Cambridge International Mathematics

(Tina Sui) #1

Probability


25


Contents:

A Introduction to probability [10.1]
B Estimating probability [10.2, 10.6]
C Probabilities from two-way tables
[10.2, 10.6]
D Expectation [10.3]
E Representing combined events
[10.4, 10.6]
F Theoretical probability [10.4, 10.6]
G Compound events [10.4]
H Using tree diagrams [10.5]
I Sampling with and without
replacement [10.5]
J Mutually exclusive and non-mutually
exclusive events [10.5]
K Miscellaneous probability questions
[10.4 - 10.6]

Opening problem
#endboxedheading

Jenaro and Marisa are playing a game at the local fair.
They are given a bag containing an equal number of red
balls and blue balls, and must each draw one ball from the
bag at the same time. Before doing so, they must try to
guess whether the balls they select will be the same colour
or different colours.

Jenaro thinks it is more than likely that the balls will be
the same colour. Marisa thinks it is more likely that the
balls will be different colours. Their friend Pia thinks that
both outcomes are equally likely.

Who is correct?

IGCSE01
cyan magenta yellow black

(^05255075950525507595)
100 100
(^05255075950525507595)
100 100
Y:\HAESE\IGCSE01\IG01_25\505IGCSE01_25.CDR Monday, 27 October 2008 2:29:27 PM PETER

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