The Mismeasure of Man by Stephen Jay Gould

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THE REAL ERROR OF CYRIL BURT

Rogers Hornsby hit .424 (1924—I was a bratty little kid like that);
others know Billy Martin only as a figure in Lite beer commercials.


  1. The differences represent disparities in native ability that
    cannot be erased even by intense training. (The situation would be
    even more complex if the sample included both boys and girls of
    conventional upbringing. The correlation might then be attributed
    primarily to a fourth cause—sexual differences; and we would
    have to worry, in addition, about the cause of the sexual difference:
    training, inborn constitution, or some combination of nature and
    nurture).
    In summary, most correlations are noncausal; when correla-
    tions are causal, the fact and strength of the correlation rarely spec-
    ifies the nature of the cause.


Correlation in more than two dimensions


These two-dimensional examples are easy to grasp (however
difficult they are to interpret). But what of correlations among
more than two measures? A body is composed of many parts, not
just arms and legs, and we may want to know how several measures
interact during growth. Suppose, for simplicity, that we add just
one more measure, head length, to make a three-dimensional sys-
tem. We may now depict the correlation structure among the three
measures in two ways:



  1. We may gather all correlation coefficients between pairs of
    measures into a single table, or matrix of correlation coefficients
    (Fig. 6.2). The line from upper left to lower right records the nec-
    essarily perfect correlation of each variable with itself. It is called
    the principal diagonal, and all correlations along it are 1.0. The
    matrix is symmetrical around the principal diagonal, since the cor-
    relation of measure 1 with measure 2 is the same as the correlation
    of 2 with 1. Thus, the three values either above or below the prin-
    cipal diagonal are the correlations we seek: arm with leg, arm with
    head, and leg with head.

  2. We may plot the points for all individuals onto a three-
    dimensional graph (Fig. 6.3). Since the correlations are all positive,
    the points are oriented as an ellipsoid (or football). (In two dimen-
    sions, they formed an ellipse.) A line running along the major axis
    of the football expresses the strong positive correlations between
    all measures.

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