The Economist - USA (2021-07-17)

(Antfer) #1

56 Business TheEconomistJuly17th 2021


And, inverting a decades­old trend of copy­
ing  Western  intellectual  property  (ip),  a
few  have  become  tech  powerhouses  in
their own right, selling advanced products
to the world.
The  scale  of  China  Inc  is  formidable.
China was the largest investor in the world
in  2020.  Foreign  direct  investment  (fdi)
from Chinese firms hit $133bn, down only
slightly  from  2019  despite  the  headwinds
(see  chart  1).  The  country  has  some  3,400
multinationals, almost as many as Ameri­
ca and western Europe combined, reckons
Bain, a consultancy. Around 360 big listed
Chinese  groups  report  foreign  revenues.
These  amounted  to  around  $700bn  in
2020, compared with 250 large firms earn­
ing a total of $400bn in 2012, according to
data from Bloomberg (see chart 2). In 2020
Chinese  venture  capitalists  ploughed  an
estimated  $3.2bn  into  American  startups
in 249 deals, the second­biggest year on re­
cord by value, calculates Rhodium Group, a
research  firm.  Analysts  at  cbInsights  say
that  Chinese  investors’  participation  in
American  venture  deals  last  quarter  was
the highest since at least 2016.
The Chinese presence is deep as well as
broad. Last year more than 100 of the listed
firms earned at least 30% of revenues out­
side  China;  27  earned  70%  or  more.  All
told,  China’s  top  ten  foreign  earners
booked $350bn or so in overseas sales. This
total  has  grown  by  10%  a  year  on  average
since  2005,  Bain  says,  twice  as  fast  as  the
equivalent figure in America, Europe or Ja­
pan.  Tencent’s  foreign  sales  have  risen  at
an annual rate of 40% for nearly a decade,
and now make up 7% of its huge top line. 
The first plank of China Inc’s new global
strategy  is  astute  localisation.  In  the  past
most  Chinese  fdiconsisted  of  asset  pur­
chases. Last year, by contrast, a lot was re­
invested earnings from operations abroad.
Hisense, a maker of consumer electronics,
wants  to  treble  its  overseas  sales,  from
$7.9bn in 2020 to $23.5bn in 2025, half its
projected  total,  says  Candy  Pang,  its  head
of  marketing.  That  would  leave  a  lot  of
money  to  spend  on  foreign  factories,  re­
search and development, and marketing (it
is sponsoring the 2022 football World Cup
in Qatar, among other sports events).
Chinese  firms  have  also  retained  their
subsidiaries’  foreign  leadership.  Despite
recently  merging  with  another  state­
backed  giant,  ChemChina  has  allowed  its
foreign assets to operate as global compa­
nies.  Pirelli,  which  it  bought  in  2015  for
€7.1bn  ($7.6bn),  still  makes  tyres  in  Italy.
Syngenta,  for  which  it  paid  $43bn  a  year
later,  maintains  a  Swiss  headquarters,  a
mostly foreign executive team, and a nine­
person  board  with  only  two  Chinese  state
officials.Similarly,  Geely  has  allowed  for­
eigners  to  run  Volvo,  and  Haier,  an  appli­
ance­maker,  kept  most  of  geAppliances’
top  brass  after  acquiring  the  American

firm.“Youcan belongto Chinawithout
havinga Chinese­dominatedboard,”says
anexecutiveatoneChinesemultinational.
ThesecondpillarofChinaInc’snew
globalisation strategy is to shun mega­
dealsinfavourofsmallerones.Thespecu­
lativewaveofoutboundinvestmentsbe­
tween 2015 and 2017 swallowedup$425bn
in assetsandraised plenty ofeyebrows
among foreign and Chinese regulators
alike. By contrast, of the 235 outbound
transactions sofar this yearonly three
werevaluedatmorethan$1bn.
Themasterofmini­dealmakingisTen­
cent.Ithasmadeatleast 85 cross­border
investmentssincethestartof2019,accord­
ingtoRefinitiv,a dataprovider.Manyof
thesearesmallstakestakenaspartofa
larger consortium of investors that in­
cludes prominent non­Chinese private­
equitygroups.Thisyear,forexample,Ten­
centboughta 4%stakeinRakuten,a Japa­
nese internetgroup, forabout$600m—
small change for a giant worth nearly
$700bn.Ithasalsocontinuedtoinvestin
America,withatleast 12 dealsoverthepast
two­and­a­halfyears, includingthepur­
chaseofa $150mstakeinReddit,anAmer­
icanonlineplatformwhichhostspopular
discussionforums.
Chinesecompanies aremaking their
globalpresencefeltinonelastway.Rather

thanswoopinginto foreigncountries to
buyuptechnology,orcopyingWesternip,
theyaregoingouttoselltheirown,says
BagrinAngelovofcicc, a Beijing­basedin­
vestmentbank.BecauseChinesesubsidies
tomakersofelectriccarsandbatteriesre­
quirethemto ownsomeofthecoreip,
companiessuchasbyd,catl, Gangfeng
andsVoltracedtodevelopit.Havingdone
so,theyarenowtargetingexportmarkets.
bydandsVoltaresettingupfactoriesin
Europe.Soiscatl, whichinDecemberalso
announcedplanstobuilda $5bnoneinIn­
donesia(SeeSchumpeter).
BeiDou,China’sstate­ownedanswerto
America’sgpssatellite­navigationsystem,
wasusedbymorethan 100 countriesin
2020,accordingtoey, a consultancy.Chi­
nesetelecommunications services cover
morethan 170 countrieswitha population
of 3bn people. Regardless of American
sanctions, Huawei remains a popular
choicefor 5 gnetworkseveninpartsofEu­
rope. HorizonRobotics, which develops
self­driving systems, counts Germany’s
VolkswagenandBoschamongitspartners.
AndnewChinesestarsarerisingallthe
time. Few fashionistas probably realise
thanShein,a fast­fashiondarlingbeloved
ofthehipTikTokset,isChinese.Thecom­
panyboaststhetopshoppingappin 50
countries—including America, where it
wasdownloaded onmore iPhonesthan
AmazoninJune.OneConnect,a financial­
technologyplatformownedbyPingAn,a
biginsurer,issellinga numberofdigital­
bankingproductsdevelopedforChinato
banks and other firms across Asia and
beyond.Itrecentlydesignedanartificial­
intelligencefraud­preventionsystemfora
SriLankanlender.
These subtle corporate conquerors
couldstillbestymied—bytheheavyhand
ofChina’sCommunistrulersorAmerica
anditsallies,whichareboundtokeepan
everbeadier eyeonChinesecommercial
incursions.Thego­gettingChinesemulti­
nationalswouldthenneedtoadaptonce
again.Theyhaveshownthemselvestobe
morethancapableofdoingso.n

Quietconquests
China

Source:Bloomberg *Withmarketcapitalisationover$5bnandreportingoverseasrevenue †AtJuly 12th 2021

2

25
20
15
10
5
0

1.0
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.
0
20191817161514132012

Listedfirms*
Overseasrevenues,$trn %oftotal


100

75

50

25

0

400

300

200

100

0
2120191817161514132012

Overseas mergers & acquisitions
Announceddeals,$bn % completed†

Stable stakes
Outward foreign-direct-investment flows, $bn

Source: UNCTAD

1

250200150100500-50

201 2020

Britain

Germany

United
States

Japan

China
Free download pdf