The Economist - USA (2021-07-10)

(Antfer) #1
TheEconomistJuly10th 2021
Economic& financial indicators

80


Economic data

Grossdomesticproduct Consumerprices Unemployment Current-account Budget Interestrates Currencyunits
% change on year ago % change on year ago rate balance balance 10-yr gov't bonds change on per $ % change
latest quarter* 2021† latest 2021† % % of GDP, 2021† % of GDP, 2021† latest,% year ago, bp Jul 7th on year ago
UnitedStates 0.4 Q1 6.4 6.0 5.0 May 3.1 5.9 Jun -3.0 -13.5 1.3 68.0 -
China 18.3 Q1 2.4 8.5 1.3 May 1.6 5.0 May‡§ 2.8 -4.7 2.9 §§ 12.0 6.46 8.7
Japan -1.6 Q1 -3.9 2.2 -0.1 May -0.2 3.0 May 3.5 -8.9 nil -8.0 111 -2.8
Britain -6.1 Q1 -6.2 5.8 2.1 May 3.0 4.7 Mar†† -4.5 -11.5 0.8 56.0 0.73 9.6
Canada 0.3 Q1 5.6 5.4 3.6 May 2.3 8.2 May -2.0 -8.8 1.3 79.0 1.25 8.8
Euroarea -1.3 Q1 -1.3 4.4 1.9 Jun 1.7 7.9 May 3.3 -6.6 -0.3 14.0 0.85 4.7
Austria -5.5 Q1 -12.6 3.4 2.7 Jun 2.2 6.9 May 3.0 -7.6 -0.1 13.0 0.85 4.7
Belgium -0.5 Q1 4.5 4.3 1.6 Jun 1.5 6.5 May -0.7 -6.6 nil 10.0 0.85 4.7
France 1.2 Q1 -0.4 5.5 1.5 Jun 1.6 7.5 May -1.3 -8.7 0.1 24.0 0.85 4.7
Germany -3.1 Q1 -7.0 3.5 2.3 Jun 2.5 3.7 May 6.8 -3.6 -0.3 14.0 0.85 4.7
Greece -1.4 Q1 18.9 5.4 0.1 May nil 15.4 May -3.7 -5.8 0.8 -36.0 0.85
Italy -0.8 Q1 0.6 4.6 1.3 Jun 1.3 10.5 May 3.2 -11.8 0.7 -55.0 0.85
Netherlands -2.4 Q1 -3.1 3.4 2.1 May 2.1 3.3 May 10.3 -1.7 -0.3 3.0 0.85
Spain -4.2 Q1 -1.7 5.9 2.7 Jun 1.5 15.3 May 1.3 -8.7 0.4 -3.0 0.85
CzechRepublic -2.6 Q1 -1.4 3.6 2.9 May 2.6 3.4 May‡ 2.6 -5.6 1.8 101 21.9
Denmark -0.9 Q1 -3.9 3.0 1.7 May 0.7 4.0 May 7.4 -1.3 nil 31.0 6.30
Norway -1.4 Q1 -2.5 2.6 2.7 May 2.9 4.9 Apr‡‡ 2.5 -1.0 1.4 76.0 8.73 8.3
Poland -1.3 Q1 4.5 4.6 4.4 Jun 4.1 6.0 Jun§ 2.2 -6.9 1.6 26.0 3.84 3.1
Russia -0.7 Q1 na 3.2 6.5 Jun 5.5 4.9 May§ 3.7 -1.7 7.2 112 74.7 -4.6
Sweden -0.1 Q1 3.4 3.6 1.8 May 1.8 9.8 May§ 4.3 -2.3 0.3 32.0 8.64 6.9
Switzerland -0.5 Q1 -2.0 3.0 0.6 Jun 0.3 3.0 May 7.4 -4.0 -0.3 10.0 0.93 1
Turkey 7.0 Q1 na 3.9 17.5 Jun 14.5 12.9 Apr§ -2.2 -2.8 17.0 493 8.70 1
Australia 1.1 Q1 7.3 4.4 1.1 Q1 2.1 5.1 May 1.6 -5.9 1.4 46.0 1.34 7
HongKong 7.9 Q1 23.5 4.9 0.9 May 1.6 6.0 May‡‡ 3.6 -4.1 1.1 48.0 7.77 3
India 1.6 Q1 6.0 10.4 6.3 May 5.2 9.2 Jun -1.0 -7.2 6.2 37.0 74.6 4
Indonesia -0.7 Q1 na 3.9 1.3 Jun 2.4 6.3 Q1§ -0.1 -5.7 6.5 -60.0 14,483 3
Malaysia -0.5 Q1 na 4.4 4.4 May 2.4 4.6 Apr§ 4.7 -5.9 3.2 26.0 4.16 2.9
Pakistan 4.7 2021** na 3.8 9.7 Jun 9.0 5.8 2018 -2.0 -7.1 9.8 ††† 119 159 5.4
Philippines -4.2 Q1 1.2 5.1 4.1 Jun 4.2 8.7 Q2§ -1.1 -7.5 3.8 102 49.8 -0.6
Singapore 1.3 Q1 13.1 4.6 2.4 May 1.8 2.9 Q1 17.8 -4.4 1.4 56.0 1.35 3.0
SouthKorea 1.9 Q1 7.1 3.8 2.4 Jun 2.0 4.0 May§ 4.6 -3.2 2.0 65.0 1,138 5.1
Taiwan 8.9 Q1 12.8 6.0 1.9 Jun 1.6 4.2 May 15.5 -0.6 0.4 -6.0 28.0 5.3
Thailand -2.6 Q1 0.7 2.9 1.2 Jun 2.1 1.5 Dec§ 3.7 -6.5 1.4 29.0 32.3 -3.2
Argentina 2.5 Q1 11.0 7.0 48.8 May 47.3 10.2 Q1§ 1.6 -5.9 na na 95.9 -26.2
Brazil 1.0 Q1 4.9 4.8 8.1 May 6.8 14.7 Apr§‡‡ -0.2 -7.3 9.3 275 5.26 1.1
Chile 0.3 Q1 13.4 6.7 3.6 May 3.4 10.0 May§‡‡ -0.2 -7.1 4.9 255 754 5.1
Colombia 2.0 Q1 11.9 7.8 3.6 Jun 3.1 15.6 May§ -3.6 -8.9 7.1 157 3,825 -5.1
Mexico -3.6 Q1 3.1 5.9 5.9 May 4.5 4.1 May 1.4 -2.8 6.9 126 20.0 12.9
Peru 3.8 Q1 8.3 10.1 3.3 Jun 2.9 9.7 May§ -0.2 -5.8 5.6 175 3.95 -10.1
Egypt 2.9 Q1 na 3.3 4.8 May 5.2 7.4 Q1§ -3.1 -8.1 na na 15.7 2.4
Israel -1.1 Q1 -6.2 4.2 1.5 May 1.5 5.5 May 3.8 -7.7 1.1 44.0 3.27 5.2
SaudiArabia -4.1 2020 na 2.2 5.7 May 2.9 6.5 Q1 3.4 -2.1 na na 3.75 nil
SouthAfrica -3.2 Q1 4.6 3.0 5.2 May 4.0 32.6 Q1§ 1.5 -9.4 8.9 -79.0 14.4 18.9
Source: Haver Analytics. *% change on previous quarter, annual rate. †The Economist Intelligence Unit estimate/forecast. §Not seasonally adjusted. ‡New series. **Year ending June. ††Latest 3 months. ‡‡3-month moving
average. §§5-year yield. †††Dollar-denominated bonds.

