Maths Inside Baseball

(qra1234) #1

average in a moment. But​ through fielding shifts​, ​0.187​ of fielding
percentage was raised, further increasing the win percentage of the game.


Table represents the rate of batted ball direction for ground balls and fly
balls of Cody Bellinger. Like the previous chart, the infielders are
stationed to the center and right direction. Suppose that when the
ground ball goes to the left, it becomes a base hit., if not out. Saying that
Bellinger hit a ground ball from a pitch, what is the percentage of making
a base hit, beating the shift?


Defensive shift is a strategy used to increase fielding percentage. Given
that he hit a ground ball, solving for a probability of a push hit a concept
of a conditional probability.


When there is event A and B, probability of event B when event A has
happened is a conditional probability, and probability of event B
fluctuates depending on probability of event A. It is expressed in
P(B|A).
P(B|A)=PP(A(A⋂)B)


Going back to the question, in solving for the probability of Bellinger


Pull Straight Push

Groundball 21.6% 15.8% 2.3%

Flyball
(FO+PU+LD
)

19.9% 22.8% 17.5%
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