20-Term Structure Page 642 Wednesday, February 4, 2004 1:33 PM
642 The Mathematics of Financial Modeling and Investment Management
u u ˆ
() α*(tu)+ ---[σ*(tu)]
2
dΛt = Λ dt– σ*(tu)ΛdBt
u
t
it– ,
1
, ,
2
t
This process determines the bond price process in function of a for-
ward rate process. However, to avoid arbitrage, the forward rate pro-
cess must be constrained. In particular, Heath, Jarrow, and Morton
(HJM) demonstrated the following theorems.
Suppose that the forward rate obeys the following SDE under the
probability measure P:
t t
ftu( , )= f( 0 ,u)+ ∫ α(su, )ds+ ∫σ(su, )dBˆs
0 0
Then Pis an equivalent martingale measure if and only if the coeffi-
cients α(t,u), σ(t,u) obey the following relationship:
1
α*(tu, )= ---[σ*(tu, )]^2
2
that is,
u
2
1
u
∫ α(ts, )ds = ---∫σ(ts, )ds
t^2 t
where 0 ≤t≤u≤T.
If Pis not an equivalent martingale measure, then there is no arbi-
trage if and only if there is an adapted process θ(τ) satisfying the follow-
ing relationship:
1
α*(tu)= ---[σ*(tu)]
2
, , + σ*(tu, )θ τ(), 0 ≤t≤u≤T
2
or, equivalently, differentiating both sides with respect to u:
α(tu, ) = σ(tu, )σ*(tu, )+ σ(tu, )θ()t , 0 ≤t≤u≤T
Implementing the HJM methodology takes advantage of the available
degrees of freedom. The initial forward rate curve f(0,u) can be deter-
mined by observing the initial curve