132 Unit 4 Applied critical thinking
Commentary
The first point to make is that the data
concerns public opinion. The first of the three
claims is therefore clearly supported by the
data. (As a matter of interest, it is the
conclusion that the researchers drew
themselves.) Only 1 in 20 people thought that
there had been no change. Well over half
thought that the change was substantial in
favour of more people receiving payments.
This indicates a ‘widespread and strong belief’,
and makes A a safe conclusion. The question
of whether the sample was representative need
not concern you, as you were told to assume
that the figures are accurate and well
researched.
Claim B is a more direct interpretation of
the data, and simple arithmetic shows that it
too is a safe inference. Claim A is true because
claim B is true.
Claim C is more complex and more
interesting. It would seem reasonable to argue
that if there are more people receiving
payments, there are more claims being made.
But ultimately C rests on the assumption that
Take some time to think about and/or discuss
the following questions, before reading the
commentaries that follow.
1 Which of the following are supported by
the information in Chart 1? (The answer
may be any, none or all.)
Assume that the data is accurate and that
the sample of people questioned is
representative of the population.
A There is a widespread and strong
belief that more people are receiving
compensation for personal injuries
now than five years ago.
B 87% of those responding to the
survey believe that there are more
people receiving payments for
personal injury compensation than
there were five years ago.
C Claims being pursued for personal
injury have increased significantly in
the past five years.
Activity
CHART 3
64 12 8
7
Disagree strongly
%
Disagree slightly
%
(^6713)
65 128 8
8 5
7 5
9 5
Neither
%
Agree
slightly
%
Agree
strongly
%
All adults
Those who watch daytime TV
Those who have recently
seen a personal injury claims ad
‘I might be tempted to make an exaggerated claim for a personal injury, even if I didn't have
a strong case for compensation.’ To what extent do you agree or disagree with this statement?
*Respondents who answered ‘Don’t know’ have been excluded from chart.