Markets
%changeon: %changeon:
Index one Dec31st index one Dec31st
Inlocalcurrency Jul7th week 2020 Jul7th week 2020
UnitedStatesS&P 500 4,358.1 1.4 16.0
UnitedStatesNAScomp 14,665.1 1.1 13.8
ChinaShanghaiComp 3,553.7 -1.0 2.3
ChinaShenzhenComp 2,447.0 -0.8 5.0
JapanNikkei 225 28,367.0 -1.5 3.4
JapanTopix 1,937.7 -0.3 7.4
BritainFTSE 100 7,151.0 1.6 10.7
CanadaS&PTSX 20,290.6 0.6 16.4
EuroareaEUROSTOXX 50 4,078.5 0.4 14.8
FranceCAC 40 6,527.7 0.3 17.6
GermanyDAX* 15,692.7 1.0 14.4
ItalyFTSE/MIB 25,285.0 0.7 13.7
NetherlandsAEX 737.6 1.1 18.1
SpainIBEX 35 8,854.5 0.4 9.7
PolandWIG 67,917.3 2.8 19.1
RussiaRTS,$ terms 1,641.4 -0.7 18.3
SwitzerlandSMI 12,085.5 1.2 12.9
Tu r ke yBIST 1,390.6 2.5 -5.8
AustraliaAllOrd. 7,599.3 0.2 10.9
HongKongHangSeng 27,960.6 -3.0 2.7
IndiaBSE 53,054.8 1.1 11.1
IndonesiaIDX 6,044.0 1.0 1.1
MalaysiaKLSE 1,530.2 -0.2 -6.0

PakistanKSE 47,247.9 -0.2 8.0
SingaporeSTI 3,141.6 0.4 10.5
SouthKoreaKOSPI 3,285.3 -0.3 14.3
TaiwanTWI 17,850.7 0.5 21.2
ThailandSET 1,576.6 -0.7 8.8
ArgentinaMERV 63,383.2 1.6 23.7
BrazilBVSP 127,018.7 0.2 6.7
MexicoIPC 50,052.9 -0.5 13.6
EgyptEGX 30 10,277.3 0.2 -5.2
IsraelTA-125 1,773.6 0.5 13.1
SaudiArabiaTadawul 10,958.6 -0.2 26.1
SouthAfricaJSEAS 66,806.4 0.8 12.5
World,dev'dMSCI 3,049.7 1.1 13.4
EmergingmarketsMSCI 1,340.7 -2.5 3.8

UScorporatebonds,spreadoverTreasuries
Dec31st
Basispoints latest 2020
Investmentgrade 112 136
High-yield 334 429
Sources:RefinitivDatastream;Standard& Poor'sGlobalFixedIncome
Research.*Totalreturnindex.

Commodities
The Economist commodity-price index %changeon
2015=100 Jun 29th Jul 6th* month year
Dollar Index
All Items 181.9 185.4 -1.5 67.1
Food 128.8 127.9 -7.7 40.6
Industrials
All 231.4 239.0 1.9 84.4
Non-food agriculturals 151.7 153.0 -6.7 65.9
Metals 255.1 264.5 3.5 88.0
Sterling Index
All items 200.7 204.9 0.9 52.2
Euro Index
All items 169.4 173.8 1.4 59.4
Gold
$ per oz 1,758.5 1,803.0 -4.8 0.5
Brent
$ per barrel 75.0 74.7 3.2 73.0
Sources: Bloomberg; CME Group; Cotlook; Refinitiv Datastream;
Fastmarkets; FT; ICCO; ICO; ISO; Live Rice Index; LME; NZ Wool
Services; Thompson Lloyd & Ewart; Urner Barry; WSJ. *Provisional.

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