercado also has built outits warehouse, trucking, and deliveryinfrastructure—much like

Amazon.com

(AMZN), but with one key distinction.

“Particularly when you go into emergingmarkets, relying on the nationalized postalinfrastructure can mean that a deliverytakes several days to arrive,” Gautrey says.“Building out your own logistics infra-structure can dramatically improve theconsumer experience. And then having thatinfrastructure also acts as a barrier to entryfor [competitors].” The stock is up 178% inthe past year, yet Gautrey thinks the marketcontinues to underestimate its potential.

Among the fund’s opportunistic plays is

Equinor...................................


(EQNR), a Norwegian energy com-

pany, which has a negative 2.2% three-yearannualized return. The team began lookingat the stock last April, in the pandemiccrash, and bought the stock in May whenoil was about $40 a barrel. One argumentfor the stock was “that $60 oil was likely,as soon as we get economic normalizationagain,” Webber says. Oil is now at $59.

But the less-understood opportunity in

Equinor involves alternative energy. Equi-nor conducts oil exploration on the shallowNorwegian continental shelf. But “it’s alsovery well suited for offshore wind [farms],”Webber explains. “We found the develop-ment of [Equinor’s] expertise in offshorewind is really flying below the radarscreen.” Also, Norway is investing heavilyin alternative hydrogen fuel and carbon-capture programs, and Equinor has “lead-ing expertise” in both areas, Webber says.“That will position them to be one of the fewincumbents that are able to transition awayfrom being too reliant on fossil fuel busi-ness,” he says. But Equinor is only a tempo-rary play, as the fossil fuel industry as awhole is in “secular decline,” he adds.

Sometimes, core and opportunity stocks

can be in the same sector. Some of thebiggest opportunities the team has foundrecently have been in the financialsector—18% of the fund’s portfolio. Thefund has opportunistic plays in Europeanbanks, such as Italy’s

Intesa Sanpaolo............................

(ISP.Italy) and Sweden’s

Svenska Handels-

banken

(SHBA.Sweden), purchased during

the stock market’s 2020 slide. “These aremore shorter-term holdings, where I thinkloan losses are overestimated,” Gautreysays.

In contrast, the fund has held core Asian

financial plays—India’s

HDFC Bank

(HDB)

and Hong Kong insurer

AIA Group

(1299.Hong Kong)—for years. Growth ratesin financial services are better in Asia,where a burgeoning middle class is increas-ingly embracing banking and insurance.

AIA “is probably the world’s best-run

life insurer,” and HDFC Bank is “one of thebest-run banks,” Gautrey says. Those arethe kind of companies where the surpriseisn’t that they are currently doing well, butjust how well they will do over time.

B

Hartford SchrodersInternational Stock


Total Return

1-Yr

5-Yr 10-Yr

SCIEX

32.0% 16.1%

7.6%

Foreign Large

14.0

11.2

5.5

Blend CategoryTop 10 HoldingsCompany / Ticker

Weighting

Taiwan SemiconductorManufacturing / 2330.Taiwan

4.2%

Samsung Electronics /

4.0

005930.KoreaAlibaba Group Holding / BABA

3.3

Tencent Holdings / 700.Hong Kong

3.2

ASML Holding / ASML

2.9

Nestlé / NESN.Switzerland

2.8

AIA Group / 1299.Hong Kong

2.5

Roche Holding / ROG.Switzerland

2.5

Vestas Wind Systems /VWS.Denmark

2.4

Schneider Electric / SU.France

2.3

Total

30.1%

Note: Holdings as of Dec. 31. Returns through Feb. 12; five- and 10-yearreturns are annualized.

Sources: Mornin

gstar; Hartford Funds

Scoreboard:


Settling Down


(


Thisiswhattreadingwaterlookslike.U.S.stockfundsandtheS&P500wereveryslightlydown,aswere


bonds. Andcommoditiescontinuedtorally,by1.99%. Meanwhile,preciousmetalstumbled5.32%.


