Accounting (unadjusted) rate of return
project will end prematurely. It ignores such risks as sales revenues being less than
anticipated or costs being greater than planned.
We may generally conclude that PBP is not a very good method for selecting
investment projects, and its use is likely to lead to sub-optimal decisions. It can,
however, give insights into projects that the NPV method fails to provide, particularly
on the question of liquidity. Thus the PBP method is seen by some as a useful com-
plement to NPV.
4.5 Accounting (unadjusted) rate of return
The accounting rate of return(ARR) compares the average annual profit increase,
after taking the cost of making the initial investment into account, with the amount of
the initial investment. The outcome is usually expressed as a percentage.
Some users of ARR define it as average profit divided by averageinvestment.
Provided that the definition adopted is consistently applied, neither is superior to the
other.
For the two opportunities in Example 4.1, and using the first definition of the ARR,
for Zenith it would be
÷20,000 =9.0%
(The £20,000 is deducted from the total annual savings to take account of the cost of
the depreciation of the machine over the five years.)
For Super it would be
÷25,000 =6.4%
The decision rule would be that projects would only be accepted where they are
expected to yield an ARR higher than some predetermined rate. With competing
projects, the one with the higher ARR (Zenith in this case) would be selected. It should
be noted particularly that ARR deals with accounting flows, notwith cash flows. This
is to say that ARR looks at the effect on future reported profits that a particular pro-
ject will cause.
Although in Example 4.1 it has been assumed that, apart from depreciation, cash
flows and accounting flows arising from the purchase of either of the presses (Zenith
or Super) are the same for the years concerned, this will not always be the case for all
projects to be assessed, as is explained in Chapter 5.
ARR is also known as the unadjusted rate of returnand as return on investment
(ROI).
Comparison of ARR and NPV methods
l ARR does not relate directly to wealth maximisation but pursues maximisation of
a rate of return measured by accounting profits.
(8,000 +6,000 +5,000 +6,000 +8,000) −25,000
5
(4,000 +6,000 +6,000 +7,000 +6,000) −20,000
5
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