New Scientist - USA (2021-02-20)

(Antfer) #1

Biodiversity: A status report


EXTINCTIONS


If we are to begin to rebalance our relationship with nature, we must first establish


how out of kilter things are. But ecosystems are complex and no single measure
can capture all the changes human activities have caused.

Nevertheless, there are various ways of auditing biodiversity and humanity’s impact
on it, from extinctions and species richness to land use and how much of the planet
is set aside for nature. Almost all of them paint a worrying picture

Perhaps the most eye-catching
metric of humanity’s impact is in our
acceleration of the rate of extinctions.
The background or natural rate is
0.1 to 2 extinctions per million species
per year. Data from the International
Union for Conservation of Nature’s Red
List of Threatened Species suggests
a rate of 34 extinctions per million
species per year now. It documents
at least 680 extinctions and a further
750 possible extinctions among
112,400 species in the past 500
years, with mammals and amphibians
hardest hit among vertebrates.
In recent years, warming, acidifying
oceans have caused a drop in coral
species. Looking at how many
species are considered vulnerable
or endangered, the group under
the most pressure is the cycads,
a group of tropical palm-like plants.
Two other plant groups, dicots and
conifers, are also up there.
The Red List covers fewer than
5 per cent of the world’s known
species. The Intergovernmental
Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity
and Ecosystem Services (IPBES) says
that a further half a million terrestrial
species of animals and plants may
already be doomed to extinction.
There are many taxonomic groups
for which no firm conclusions can be
drawn due to insufficient data. One
is insects. A recent review concluded
that, “Although a flurry of reports
has drawn attention to declines in
insect abundance, biomass, species
richness, and range sizes, whether
the rates of declines for insects are
on par with or exceed those for other
groups remains unknown.”

Total number of
assessed species

Percentage of species in each category

Current global extinction risk in different species groups


2300

633

10,966

1520

972

1026

1500

5593

2872

1091

845

607

1781

6576

307

Dragonflies

Ferns

Monocots

Reptiles

Birds

Sharks and rays

Amphibians

Corals

Cycads

Conifers

Mammals

Bony fishes

Gastropods

Crustaceans

Dicots

Estimate of percentage threatened

0 20 40 60 80 100

Deficient data

Least concern

Key

Near threatened

Vulnerable
Endangered
Critically
endangered
Extinct in
the wild

SOURCE: IPBES GLOBAL ASSESSMENT REPORT
ON BIODIVERSITY AND ECOSYSTEM SERVICES SOURCE: IUCN AND BIRDLIFE INTERNATIONAL

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Amphibians

Birds

Reptiles
Fishes

Mammals

Extinctions since 1500


15001600 1700 18001900 2018

0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

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Amphibians

Cycads

Corals

Mammals
Sharks and rays
Conifers

Crustaceans

Monocots

Dragonflies

Bony fishesCone snails
Legumes

Reptiles

Declines in species survival
since 1970

1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

0.9

1.0

Birds

* An index of 1 indicates all species in the group are classified as ”least concern“; an index of 0 indicates all species are extinct

SOURCE: IPBES GLOBAL ASSESSMENT REPORT ON BIODIVERSITY AND ECOSYSTEM SERVICES
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