OneWeek


Year-to-Date


U.S.STOCKFUNDS


  • 0.70%


7.24%

TOPSECTOR/CommoditiesGeneralFunds

1.99

9.30

BOTTOMSECTOR/PreciousMetalsEquityFunds


  • 5.32

  • 9.08


S&P500


  • 0.06


4.20

U.S.BONDFUNDS


  • 0.29

  • 0.05


BloombergBarclaysAGGBond


  • 0.54

  • 1.44


THEWEEK'STOP25Fund


InvestmentObjective


OneWeek


Year-to-Date


VictoryGlNatRe

sY/RSNYX

GLNaturalResourc

5.42%

28.3%

KineticsInternetNL/WWWFX

Science&Tech

4.95

33.2

WCMAltCrdtEventInst/WCFIX

AltEventDriven

4.48

13.3

BlackRockEnrgyOp

pA/BACAX

GLNaturalResourc

3.78

12.8

InvenomicInstl/BIVIX

AltLong/ShortEq

3.75

4.8

KineticsMktOppsNL/KMKNX

FlexiblePortfolio

3.52

28.3

InvescoEnerg

yA/IENAX

NaturalResources

3.37

14.9

G&RResourcesInst/GRHIX

GLNaturalResourc

3.27

21.4

KineticsGlobalNL/WWWEX

GLSm/Mid-Cap

3.23

23.1

UprightGrowth&Income/UPDDX

EquityIncome

3.14

41.1

FidelityAdvEnerg

yI/FANIX

NaturalResources

3.06

18.6

FidelitySelEnergy/FSENX

NaturalResources

3.03

18.4

GothamHedgedPlusInst/GHPLX

AltLong/ShortEq

2.98


  • 2.4


PIMCOComm+StratInst/PCLIX

CommoditiesGeneral

2.90

15.0

DoubleLineStratCom

mI/DBCMX

CommoditiesGeneral

2.85

12.4

FidelityGlobalComStk/FFGCX

GLNaturalResourc

2.84

11.3

KineticsParadigmNL/WWNPX

Small-CapGrowth

2.84

29.5

HennessyBPEnergyInst/HNRIX

NaturalResources

2.76

23.2

GlobalTacticalInst/GIVYX

GlobalMulti-CapCore

2.67

8.5

RydexBankingInv/RYKIX

FinancialServices

2.58

14.1

FranklinStrNtR

eA/FRNRX

GLNaturalResourc

2.55

13.4

NeubergerAltCmStInst/NRBIX

CommoditiesGeneral

2.50

10.8

SaratogaEnergy&B

MI/SEPIX

NaturalResources

2.49

9.1

BlackRockNtrlRe

sA/MDGRX

GLNaturalResourc

2.42

9.3

SlvrPprCmdStrGlMa

cI/SPCIX

CommoditiesGeneral

2.41

5.8

THEWEEK'SBOTTOM10Fund


InvestmentObjective


OneWeek


Year-to-Date


MidasFund/MIDSX

PreciousMetalsEq


  • 8.90%

  • 14.7%


UprightGrowthFund/UPUPX

GlobalMulti-CapValue


  • 8.33


49.1

GlobalCleanEquit

yI/CGCNX

Industrials


  • 7.52


6.6

VanEckIntlGol

dY/INIYX

PreciousMetalsEq


  • 7.15

  • 13.1


OCMGoldAdv/OCMAX

PreciousMetalsEq


  • 6.65

  • 7.2


WellsFargoPrecMe

tA/EKWAX

PreciousMetalsEq


  • 6.58

  • 11.1


GabelliGol

dI/GLDIX

PreciousMetalsEq


  • 6.53

  • 11.3


InvscGld&S

MA/OPGSX

PreciousMetalsEq


  • 6.18

  • 10.1


USGlblGold&PM/USERX

PreciousMetalsEq


  • 6.06

  • 10.6


FidelitySelGold/FSAGX

PreciousMetalsEq


  • 5.97

  • 10.3


THELARGEST25

Assets


3-Year* 1-Week


YTD


Fund


(billions) InvestmentObjective Return Return Return


AmericanFundsGr

oA/AGTHX

$125.2 Large-CapGrowth

19.7% – 0.70%

5.6%

FidelityContrafund/FCNTX


110.3 Large-CapGrowth

18.3


  • 0.53


4.9

VanguardWellingtonAdm/VWENX

94.6 MixTgtAllGro

10.3


  • 0.04


2.3

AmericanFundsEuPcR6/RERGX

89.6 IntlLarge-CapGrowth

11.7


  • 0.07


6.1

AmericanFundsBa


lA/ABALX


87.7 MixTgtAllGro

9.4


  • 0.13


2.4

AmericanFundsIn


cA/AMECX


74.9 MixTgtAllMod

7.0

0.58

3.7

PIMCOIncomeInst/PIMIX


73.1 Multi-SectorInc

5.3


  • 0.33


0.7

Dodge&CoxStock/DODGX


70.2 Multi-CapValue

9.5

1.06

8.4

Dodge&CoxIncome/DODIX


69.4 CoreBond

6.3


  • 0.48

  • 0.8


AmericanFundsIC


AA/AIVSX


67.2 Large-CapCore

10.6

0.28

4.4

BlackRockCashInstSLA/


64.4 InstlMoneyMkt

NA

NA

NA

VanguardPRIMECAPAdm/VPMAX

63.7 Large-CapCore

15.6


  • 0.11


8.9

AmericanFundsWashA/AWSHX

63.0 Large-CapCore

10.3

0.40

4.2

AmericanFundsCI


BA/CAIBX


61.9 GlobalEquityIncome

5.3

0.54

3.0

VanguardIntlGroAdm/VWILX


60.5 IntlLarge-CapGrowth

24.1


  • 1.33


10.5

AmericanFundsFIn


vA/ANCFX


59.5 Large-CapCore

11.8

0.08

5.0

AmericanFundsNPerA/ANWPX


58.9 GlobalLarge-CapGrowth 18.1


  • 0.23


5.7

AmericanFundsCWG


IA/CWGIX


56.9 GlobalLarge-CapCore

9.7

0.11

5.1

TRowePriceBCGro/TRBCX


56.0 Large-CapGrowth

20.4


  • 0.40


5.6

PIMCOTotRtnInst/PTTRX


53.7 CorePlusBond

5.8


  • 0.62

  • 1.1


MetWestTotalRt


nI/MWTIX


53.5 CorePlusBond

6.3


  • 0.61

  • 1.2


FidelityStrAdvLgCp/FALCX


51.5 Large-CapCore

0

0

5.4

VanguardSh-TmInvAdm/VFSUX

51.3 ShortInvGrade

4.2


  • 0.05


0.1

VanguardWellesleyAdm/VWIAX

50.1 MixTgtAllocCon

8.0


  • 0.04


0.3

VanguardTgtRet2025Inv/VTTVX

49.9 Mixed-AssetTarget2025

9.4


  • 0.45


2.7

*Annualized02/15/2018to02/18/2021.ThroughThursday.

Source:Lipper
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