486 HYDROLOGY
single data station and combinations of data stations. None
of the data stations were in the watershed. One valley data
station exhibited far less precipitation than the mountain sta-
tions, varying in frequency, duration, and amount. The study
showed that the nearest station, which was also near the mid-
elevation of the basin and in a similar climatic zone, gave the
best results, superior even to a combination of stations. Such
a mid-elevation station reduced data extrapolation errors and
is more representative of amount, duration, and frequency of
precipitation and of the actual basin temperature regime. For
the data tested, the errors of maximum peak fl ow, monthly
volumes and hydrograph shape, measured by residual vari-
ance, were all less than 5%.
In summary, simulation techniques should be kept as
simple as possible, provided that representation of reality is
not jeopardized. As much precalibration as possible for each
element of the model should be done during the model con-
struction, using good common sense. The value of graphi-
cal fi tting should be utilized because, by use of graphical
representation, the mind is able to handle large quantities of
data simultaneously. Final fi tting of the model is done when
the main simulation blocks have been assembled, and at this
point it is useful to have a simple quantitative measure of
the goodness of fi t. Several measures have been proposed,
but Nash’s^23 is as good as any. This measure is calculated by
subtracting the recorded output from the simulated output
for each time increment. These differences are squared and
summed to give a residual variance. The optimization can
then proceed to minimize this residual variance.
REPRESENTATIVE DESIGN APPLICATIONS
Minor Design Problems
Such structures as small dam spillways, road culverts,
small bridges, etc. require estimation of a design fl ood. The
approach by which such a design fl ood can be estimated is
shown diagrammatically in the fl ow diagram Figure 13.
First it must be decided whether rain fl oods or snowmelt
fl oods are likely to be limiting and it may be necessary to
calculate each before a conclusion can be reached.
Secondly, the response time of the catchment must be
considered and this is typically characterized by the unit
hydrograph, especially the time from the start of run-off to
the peak.
Thirdly, the precipitation records for rain events must
be examined. In many instances data for the catchment may
not exist, but representative data from adjacent areas may
be available. Such data must be analyzed to yield duration-
intensity plots for given return periods, or probabilities and
for the catchment area in question.
The unit hydrograph data and the precipitation data must
now be combined to determine the critical period of run-off.
As an example, starting with the 1 hour unit hydrograph, it
is easy to superimpose several 1 hour unit hydrographs to
obtain 2 hour, 3 hour, 4 hour, etc. unit hydrographs. These
longer duration unit hydrographs have relatively lower peaks
as is illustrated in Figure 14. However, the greater volume
of rain in longer duration storms may give a higher resultant
peak and such a situation is illustrated in the fi gure.
A similar calculation for snowmelt would yield a maxi-
mum fl ow for run-off. Note that, for small catchments, the
diurnal temperature variations impose limitations on the
maximum snowmelt run-off because the high temperatures
only last for a limited number of hours each day. 30,31,32
Once the peak fl ow has been determined for a given
rain or snow event probability, a fi rst design of the struc-
ture should be made. The costs can be estimated and
also damages resulting from higher fl oods can be at least
approximated. At this point the cost of added protection
can be considered and the assumed risk can be reevaluated.
Maximum Event
Rain Snow
Response Time
of
Catchment
Precipitation
Records
Duration-
Intensity
Critical Time
Period
Snow Records
Maximum
Melt
Pattern
Risk
Soil
Storage
Run-Off
Cost-Benefit
Analysis
Design
of
Structure
Run-Off
Soil
Storage
FIGURE 13 Estimation of design flood for a small spillway or road
culvert, etc.
RECORDED HYDROGRAPH
HYDROGRAPH GENERATED
BY THE UBC WATERSHED
MODEL
DAILY STREAMFLOW (MEAN CFS)
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
6000
7000
8000
9000
10000
11000
5000
FIGURE 12 Spillimacheen River hydrograph.
C008_003_r03.indd 486C008_003_r03.indd 486 11/18/2005 10:29:32 AM11/18/2005 10:29:32 AM