The Economist - USA (2021-07-17)

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50 The Economist July 17th 2021
Britain


House-building

Blot on the landscape


T


o the westof  the  road,  a  housing  es­
tate  blossoms  behind  the  hedgerows.
Identikit  boxes  bestride  gravel  drives;  the
gardens  are  festooned  with  decking.  The
eastern side of this road in Wiltshire is an­
other  England:  rolling  fields  where  cattle
stare  down  traffic.  But  that  idyll  is  being
encroached on, too. At one end of the road,
two  new  estates  near  completion;  at  the
other, a third welcomes its first residents.
Locals  bemoan  a  damaged  environment
and homeless newts. But in this competi­
tion between two Englands, it seems clear
which is winning. 
In the key battleground of London and
the south­east, however, housing develop­
ers  are  facing  stiffer  resistance.  After  de­
cades  of  demand  far  outstripping  supply,
Britain  is  once  again  building  lots  of
homes, but not yet as many as the govern­
ment  wants—and,  worse,  not  in  the  right
places. It wants to force councils in popu­
lar,  pricey  regions  to  allow  more  develop­
ment, but is wavering in the face of elector­
al opposition. At stake is not just Britain’s

A changein 2012 madeiteasiertobuildon
farmlandneartowns,theeffectsofwhich
canalreadybeseeninplacessuchasWilt­
shire.AccordingtoResidentialAnalysts,a
research firm,over thepast decadethe
pricepaidperplotbythebighousebuilders
stayedsteadyorevenfell.Thissuggests
thatsupplyconstraintscausedbyover­re­
strictiveplannershavenotbeenreflected
inthepriceofland,saysNealHudson,the
firm’sfounder.
In 2013 rulesaboutredevelopingexist­
ingbuildings were loosened,which en­
couragedtheconversionofderelictware­
housesincitycentresintoflats.Andlast
yearMrJohnsonreiterateda previousTory
promisetoallowdeveloperstobuildhigh­
er.A subsequentboominsuchprojects
showsthat localauthorities hadindeed
beenactingasabrake ondevelopment,
saysAnthonyBreachoftheCentreforCit­
ies,a think­tank.
Even after these reforms, however,
plannersoftenstoplocalsupplyrisingin
responsetolocaldemand.TheLocalGov­
ernmentAssociation(lga),atrade body
forcouncils,arguesthatnineoutoften
planningapplications are approved.But
that disguises wide regional variation.
Councilswithin commutingdistance of
Londonstillblockmuchdevelopment.Ac­
cordingtotheCentreforCities,overa fifth
ofurbanneighbourhoodsoutsidecitycen­
treshavebuiltnonewhousessince2011.
Gettinglots more housesbuilt,saysMr

MELKSHAM, WILTSHIRE
New housing is changing the contours ofthecountryside—andofpolitics

→Alsointhissection
51 Riseoftheeco-NIMBY
— Bagehotisaway

urban and rural landscape, but its political
landscape, too.
In 2017 Theresa May, then prime minis­
ter,  reiterated  a  long­standing  but  never­
met target of 300,000 new homes per year
for England. Between April 2019 and March
2020,  244,000  were  built,  the  most  since

1987. That followed six years of net increas­
es in the housing stock. But many were in
cheaper areas, such as the south­west and
west  Midlands,  and  not  enough  were  in
London and the south­east, where already­
high  prices  and  projected  population
growth suggest expansion is most needed.
The  population  of  East  Sussex,  for  exam­
ple, has grown by 9% over the past decade
and  is  expected  to  grow  by  8%  over  the
coming  one.  But  its  housing  stock  has  in­
creased  by  just  5.8%  since  2010.  Last  year
Mrs  May’s  successor,  Boris  Johnson,  pro­
posed  a  big  overhaul  of  the  planning  sys­
tem, both to hit the national target and to
rebalance where houses are built. 
Planning rules have already been loos­
ened in several ways over the past decade.


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